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Post by jamesdoyle on Jun 25, 2024 13:07:23 GMT
Another thing for me to keep hammering at: yeah, ok the Lab-Con gap has gone from 27 to 24 points, so what? But now the Con-LD gap has gone from 9 to 6. This should terrify Cons, they have no room in those 50-80 seats for this to continue, especially with that analysis of how Labour activists are being directed to avoid LD targets. It's happening (tm).
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 28, 2024 11:57:54 GMT
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polupolu
Lib Dem
Liberal (Democrat). Socially Liberal, Economically Keynesian.
Posts: 1,261
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Post by polupolu on Jun 28, 2024 12:05:14 GMT
On those numbers:
FT: Lab 459 Con 86 LD 62 Ref 2 (Clacton, Boston & Skegness) Grn 0
Electoral Calculus UNS: Lab 486 Con 70 LD 53 Grn 1 Ref 0
Electoral Calculus MRP: Lab 486 Con 43 LD 72 Ref 6 Grn 3
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 29, 2024 21:20:10 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Jun 30, 2024 9:49:45 GMT
Very little evidence, outside of that Savanta poll, of noticeable tightening in the final weekend of the campaign.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 30, 2024 11:22:04 GMT
I will note that Savanta's latest Scottish poll is also out of sync with the other recent ones. Though they likely have one more to come both there and nationally.
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,665
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Nov 23, 2024 14:00:43 GMT
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 29% (=) CON: 27% (+2) RFM: 18% (=) LDM: 12% (-2) GRN: 8% (=) SNP: 4% (=)
Via @deltapolluk, 14-18 Nov. Changes w/ 4-7 Oct.
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