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Post by stodge on Apr 9, 2024 20:25:27 GMT
Savanta reverting more to type with the highest Conservative share in any poll for nearly three weeks.
To be fair, Savanta ia one of the pollsters which routinely puts the Conservatives higher and Reform lower than other pollsters but still within that bloc of 35-37% and still outpointed by the Labour/LD/Green bloc which is at 56-60% across the polls. Last time, the split was 48-47 so this poll at 37-56 has a 10% swing away from the Conservatives/Reform. The headline lead of 15 points is still a 14% swing from December 2019.
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Post by andrewp on Apr 17, 2024 10:16:49 GMT
LAB: 43% (+1) CON: 25% (-2) LDM: 10% (=) RFM: 9% (-1) GRN: 4% (=) SNP: 3% (=)
Via @savanta_UK, 12-14 Apr. Changes w/ 5-7 Apr.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,579
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 17, 2024 10:54:18 GMT
Their last poll got certain people a bit over excited, they probably won't be publicising this one as much.
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Post by grumpyguy on Apr 17, 2024 12:50:36 GMT
LAB: 43% (+1) CON: 25% (-2) LDM: 10% (=) RFM: 9% (-1) GRN: 4% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @savanta_UK, 12-14 Apr. Changes w/ 5-7 Apr. I was initially puzzled by the 6% 'Other' figure - a sudden surge for Plaid, maybe, or is the 'gorgeous George' bandwagon rolling? - but then checked Savanta's methodology. 1. The poll is UK-wide; 2. They only prompt initially for Con, Lab, L/D, SNP, Plaid & other. This seems odd, given that they are polling in Ulster as well, but it helps to explain low figures for Reform and Greens. People who vote for Other are subsequently prompted for Reform, Green and other (again no specific N I parties), which means they are treated as a second preference. I wonder if the Telegraph understood this when they agreed to commission the poll. The combined figure for Tories and RUK doesn't looks out of kilter with other pollsters though. It seems to be the Green figure which is far too low.
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Post by gibbon on Apr 17, 2024 15:15:17 GMT
No publicity for this poll in the Daily Farage supporting newspapers.
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Post by andrewp on Apr 23, 2024 18:49:33 GMT
LAB: 43% (-) CON: 27% (+2) REF: 10% (+1) LDEM: 9% (-1) GRN: 4% (-)
via @savanta_UK, 19 Apr
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,579
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 24, 2024 11:29:15 GMT
I see this latest poll is featured in the Telegraph, presumably this will now be a regular thing until whenever the GE is?
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,055
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Apr 24, 2024 11:54:38 GMT
I see this latest poll is featured in the Telegraph, presumably this will now be a regular thing until whenever the GE is? To think they once had the much missed Gallup as their pollster!
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