Prediction Competition - February 2019

[greatkingrat]

CARDIFF: Lab 48, PC 31, Con 14, LD 7
NORTHAMPTONSHIRE: Con 53, Lab 24, UKIP 12, LD 11

[Davıd Boothroyd]

CARDIFF Ely: Lab 48, PC 33, C 14, L Dem 5
NORTHAMPTONSHIRE Oundle: C 50, Lab 27, L Dem 17, UKIP 6

[Right Leaning]

Cardiff, Ely: Lab 45, PC 34, C 14, LD 7.
Northamptonshire, Oundle: C 58, LD 20, Lab 19, UKIP 3.

[olympian95]

Cardiff: Lab 48, PC 29, Con 15, LD 8

Northants: Con 54, Lab 22, LD 16, UKIP 8

[middleenglander]

16 entrants again this week with europeanlefty returning but nothing from ricmk.

Cardiff, Ely: 100% Labour hold with majority over Plaid Cymru from 1% (robbienicoll) to 25% (europeanlefty)
Northamptonshire, Oundle: 100% Conservative hold with majority from 12% (iainbhx over Labour) to 40.9% (Tony Otim over Liberal Democrat)

[middleenglander]

Week 3:

Authority	Cardiff	Northamptonshire	Week 3	Week 3	Week 1 & 2	Weeks 1 - 3	Weeks 1 - 3
Division / Ward	Ely	Oundle	faults	position	faults	faults	position
andrewp	18.4+10	26.9	55.3	5th	215.5	270.7	1st
David Boothroyd	20.4+10	38.9	69.3	9th	282.4	351.7	12th
europeanlefty	36.2+10	40.3	86.5	16th	319.5	406.0	15th
greatkingrat	24.4+10	48.3	82.6	15th	259.5	342.2	10th
greenrobinhood	22.2+10	28.9	61.2	7th	222.4	283.5	3rd
hempie	26.2+10	38.3	74.5	11th	229.1	303.6	7th
iainbhx	20.2+10	46.9	77.1	13th	287.3	364.4	13th
jamesrodriguez	20.2+10	18.3	48.5	2nd	251.5	300.0	6th
Olympian95	28.2+10	38.3	76.5	12th	267.8	344.3	11th
peterl	100	100	200		307.8	507.8	18th
priceofdawn	37.1+10	30.3	77.4	14th	368.4	445.8	16th
ricmk	100	100	200		279.4	479.4	17th
Right Leaning	18.4+10	30.3	58.6	6th	228.9	287.5	4th
Robbie Nicoll	21.2+10	10.9	42.1	1st	231.6	273.7	2nd
Robert Waller	22.4+10	30.3	62.6	8th	270.9	333.6	9th
Tony Otim	27.6+10	34.7	72.3	10th	298.7	371.0	14th
Toylyyev	15.2+10	28.3	53.5	4th	241.6	295.1	5th
Yellow Peril	20.2+10	22.9	53.2	3rd	255.9	309.0	8th
Total	578.8+160	712.5	1,451.3		4,818.1	6,269.4

Objections please by noon Sunday.

There is one by-election in the last week of the month.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.

[yellowperil]

Thanks to middleenglander for wrapping this up so well, congratulations to andrewp ,  for hanging on in there for the month (only one more election left and February is yours) and to robbienicoll for taking another quite challenging week.

[andrewp]

Feb 22, 2019 1:33:13 GMT yellowperil said:

Thanks to middleenglander for wrapping this up so well, congratulations to andrewp ,  for hanging on in there for the month (only one more election left and February is yours) and to@robbienicoll for taking another quite challenging week.

Yes well done to Robbie Nicoll.. All very close at the top. 

Next weeks contest is quite an unpredictable one.....

[ElectionMapsUK]

I can't believe I've completely forgot about this all month... Damn it! I suppose I'd better do my prediction extra early this week:

Berkeley Vale (Stroud): CON 47%, LAB 29%, LDM 20%, GRN 4%

Read more: vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/12127/prediction-competition-february-2019?page=4#ixzz5gUChmwXm

[Deleted]

Berkeley Vale (Stroud): Con 45 Lab 40 LD 10 Grn 5

[Tony Otim]

STROUD: Con 42.2; Lab 33.2; LD 19.8; Grn 4.8

[Deleted]

STROUD: Con 39; Lab 29; LD 21; Grn 11

[iainbhx]

STROUD: CON 42 LAB 38 LDM 13 GRN 7

[robbienicoll]

Berkeley Vale, Stroud: Con 42, Lab 36, LD 15, Green 7

[Toylyyev]

Stroud DC, Berkeley Vale: Labour 41, Conservative 38, Liberal Democrat 17, Green 4.

[jamesrodriguez]

Stroud, Berkeley Vale: Con 44, Lab 34, LD 16, Grn 6

[greenhert]

Stroud DC, Berkeley Vale: Conservative 43, Labour 37, Liberal Democrats 14, Green 6.

[ricmk]

STROUD: Con 50 LD 25 Lab 20 Green 5

[Davıd Boothroyd]

STROUD Berkeley Vale: C 52, Lab 31, L Dem 12, GP 5

[Robert Waller]

Stroud DC, Berkeley Vale: Conservative 40, Labour 36, Liberal Democrats 20, Green 4.