Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 19, 2014 19:20:57 GMT
got a feeling you picked up on the new proposed but never will happen boundaries as well.
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Post by thefuture on Jan 19, 2014 19:32:57 GMT
got a feeling you picked up on the new proposed but never will happen boundaries as well. Yes, that must be it. Are they the one's that the Lib Dem's refused to agree to because of the absence of Lords reform?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 19, 2014 19:39:59 GMT
yep indeed they are.
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Post by greenchristian on Jan 19, 2014 22:29:23 GMT
You mean UKIP having a higher % with a favourable view of you than Labour, the Tories, or the Lib Dems? Given that you are only on 27% favourable, that's more indicative of the low view the public have of politics in general and the main parties in particular than it is of anything you've done right. I suspect that if they'd included us, we'd also have quite a high score compared to the rest.
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Post by timokane on Jan 20, 2014 1:03:45 GMT
By my (probably dodgy) maths and uniform swings, the latest COMRES poll would give UKIP 22 seats: Aylesbury Boston & Skegness Bournemouth East Bournemouth West Chistchurch Dudley West East Devon Huntingdon Newcastle Under Lyme Newton Abbot North Devon North Norfolk Peterborough North Peterborough South Plymouth Davenport Plymouth Sutton South Suffolk Spelthorne St Ives Staffordshire Moorlands Thurrock Torbay Well if we were to believe this lets all go down to the bookies and put our mortgages on UKIP getting one seat or more in the general election. Paddy Power offering 6/5 about such an occurrence right now. They also offer only 8/13 that UKIP will take no seats.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 20, 2014 11:27:38 GMT
Well, the supposedly "sensational" finding didn't actually relate to VI at all
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 20, 2014 13:50:45 GMT
it suited the agenda's of some though and that is that counts
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Pimpernal
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A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
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Post by Pimpernal on Jan 28, 2014 5:57:53 GMT
Latst: Labr 33 (-4) Cons 32 () UKIP 14 (+4) LDs 9 ()
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2014 8:53:02 GMT
4 point switch from Lab to UKIP? Hmmm.
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johnr
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Post by johnr on Jan 28, 2014 9:20:05 GMT
Yes, if you looked at the unweighted data, they had to weight down the Labour sample quite a bit. Let's wait to see if this is a trend.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2014 15:04:18 GMT
Yes, if you looked at the unweighted data, they had to weight down the Labour sample quite a bit. Let's wait to see if this is a trend. If you want to see true weighting down and up see populous libdems go from 200 respondents to 250 UKIP go from 180 to 20.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 28, 2014 15:42:19 GMT
Yes, if you looked at the unweighted data, they had to weight down the Labour sample quite a bit. Let's wait to see if this is a trend. The unweighted ComRes figures were Lab 39 Con 29 - that is quite a difference with the final "result".
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2014 15:56:55 GMT
Yes, if you looked at the unweighted data, they had to weight down the Labour sample quite a bit. Let's wait to see if this is a trend. The unweighted ComRes figures were Con 39 Lab 29 - that is quite a difference with the final "result". Other way around, I think sent while on the move somewhere
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 28, 2014 15:59:00 GMT
Yes, of course
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johnr
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Post by johnr on Jan 29, 2014 9:07:48 GMT
Yes, if you looked at the unweighted data, they had to weight down the Labour sample quite a bit. Let's wait to see if this is a trend. If you want to see true weighting down and up see populous libdems go from 200 respondents to 250 UKIP go from 180 to 20. Such changes are not unexpected with small minor parties such as UKIP and the Lib Dems. It can be quite hard to find the right number of supporters to actually reflect things.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 15, 2014 19:33:09 GMT
Now these are starting to get back into line Anthony Wells anthonyjwellsNew post: ComRes/Sunday Indy - CON 32, LAB 37, LD 9, UKIP 15
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 15, 2014 19:33:38 GMT
Today's:
Lab 37% (+2) C 32% (+2) UKIP 15% (-4) L Dem 9% (+1)
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 15, 2014 19:47:35 GMT
If you want to see true weighting down and up see populous libdems go from 200 respondents to 250 UKIP go from 180 to 20. Such changes are not unexpected with small minor parties such as UKIP and the Lib Dems. It can be quite hard to find the right number of supporters to actually reflect things. We are neither small nor minor as you may well find out surprisingly soon.
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Feb 16, 2014 21:50:04 GMT
Such changes are not unexpected with small minor parties such as UKIP and the Lib Dems. It can be quite hard to find the right number of supporters to actually reflect things. We are neither small nor minor as you may well find out surprisingly soon. Remind me how many MPs you have?
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Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 16, 2014 22:02:35 GMT
We are neither small nor minor as you may well find out surprisingly soon. Remind me how many MPs you have? I think you know the answer to that And I think we know how many they'll probably have post-15
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