The Bishop
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Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 27, 2012 11:34:09 GMT
The Comres phone survey for the end of November is
Lab 42 (-2)
Con 35 (+2)
LibDem 10 (-2)
UKIP 6 (+1)
As with other phone surveys, this generally shows a lower UKIP figure - and 6 per cent is apparently their best yet here.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2012 11:54:31 GMT
The Comres phone survey for the end of November is Lab 42 (-2) Con 35 (+2) LibDem 10 (-2) UKIP 6 (+1) As with other phone surveys, this generally shows a lower UKIP figure - and 6 per cent is apparently their best yet here. Are the results taken from those sure to vote or does it include any figures for those who won't be voting for anyone. I wonder if the don't care percentage is rising in polls. |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:17:01 GMT
r@v @tvrav
There's an insane Comres Poll coming out tonight. Will publish at 1930. Keep your eyes peeled.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:30:11 GMT
speculation is low LD score - sub 5% and UKIP over 15%
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:31:40 GMT
Labour 39% (-4 on mth); Con 28% (-3); UKIP 14% (+6); LD 9% (-1); Oths 9% (+1). Comres poll of 2002 adults for @indyonsunday & Sunday Mirror.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:34:20 GMT
speculation is low LD score - sub 5% and UKIP over 15% Bollocks then..... |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:34:57 GMT
Labour 39% (-4 on mth); Con 28% (-3); UKIP 14% (+6); LD 9% (-1); Oths 9% (+1). Comres poll of 2002 adults for @indyonsunday & Sunday Mirror. Is this an online or a telephone poll? |
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The Bishop
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Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 15, 2012 19:36:33 GMT
The IoS surveys are online.
Both this and Opinium suggest that the UKIP surge isn't *just* coming from Tories, interestingly.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:36:39 GMT
online
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:37:48 GMT
speculation is low LD score - sub 5% and UKIP over 15% Bollocks then..... one was, the other nearly right, not quite the sensation led to believe ... however I do note that there is a weakening of our score and Tories slightly better weakening ... |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:39:17 GMT
The IoS surveys are online. Both this and Opinium suggest that the UKIP surge isn't *just* coming from Tories, interestingly. Rightward tack ahoy! |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 19:47:00 GMT
The IoS surveys are online. Both this and Opinium suggest that the UKIP surge isn't *just* coming from Tories, interestingly. Rightward tack ahoy! not sure on that at all. Look at the by election seats you have won, that was more than just Tory to UKIP wasn't it ? Actually in the opionum one we went up by 1% Also in the Comres one a methodology change gave better weighting to UKIP |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 20:10:15 GMT
one was, the other nearly right, not quite the sensation led to believe ... however I do note that there is a weakening of our score and Tories slightly better weakening ... Tbh I would wait until May and then next December to see where the lie of the land is. . |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2012 21:34:10 GMT
or what EU trick Cameron pulls out
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The Bishop
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Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 17, 2012 23:22:13 GMT
The ComRes phone survey for December (unusual for this to be so close to the IoS one)
Lab 41 (-1)
Con 31 (-4)
LibDem 10
UKIP 9 (+3)
Spot the trend......
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 12, 2013 20:19:26 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jan 12, 2013 20:39:09 GMT
bloody hell, if we are 35% for euro then looking at massive win in 2015
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Post by Andrew_S on Jan 12, 2013 21:24:39 GMT
bloody hell, if we are 35% for euro then looking at massive win in 2015 I'd be surprised if any party gets more than 30% in the Euro elections. Labour certainly are the party most likely to get the most votes though IMO. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 12, 2013 21:58:10 GMT
I agree. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility - likelihood even - of UKIP topping the poll (including by me). I've had a play around with the numbers in each region and I have to say its very hard for UKIP to do that. They would need to be a good second to Labour in the three northern regions and a good second to the Conservatives in the East and South East (by which I mean no more really than 5% behind). They could be ahead in the South West but even that is not so easy and maybe come through the middle to take the lead in the East and West Midlands. That might be just enough to put them ahead in the popular vote in England overall, but they cannot I believe get much better than 15% in London and when Scotland and Wales are added to the mix then Labour are likely to be ahead. Labour will not however get 35% or anywhere near to it - ian appears to be counting his chickens before they've even been fertilised. I do worry slightly that all the talk of UKIP topping the poll could lead to an otherwise excellent result being painted as a defeat or failure if it doesn;t happen. On the other hand this kind of hype may tend to assist any bandwagon effect and could become a self-fulfilling prophecy
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Post by Deleted on Jan 12, 2013 21:58:45 GMT
my measure is to be 10% above the tories
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