Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 14, 2019 22:21:44 GMT
Polls closing has come around, I know that Southampton will be counting tonight. I can confirm that the Lib Dems ran more than a paper campaign, although personally I wasn't involved and I don't know quite how extensive it was or whether it will work out. The socialists have been working quite hard as well and seem to have latched on to the image of the outgoing councillor, but many voters will be put off with the socialist label. Certainly an election which had to keep Labour on their toes, although they're certainly in a reasonable position to win. I know that UKIP and Integrity have put some effort in, and the Conservatives seem to have been quite quiet, although of course national politics mean they won't be completely irrelevant. Should be an interesting result although at the same time I wouldn't be overly surprised by a firm Labour win. are you using socialist as a noun in the way commentators did in the 50s? I'm using it to refer to the Socialist Alternative candidate and her supporters. Partly due to the independent group in Coxford having formerly been part of TUSC, TUSC and related entities still contest a lot of elections in Southampton, and hence 'socialists' referring explicitly to them is pretty common to those politically involved in the area (in my experience anyway). I should have made that clearer, and I wasn't referring to Labour with it if that's what you meant! |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 14, 2019 22:22:38 GMT
Durham has announced the Wingate turnout (24.2%) at only 10:17 PM so looks like an early result.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Mar 14, 2019 22:30:23 GMT
Durham has announced the Wingate turnout (24.2%) at only 10:17 PM so looks like an early result. Only 2 polling stations. Electorate is 2966, so that’s about 718 votes. Not sure how you have a turnout by 10.17! |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 14, 2019 22:31:31 GMT
DURHAM Wingate
HIGGINS, John Robert (Labour) 458
SIMPSON, Edwin Herbert (Liberal Democrat) 163
MILES, Stephen Joseph (North East Party) 74
FRY, Gareth David Anthony (For Britain) 20
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Mar 14, 2019 22:32:18 GMT
Result at 10.29. Is that a record?
Lab 64.1%
LD 22.8%
North East 10.3%
For Britain 2.8%
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 14, 2019 22:34:15 GMT
Result at 10.29. Is that a record? Lab 64.1% LD 22.8% North East 10.3% For Britain 2.8% Faster than a speeding ballot, I mean bullet. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 14, 2019 22:37:19 GMT
Must be the Sunderland influence
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iain
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Post by iain on Mar 14, 2019 22:42:28 GMT
Result at 10.29. Is that a record? Lab 64.1% LD 22.8% North East 10.3% For Britain 2.8% Labour -9.6% Lib Dem +20.1% North East +0.3% For Britain N/A |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 14, 2019 23:30:55 GMT
CROYDON Norbury and Pollards Hill
BEN-HASSEL, Leila (Labour) 1,379
GUNTER, Tirena Hilary (Conservative) 324
O’GRADY, Mark James Gerard (Independent) 162
CHANCE, Rachel Mary (Green) 91
ROZNERSKA, Margaret (Independent) 72
BURCHETT, Guy Michael Clinton (Liberal Democrat) 70
GARNER, Kathleen (UKIP) 40
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 14, 2019 23:33:54 GMT
Norbury and Pollards Hill, Croydon
Lab 1379 (64.5%; -3.2)
Con 324 (15.2%; -6.8)
Ind 162 (7.6%)
Grn 91 (4.3%; -5.9)
Ind 72 (3.4%)
LD 70 (3.3%)
UKIP 40 (1.9%)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 14, 2019 23:47:26 GMT
Turnout in Norbury and Pollards Hill was 25.3%.
Slightly concerned (in the sense of 'are they counting tonight?') about hearing nothing from Southampton, despite it being an urban ward and there being lots of tweets during the day about an extensive Labour GOTV operation.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 15, 2019 0:12:05 GMT
Turnout in Norbury and Pollards Hill was 25.3%. Slightly concerned (in the sense of 'are they counting tonight?') about hearing nothing from Southampton, despite it being an urban ward and there being lots of tweets during the day about an extensive Labour GOTV operation. The official notice on the council website says they’re counting tonight at the Civic Centre: www.southampton.gov.uk/images/lge_notice%20of%20time%20and%20place-r_tcm63-406060.pdf |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 15, 2019 0:12:11 GMT
Turnout in Norbury and Pollards Hill was 25.3%. Slightly concerned (in the sense of 'are they counting tonight?') about hearing nothing from Southampton, despite it being an urban ward and there being lots of tweets during the day about an extensive Labour GOTV operation. LABOUR gain from Ind in Coxford, Southampton. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 15, 2019 0:23:34 GMT
SOUTHAMPTON Coxford
RENYARD, Matthew (Labour Party Candidate) 668
GALTON, Diana June (The Conservative Party Candidate) 529
CHAPMAN, Sam Philip (Liberal Democrat) 450
ATKINS, Susan Anne (Socialist Alternative -Putting People First) 368
FLETCHER, David John (Integrity Southampton) 178
MCQUILLAN, Richard Terrence (Independent) 174
HUMBER, Derek Lascelles (UKIP) 123
SANDYS, Cara Anne (Green Party) 53
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Mar 15, 2019 0:28:17 GMT
SOUTHAMPTON Coxford RENYARD, Matthew (Labour Party Candidate) 668 GALTON, Diana June (The Conservative Party Candidate) 529 CHAPMAN, Sam Philip (Liberal Democrat) 450 ATKINS, Susan Anne (Socialist Alternative -Putting People First) 368 FLETCHER, David John (Integrity Southampton) 178 MCQUILLAN, Richard Terrence (Independent) 174 HUMBER, Derek Lascelles (UKIP) 123 SANDYS, Cara Anne (Green Party) 53 Lab 26.3% (-1.9) Con 20.8% (+4.3) LD 17.7% (+14.7) SA 14.5% IS 7.0% Ind 6.8% (+4.4) UKIP 4.8% Grn 2.1% (-0.9) |
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Post by timrollpickering on Mar 15, 2019 0:29:29 GMT
Durham has announced the Wingate turnout (24.2%) at only 10:17 PM so looks like an early result. Only 2 polling stations. Electorate is 2966, so that’s about 718 votes. Not sure how you have a turnout by 10.17! Instant message from the polling stations? A running total is maintained throughout the day. |
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Sharon
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Post by Sharon on Mar 15, 2019 0:44:59 GMT
SOUTHAMPTON Coxford RENYARD, Matthew (Labour Party Candidate) 668 GALTON, Diana June (The Conservative Party Candidate) 529 CHAPMAN, Sam Philip (Liberal Democrat) 450 ATKINS, Susan Anne (Socialist Alternative -Putting People First) 368 FLETCHER, David John (Integrity Southampton) 178 MCQUILLAN, Richard Terrence (Independent) 174 HUMBER, Derek Lascelles (UKIP) 123 SANDYS, Cara Anne (Green Party) 53 Lab 26.3% (-1.9) Con 20.8% (+4.3) LD 17.7% (+14.7) SA 14.5% IS 7.0% Ind 6.8% (+4.4) UKIP 4.8% Grn 2.1% (-0.9) Turnout was 25.03%. Just back home  |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on Mar 15, 2019 1:22:27 GMT
SOUTHAMPTON Coxford 668 529 450 368 178 174 123 53 That makes a Laakso-Taagepera index of 5.65 |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on Mar 15, 2019 1:34:17 GMT
CROYDON Norbury and Pollards Hill BEN-HASSEL, Leila (Labour) 1,379 GUNTER, Tirena Hilary (Conservative) 324 O’GRADY, Mark James Gerard (Independent) 162 CHANCE, Rachel Mary (Green) 91 ROZNERSKA, Margaret (Independent) 72 BURCHETT, Guy Michael Clinton (Liberal Democrat) 70 GARNER, Kathleen (UKIP) 40 For those who thrive on statistics: The turnouts were: NPH1: 248 NPH2: 145 NPH3: 327 NPH4: 378 NPH5: 369 polling stations: 1467 out of 7231 (20.3%) postal: 678 out of 1262 (53.7%) total: 2145 out of 8493 (25.3%) The result was declared at 11:21pm It took me 1 hour 15 minutes to walk from Park Hill to Norbury It took me 1 hour 13 minutes to walk back The count was in the same school as one of the polling stations (albeit with different entrances) so the first ballot box arrived at 10:03 The Labour Party has been tweeting several canvassing sessions with large groups of people, but we only had two main sessions (one with 7 people and one with 30 people including Shaun Bailey), which might explain the high Lab:Con ratio. I was only in Norbury for one session during the campaign, and I don't actually know anything about Mark O'Grady, or who/what he is, or what campaigning he did, so I can't explain how he got so many votes. Malgorzata Roznerska was talking to someone in Polish on the phone for a lot of the time during the count, but during a suitable interval I managed to sang the Polish national anthem. The sample of postal votes which I saw a week ago had a Lab:Con ratio of about 2.5 |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on Mar 15, 2019 2:13:24 GMT
The 162 votes and 7.6% of the vote for Mark O'Grady is the biggest number of votes for an Independent candidate in a council by-election in Croydon since:
Waddon, 12th August 1993
Peter Collier (Independent Resident) 213 (6.7%)
...and the biggest percentage of the vote for an Independent candidate in a council by-election in Croydon since:
Woodcote & Coulsdon West, 11th June 1981
Maurice Dunbar (Local Affairs) 256 (10.1%)
if you want to be precisely pedantic in allowing only the description "Independent" then it's the biggest number *and* percentage since:
East Ward [approximately what is now Shirley North], 6th July 1972
J.R. Simmonds (Independent) 1,221 (27.1%)
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