YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,914
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Post by YL on Dec 8, 2022 20:30:28 GMT
Just for fun (as it's a YouGov subsample), but the Tories are on 2% in the 18-24 age group in this poll.
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Post by london(ex)tory on Dec 15, 2022 9:24:58 GMT
We've had the Red Wall... we've had the Blue Wall... now we've got the "Sea Wall". Give me strength.
Interested to find out the breakdown for Others.
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Post by bigfatron on Dec 15, 2022 9:30:22 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting...
Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform?
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Dec 15, 2022 9:37:05 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform? Here you go. So we have the diversity of Cardiff South and Penarth, Bournemouth East, Ceredigion, Clacton and Thirsk and Malton, for example. A pretty stupid constituency grouping. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,914
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 9:42:17 GMT
Post by YL on Dec 15, 2022 9:42:17 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... There's a map in a later tweet in the thread (edit: as posted by andrewp). All four constituencies you mention are included, as are Bootle and Dwyfor Meirionnydd. Some very urban constituencies are excluded, which may be to do with the criterion for inclusion being that they include coastal towns as opposed to cities. |
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 9:42:20 GMT
via mobile
jamie likes this
Post by bjornhattan on Dec 15, 2022 9:42:20 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform? Here you go. So we have the diversity of Cardiff South and Penarth, Bournemouth East, Ceredigion, Clacton and Thirsk and Malton, for example. A pretty stupid constituency grouping. Has someone told the good people of Plymouth that they're no longer on the coast? |
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Post by bjornhattan on Dec 15, 2022 9:45:19 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... There's a map in a later tweet in the thread. All four constituencies you mention are included, as are Bootle and Dwyfor Meirionnydd. Some very urban constituencies are excluded, which may be to do with the criterion for inclusion being that they include coastal towns as opposed to cities. But they're inconsistent in this regard - Sunderland is included as is Swansea. Weirdest of all is Hull - North and East are excluded but Hull West and Hessle is in their set (perhaps because Hessle is outwith the city so classes as a town?). |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,914
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 9:52:33 GMT
Post by YL on Dec 15, 2022 9:52:33 GMT
There's a map in a later tweet in the thread. All four constituencies you mention are included, as are Bootle and Dwyfor Meirionnydd. Some very urban constituencies are excluded, which may be to do with the criterion for inclusion being that they include coastal towns as opposed to cities. But they're inconsistent in this regard - Sunderland is included as is Swansea. Weirdest of all is Hull - North and East are excluded but Hull West and Hessle is in their set (perhaps because Hessle is outwith the city so classes as a town?). |
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 10:00:51 GMT
Post by london(ex)tory on Dec 15, 2022 10:00:51 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform?That's certainly what I'm hoping. Haven't got time right now to do the calculation but I imagine the 24% in 2015 will have been heavily UKIP. |
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 10:13:37 GMT
via mobile
Post by jollyroger93 on Dec 15, 2022 10:13:37 GMT
We've had the Red Wall... we've had the Blue Wall... now we've got the "Sea Wall". Give me strength. Interested to find out the breakdown for Others. Data is from nearly a month ago!! |
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,787
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 11:06:43 GMT
Post by J.G.Harston on Dec 15, 2022 11:06:43 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform?That's certainly what I'm hoping. Haven't got time right now to do the calculation but I imagine the 24% in 2015 will have been heavily UKIP. It certainly was in the Filey part of Thirsk & Malton - one of the more ridiculous inclusions in the list. |
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Deleted
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YouGov
Dec 15, 2022 11:37:53 GMT
Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2022 11:37:53 GMT
Would be interesting to see a list of the 'Sea Wall' constituencies - lumping together Skeggy and Great Yarmouth with Eastbourne and Newquay would be interesting... Many eastern coastal towns were strongly UKIP, so presumably 'Other' is disproportionately Reform? Here you go. So we have the diversity of Cardiff South and Penarth, Bournemouth East, Ceredigion, Clacton and Thirsk and Malton, for example. A pretty stupid constituency grouping. Give me strength.... |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2022 11:45:00 GMT
Do polling companies now just employ someone to mess around with a constituency map and see what nonsense groupings they can come up with?
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 15, 2022 11:49:18 GMT
Data is from nearly a month ago!! Tbf it is a survey intended to show general trends, rather than be an up to date VI poll. As already stated, that is some way from the main objections to it! |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 19, 2022 12:17:24 GMT
Last week's regular VI poll - Lab 48 Con 23 (down 1) Reform 9 (up 1) LibDems 8 (down 1) Greens 5 (down 1) SNP 5 (up 1)
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Post by mattbewilson on Dec 19, 2022 13:04:00 GMT
Last week's regular VI poll - Lab 48 Con 23 (down 1) Reform 9 (up 1) LibDems 8 (down 1) Greens 5 (down 1) SNP 5 (up 1) leftie stats did a graph on 2019 Tory VI. Currently 40% are backing the Tories. 30% undecided. 14% Reform. 10% Labour |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Dec 29, 2022 15:29:48 GMT
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 6, 2023 11:03:00 GMT
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 46% (-2)
CON: 25% (+1)
LDM: 9% (=)
RFM: 7% (-1)
GRN: 6% (+1)
SNP: 5% (+1)
Via @yougov, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 20-21 Dec,
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Post by batman on Jan 6, 2023 11:33:14 GMT
extremely similar to the Techne poll also out today.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 17, 2023 10:54:07 GMT
Latest poll from these has Lab 47 Con 25.
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