Prediction Competition - February 2019

[andrewp]

Vale of Glamorgan, Rhoose Con 43, Ind 36, Lab 21

[Right Leaning]

Vale of Glamorgan; Rhoose:- C 43, Ind 38 Lab 19

[greatkingrat]

VALE OF GLAMORGAN: Con 40, Ind 37, Lab 23

[hempie]

Vale of Glamorgan, Rhoose: Con 42, Ind 38, Lab 20

[jamesrodriguez]

Vale of Glamorgan, Rhoose: Con 47, Ind 33, Lab 20

[middleenglander]

16 entrants for the one by-election this week with nothing from europeanlefty and peterl. priceofdawn gets 1 additional fault for adding to only 99%.

13 Conservative hold, majority mostly over Independent from 0.2% (toyllev) to 14% (jamesrodriguez); David Boothroyd, priceofdawn & ricmk Independent gain

[middleenglander]

Week 2:

Authority	Week 1	Vale of      Glamorgan	Week 1 & 2	Weeks 1 & 2
Division / Ward	faults	Rhoose	faults	position
andrewp	178.4	37.0	215.5	1st
David Boothroyd	215.6	56.8+10	282.4	13th
europeanlefty	219.5	100	319.5	17th
greatkingrat	216.5	43.0	259.5	9th
greenrobinhood	183.3	39.0	222.4	2nd
hempie	190.0	39.0	229.1	4th
iainbhx	246.2	41.0	287.3	14th
jamesrodriguez	222.5	29.0	251.5	7th
Olympian95	221.0	46.8	267.8	10th
petrel	207.8	100	307.8	16th
priceofdawn	287.4	70.0+1+10	368.4	18th
ricmk	216.4	53.0+10	279.4	12th
Right Leaning	190.1	38.8	228.9	3rd
Robbie Nicoll	190.8	40.8	231.6	5th
Robert Waller	227.9	43.0	270.9	11th
Tony Otim	258.8	40.0	298.7	15th
Toylyyev	196.7	44.8	241.6	6th
Yellow Peril	216.8	39.0	255.9	8th
Total	3,885.8	901.3+1+30	4,818.1

Objections please by noon Sunday.

There are 2 by-elections next week.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.

[yellowperil]

Congratulations to jamesrodriguez on the week's win and to andrewp  for retaining the overall  lead for the second week of the month - only 3 more elections to go so quite a good chance for him to hang on to that lead!

[Deleted]

Ely (Cardiff): Lab 50 PC 25 Con 20 LD 5
Oundle (Northamptonshire): Con 55 Lab 25 LD 15 UKIP 5

[Deleted]

Ely (Cardiff): Lab 35 PC 30 Con 25 LD 10
Oundle (Northamptonshire): Con 60 Lab 15 LD 20 UKIP 5

[Toylyyev]

Cardiff UA, Ely: Labour 40, Plaid Cymru 37, Conservative 13, Liberal Democrat 10.
Northamptonshire CC, Oundle: Conservative 55, Labour 19, Liberal Democrat 21, UKIP 5.

[jamesrodriguez]

Cardiff, Ely: Lab 41, Plaid 33, Con 19, LD 7.
Northamptonshire, Oundle: Con 53, LD 26, Lab 18, UKIP 3.

[hempie]

Cardiff, Ely: Lab 45, Plaid 30, Con 18, LD 7
Northamptonshire, Oundle: Con 56, Lab 23, LD 16, UKIP 5

[robbienicoll]

Ely, Cardiff: Con 14, Lab 37, LD 13, PC 36
Oundle, Northamptonshire: Con 51, Lab 13, LD 30, UKIP 6

[iainbhx]

Ely (Cardiff): Lab 45, PC 33, Con 15, LDm 7
Oundle (Northants): Con 40, Lab 28, LDm 23, UKIP 9

[Tony Otim]

Cardiff: Lab 43.1; PC 29.3; Con 15.5; LD 12.1
Northants: Con 58.7; LD 17.8; Lab 15.6; UKIP 7.9

[Robert Waller]

Cardiff, Ely: Lab 48, Plaid 33, Con 13, LD 6.
Northamptonshire, Oundle: Con 53, LD 20, Lab 22, UKIP 5.

[greenhert]

Cardiff UA, Ely: Labour 44, Plaid Cymru 32, Conservative 17, Liberal Democrats 7.
Northamptonshire CC, Oundle: Conservative 50, Liberal Democrats 22, Labour 22, UKIP 6.

[andrewp]

Cardiff Ely Lab 44, PC 34, Con 14, Lib Dem 8
Northamptonshire, Oundle Con 48, Lib Dem 25, Lab 21, UKIP 6

[yellowperil]

Cardiff, Ely: Con 15, Lab 45, LD 7, PC 33
Northants, Oundle: Con 51, Lab 20, LD 24, UKIP 5