Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 2, 2019 12:25:33 GMT
Sotomo released a new poll:
file:///C:/Users/9520917/AppData/Local/Packages/Microsoft.MicrosoftEdge_8wekyb3d8bbwe/TempState/Downloads/SRG%20Wahlbarometer%20Februar%202019%20(1).pdf
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 7, 2019 10:55:32 GMT
A part of that Sotomo-poll: Main issues: (private) HealthCosts, (private) pensions, climate&environment, EU, immigration, asylum, education, flats
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 7, 2019 10:58:12 GMT
Hard to believe, that SVP is still so strong, considering, what the main issues are presently and that SVP has some problems with its ministers and mobilization).
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Mar 8, 2019 3:32:44 GMT
Hard to believe, that SVP is still so strong, considering, what the main issues are presently and that SVP has some problems with its ministers and mobilization). The poll states that most voters do not consider the topics of education, asylum or rent and property prices to be urgent. In those circumstances I would expect the incumbent largest party to be favoured to remain in that position at any election.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 8, 2019 9:24:30 GMT
Ah, Swiss elections. Where the old joke about the government always winning is not a joke.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 8, 2019 11:40:26 GMT
Hard to believe, that SVP is still so strong, considering, what the main issues are presently and that SVP has some problems with its ministers and mobilization). The poll states that most voters do not consider the topics of education, asylum or rent and property prices to be urgent. In those circumstances I would expect the incumbent largest party to be favoured to remain in that position at any election. ? For 71%/... public-private HealthCare & PensionSystem are "urgent" (as is Climate%Environment) and on all these issues the SVP-elite around billionaire Blocher is far more liberal than its BlueCollar&farmer-voters (also because SVP depends on a DeFacto-coalition with FDP).
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 9, 2019 9:02:16 GMT
My interest was piqued by the mention of Swiss health costs, so I thought I’d see what Wikipedia has to say.
This leapt out at me: ‘The insured person pays the insurance premium for the basic plan up to 8% of their personal income’
Up to 8%?! I assume it’s a minority who pay that much, but my God.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 9, 2019 13:57:48 GMT
My interest was piqued by the mention of Swiss health costs, so I thought I’d see what Wikipedia has to say. This leapt out at me: ‘The insured person pays the insurance premium for the basic plan up to 8% of their personal income’ Up to 8%?! I assume it’s a minority who pay that much, but my God. Lots of oddities out there. For example, there's a federal conscription tax. If you refuse to join the military, and do the civil service, you pay an extra tax. And if you are deemed to be unfit for service, you do the same. There are some strange aspects to this. I once met a Swiss bloke who broke his leg in a car crash whilst travelling to start his military service. They told him not to bother, even though he was happy to do it, and he has to pay the tax. Which seems odd, as give it 6 months and he'd have been fine to serve.
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Post by westmercian on Mar 9, 2019 16:52:20 GMT
My interest was piqued by the mention of Swiss health costs, so I thought I’d see what Wikipedia has to say. This leapt out at me: ‘The insured person pays the insurance premium for the basic plan up to 8% of their personal income’ Up to 8%?! I assume it’s a minority who pay that much, but my God. Lots of oddities out there. For example, there's a federal conscription tax. If you refuse to join the military, and do the civil service, you pay an extra tax. And if you are deemed to be unfit for service, you do the same. There are some strange aspects to this. I once met a Swiss bloke who broke his leg in a car crash whilst travelling to start his military service. They told him not to bother, even though he was happy to do it, and he has to pay the tax. Which seems odd, as give it 6 months and he'd have been fine to serve. And you've missed the obvious gender discrimination - conscription and the tax levy of course only apply to men. Female citizens got the vote but not the corresponding responsibilities. I'd love to hear a feminist explain this one.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 22, 2019 2:49:20 GMT
My interest was piqued by the mention of Swiss health costs, so I thought I’d see what Wikipedia has to say. This leapt out at me: ‘The insured person pays the insurance premium for the basic plan up to 8% of their personal income’ Up to 8%?! I assume it’s a minority who pay that much, but my God. SVP - who like to nickname FDP's "FreiSinnige" (="FreeMinded") "WeichSinnige" (="WeakMinded"), what has often been not undeserved - made suddenly a u-turn on increasing the private HealthCosts, similar to CVP. FDP&GLP aren't amused. (SPS also not, because they have lost now an important topic for campaigning in autumn.)
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 24, 2019 17:08:59 GMT
Hard to believe, that SVP is still so strong, considering, what the main issues are presently and that SVP has some problems with its ministers and mobilization). The OutCome of the CantonalElections in Zurich show more than the OpinionPolls, where CH is standing: Strong (for CH-levels) losses for SVP (-5.6%) and strong gains for GPS (+4.7%) and GLP (+5.3%). Surprising, though, that the FDP lost in ZH, too (-1.7%), different to other cantons. (It was certainly no coincidence, that the president of the federal FDP - Mrs.Gössi, normally on the RightWing of her party - has suddenly tried to make U-turns on ClimateProtection in the last few weeks.) If the weather will be moderate this summer (possible) and the PupilProtests against ClimateChange will stop (not so possible), the Greenies will win in fall "only" ~6%, i'd guess.
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Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on May 22, 2019 0:11:51 GMT
My interest was piqued by the mention of Swiss health costs, so I thought I’d see what Wikipedia has to say. This leapt out at me: ‘The insured person pays the insurance premium for the basic plan up to 8% of their personal income’ Up to 8%?! I assume it’s a minority who pay that much, but my God. SVP - who like to nickname FDP's "FreiSinnige" (="FreeMinded") "WeichSinnige" (=" WeakMinded"), what has often been not undeserved - made suddenly a u-turn on increasing the private HealthCosts, similar to CVP. FDP&GLP aren't amused. (SPS also not, because they have lost now an important topic for campaigning in autumn.) They lost, and might want to start pondering about getting over it by now. [...] By the way, i'd say it'll be not so likely, that SVP&FDP will defend their 4/7-majority in the BundesRat next fall - but that's something to be discussed in the Swiss thread, where I also posted, which federal ministry (beginning 1892) was ruled by which party's minister. If You cannot find that OverView, i can post it once again there. vote-2012.proboards.com/post/300241Found it.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 12, 2019 19:04:24 GMT
SVP is plagued by a series of scandals and problems. This time it's once again Aargau, where they got 2015 nearly 50% of the MPs.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 25, 2019 1:54:16 GMT
FDP-delegates endorsed at a PartyConvent the green policies of their PartyPresident Mrs.Gössi, proposed in an OpinionPoll of PartyMembers few months ago. (While the members' wish to rely more on atomic power was voted down.) The PartyYouth and many MPs opposed it as "eco-communism".
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jul 3, 2019 6:36:14 GMT
TypeTrends (cities/agglomerations/rurals) 1990-2018 (according to SOTOMO): Agglomerations:
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 2, 2019 14:30:13 GMT
After SVP has tried it since 2015 with moderate style (symbolized by PartyPresident Rösti) and it hasn't worked well electorally, they came out with this poster: "Shall the left and the nice destroy SwitzerLand?"
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 2, 2019 14:32:19 GMT
In the cantons the left parties have - as usual - combined lists, what helps in SeatDistribution. The Mid is also fairly united this time, the Right is less than before:
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 2, 2019 14:36:10 GMT
After SVP has tried it since 2015 with moderate style (symbolized by PartyPresident Rösti) and it hasn't worked well electorally, they came out with this poster: "Shall the left and the nice destroy SwitzerLand?" Here comes the Nice.....
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 6, 2019 6:50:06 GMT
As was expected by many, the GREENS have been able to pass CVP: sotomo.ch/site/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/SRG-SSR-Wahlbarometer-2019.09-Bericht.pdfLike in Austria the GovernmentFormation will be more interesting than the election itself. Already 1 year ago i predicted, that SVP&FDP will lose their 4/7-majority of ministers. On the one hand MidLeft might need FDP and try to replace SVP's Parmelin or the successor of Maurer; on the other hand they could be scared of having SVP once again as an opposition promoting painful referenda as in 2003-2011 and deelect Cassis (FDP).
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 26, 2019 5:44:45 GMT
Poll by SOTOMO for Zurich's 2 StändeRäte (presently Noser/FDP and Jositsch/SPS [moderate]): Second round: - with all 5 major candidates: - with GLP, without GPS: - with GPS, without GLP: Support for… -Jositsch (SPS): - Moser (GLP): - Noser (FDP): - Schlatter (GPS):
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