Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Dec 3, 2012 23:12:46 GMT
Did you "win" any seats in the 2009 Euro poll? The count was by council area not parliamentary constituency. From memory we carried Hartlepool, Torbay, Torridge, North Devon, Plymouth, Dudley and Newcastle-under-Lyme. There might have been a couple of others. |
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,627 
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Post by Rural Radical on Dec 3, 2012 23:16:21 GMT
I thought you won Stoke on Trent?
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
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Post by andrea on Dec 3, 2012 23:18:03 GMT
Hartlepool, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Stoke, Hull, Dudley, Plymouth, North Devon, Torridge, Torbay www.parliament.uk/documents/commons/lib/research/rp2009/rp09-053.pdf(at the end) 2004: Amber Valley, Ashfield, Boston, Erewash, Gedling, Mansfield, Oadby and Wigston, North West Leicestershire, Tendring, Caradon, Isles of Scilly, Kerrier, North Cornwall, North Devon, Plymouth, Restormel, Teignbridge, Torbay, West Devon, Torridge www.parliament.uk/documents/commons/lib/research/rp2004/rp04-050.pdf |
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Post by marksenior on Dec 3, 2012 23:23:11 GMT
There is zero chance of UKIP winning in Boston and Skegness . UKIP had no councillors elected in either part of the seat in 2011 and indeed Chris Pain polled just 143 votes in his ward behind an Independent , Labour , Lib Dems and the Conservatives .
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
Posts: 1,420
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Post by tricky on Dec 4, 2012 22:04:48 GMT
I noticed Westmorland and Lonsdale in your list of possibles.
LOL
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Post by Tangent on Dec 5, 2012 14:46:50 GMT
Surprised nobody's made more mention of Chesham and Amersham. High profile issue (HS2) on which UKIP are on the other side to all three parties. In the sad event of CG leaving the House, it is probable that a succeeding Tory candidate would issue an unequivocal personal pledge to oppose HS2, and CCO wouldn't kick a fuss, neutralising the issue. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Dec 5, 2012 14:49:27 GMT
Surprised nobody's made more mention of Chesham and Amersham. High profile issue (HS2) on which UKIP are on the other side to all three parties. In the sad event of CG leaving the House, it is probable that a succeeding Tory candidate would issue an unequivocal personal pledge to oppose HS2, and CCO wouldn't kick a fuss, neutralising the issue. well gven they have announced HS2 stage 2 now it will inflame the views along the route and you do wonder if a Tory could jump ? |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Dec 5, 2012 19:02:32 GMT
In the sad event of CG leaving the House, it is probable that a succeeding Tory candidate would issue an unequivocal personal pledge to oppose HS2, and CCO wouldn't kick a fuss, neutralising the issue. well gven they have announced HS2 stage 2 now it will inflame the views along the route and you do wonder if a Tory could jump ? But they haven't announced it yet! At least not the precise route. |
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
Posts: 2,873
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Post by Pimpernal on Dec 5, 2012 19:25:32 GMT
If there was a byelection, i think Sittingbourne and Sheppey could spring a surprise...
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Dec 5, 2012 19:37:48 GMT
well gven they have announced HS2 stage 2 now it will inflame the views along the route and you do wonder if a Tory could jump ? But they haven't announced it yet! At least not the precise route. No but the mps affected are clear who will be campaigning against |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2013 9:19:22 GMT
The answer's still no.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 13, 2013 18:05:16 GMT
I noticed Westmorland and Lonsdale in your list of possibles. LOL Well, if the by-election was the result of some terrible misdemeanour by Mr Farron (and I mean terrible) AND we selected Lembit as a candidate AND the Conservatives selected a black, gay A-lister from North London AND Labour forgot to hand in their nomination papers ............................ Nah! |
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Post by thirdchill on Feb 20, 2013 11:32:02 GMT
If there was a byelection, i think Sittingbourne and Sheppey could spring a surprise... Not with labour currently in a strong second it wouldn't. I'd rule out all marginals, particularly any marginal where labour is one of the top two parties in the constituency. The best UKIP prospect is a safeish conservative seat where the lib dems and labour aren't that well organised. |
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Post by erlend on Feb 20, 2013 19:00:22 GMT
To give an example from the last parliament Henley. Although better if there were not even a nearby LD well organised seat (OXWAB there).
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
Posts: 2,873
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Post by Pimpernal on Feb 24, 2013 17:51:52 GMT
Given how bad Estleigh looked for UKIP at the outset, I think the UKIP prospects for a byelectio upset sometime this parliament are better than might have been previously thought?
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Feb 24, 2013 18:36:12 GMT
How many more are you expecting? Any occurring in the last six months of the parliament are unlikely to be called, and any occurring in the last twelve may not be.
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Post by greatkingrat on Feb 24, 2013 19:19:31 GMT
I would expect any vacancy occuring before Dec 2014 to have a by-election. There is no way any party could get away with leaving a seat vacant for 12 months.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 24, 2013 19:23:25 GMT
Maybe Sheffield Hallam  hmmmm |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 25, 2013 16:23:29 GMT
Maybe Sheffield Hallam hmmmm Question to which the answer is Lolzno |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 26, 2013 13:27:45 GMT
If they (UKIP) don't win Eastleigh then the answer will be not in this parliament I would imagine.
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hmmmm