Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 27, 2014 22:04:11 GMT
Has Con + lab ever been that low before???
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Oct 27, 2014 22:04:28 GMT
Is this a record low for the combined Con/Lab share?
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Oct 27, 2014 22:05:17 GMT
Also reported to be (perhaps someone can verify this) the first time ever no party has been above 30%
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Oct 27, 2014 22:27:48 GMT
Has Con + lab ever been that low before??? I suspect [Edit: wrongly] the the last (and only) time that Con + Lab has been that low was during the SDP surge in 81-82. Perhas someone can verify?
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Oct 27, 2014 22:39:57 GMT
Is this a record low for the combined Con/Lab share? Actually I have to correct myself here. An Ashcroft poll on the 20th of this month that showed a combined Tory Labour vote share of 59% (Con 28% Lab 31%)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 27, 2014 22:41:26 GMT
Is this a record low for the combined Con/Lab share? Actually I have to correct myself here. An Ashcroft poll on the 20th of this month that showed a combined Tory Labour vote share of 59% (Con 28% Lab 31%) Ashcroft polls are crap. Any reputable sources?
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Oct 27, 2014 22:47:37 GMT
Actually I have to correct myself here. An Ashcroft poll on the 20th of this month that showed a combined Tory Labour vote share of 59% (Con 28% Lab 31%) Ashcroft polls are crap. Any reputable sources? YouGov's record low Con+Lab combination for this Parliament (and I'm guessing ever) was its Oct 17th poll this months which had a combined score of 63% (Con 31% Lab 32%)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 27, 2014 23:49:26 GMT
Con+Lab have both been below 30% at the same times before, most notably during the so-called Golden Age of the SDP between October 1981 and January 1982. The most famous one was a Gallup poll in December 1981 showing L-SDP All 50.5, Lab 23.5, Con 23 (Con+Lab total 46.5%).
It also happened in September 1985, during the so-called Silver Age of the SDP (L-SDP All 39, Lab 29.5, Con 29).
It came very close to happening just after the Brent, East by-election of 2003 - one poll put Con+Lab+LD all on 31%. Similarly it almost happened during the height of Cleggmania during the 2010 election campaign.
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Nov 15, 2014 19:34:40 GMT
ComRes/ Independent on Sunday
Lab 34% (nc) Con 30% (-1) UKIP 19% (nc) LD 8% (+1) Grn 3% (-1)
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Nov 15, 2014 21:21:37 GMT
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Nov 26, 2014 17:18:47 GMT
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 26, 2014 18:16:41 GMT
Not much use unless we know what the changes and swing are, since we don't know offhand which marginals they're polling.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 26, 2014 21:19:48 GMT
Not much use unless we know what the changes and swing are, since we don't know offhand which marginals they're polling. See Anthony Wells's post
|
|
Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
Posts: 2,873
|
Post by Pimpernal on Nov 26, 2014 21:31:44 GMT
The Comres phone survey for the end of November is Lab 42 (-2) Con 35 (+2) LibDem 10 (-2) UKIP 6 (+1) As with other phone surveys, this generally shows a lower UKIP figure - and 6 per cent is apparently their best yet here. 2 years is a long time in politics...
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Dec 1, 2014 22:06:23 GMT
Bad poll for the Conservatives, good poll for the Green party
Con 28% (-2) Lab 31% (+1) LD 9% (NC) UKIP 18% (-1) Green 7% (+3) Others 7% (NC)
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Dec 13, 2014 19:33:42 GMT
ComRes/ Independent on Sunday
Lab 34% (nc) Con 33% (+3) UKIP 18% (-1) LD 8% (nc) Green 2% (-1)
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,391
|
Post by The Bishop on Dec 13, 2014 20:36:11 GMT
Now that's an eyebrow-raising Green figure......
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2014 20:49:37 GMT
#Greensurge
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 14, 2014 0:05:37 GMT
7% -> 3%- > 2%
|
|
|
Post by greenchristian on Dec 14, 2014 18:00:36 GMT
Now that's an eyebrow-raising Green figure...... Anthony Wells says that they must be applying a much harsher turnout threshold for Green and UKIP voters than for Labour, the Lib Dems, or the Tories. For UKIP this is counterbalanced by including them in the main prompt. For us, not so much.
|
|