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Post by timmullen on Feb 19, 2024 18:26:00 GMT
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 48% (+3)
CON: 27% (=)
LDM: 8% (=)
RFM: 7% (-3)
GRN: 6% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @deltapolluk, 16-19 Feb.
Changes w/ 8-12 Feb.
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Post by timmullen on Feb 26, 2024 16:42:11 GMT
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 44% (-4)
CON: 23% (-4)
LDM: 11% (+3)
RFM: 10% (+3)
GRN: 5% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @deltapolluk, 23-26 Feb.
Changes w/ 16-19 Feb.
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 4, 2024 14:55:37 GMT
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Post by batman on Mar 4, 2024 15:26:15 GMT
they are pretty bouncy aren't they
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Post by bigfatron on Mar 4, 2024 16:43:28 GMT
they are pretty bouncy aren't they Normally bouncy means swings between Lib Dem/Green and Labour, and between Tory and Reform. This lot have the combined ‘progressive’ and combined ‘conservative’ votes going up and down like pogo sticks… |
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Post by gibbon on Mar 4, 2024 16:48:02 GMT
Odd. One poll today shows a large Labour lead, another a much smaller and falling Labour lead. Can someone explain the difference.
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 51,152 
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 4, 2024 16:56:21 GMT
Odd. One poll today shows a large Labour lead, another a much smaller and falling Labour lead. Can someone explain the difference. Yes. One is static and the other is trending downwards. They are nearly certainly both wrong. And it doesn't matter at all. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,058
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Post by Sibboleth on Mar 4, 2024 17:06:35 GMT
Odd. One poll today shows a large Labour lead, another a much smaller and falling Labour lead. Can someone explain the difference. Different polling companies will often find different results while often being within the same general range, as is the case in this case. When a party has a very large lead (as is presently the case) this is especially so. |
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Post by andrewp on Mar 11, 2024 19:24:51 GMT
LAB: 44% (+3)
CON: 27% (=)
RFM: 11% (-1)
LDM: 10% (+1)
GRN: 4% (-2)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @deltapolluk, 8-11 Mar.
Changes w/ 1-4 Mar.
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Post by timmullen on Mar 18, 2024 13:15:34 GMT
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Post by batman on Mar 18, 2024 15:32:47 GMT
Rubber ball , I’ll be bouncing back to Labour
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 18, 2024 16:17:38 GMT
Rubber ball , I’ll be bouncing back to Labour bouncy, bouncy,oooh. |
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Post by gibbon on Mar 18, 2024 17:47:04 GMT
Two polls today with increased Labour leads. Even with new boundaries which should favour the Conservatives it looks bleak for them. May elections might be even worse than in 1995 when in Leeds they held only one seat (and part of that ward elected a Green councillor last year).
At this rate more Conservative MPs will announce that they are retiring and after the election Liz Truss and Sir Alec Shelbroke may be two of the few Conservative MPs left.
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 22, 2024 16:34:52 GMT
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Post by willpower3 on Mar 22, 2024 16:39:09 GMT
How did it do in the three elections in-between? |
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Post by bigfatron on Mar 23, 2024 7:24:12 GMT
There might be something in it on this occasion; some voters may be aware that they and their acquaintances are talking up Reform but will never actually vote for them when push comes to shove.
And I guess some people in Lib Dem/Tory marginals may be saying Labour knowing that at a real GE they will vote Lib Dem? Although I am less convinced about this one...
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Post by batman on Mar 23, 2024 7:50:43 GMT
in the case of the latter, the reverse is also likely to be the case with a fair number of voters, indeed there are more seats where such a tactical vote would bear fruit than a tactical LD vote. In my constituency of course a tactical LD vote is the most popular option, not that Sarah Olney needs it as she will be absolutely fine
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Mar 23, 2024 7:57:32 GMT
This is the first “poll” since Oct 2023 that puts the Conservatives in the 30s.
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 23, 2024 8:04:01 GMT
This is the first poll since Oct 2023 that puts the Conservatives in the 30s. It's not a poll. A search has failed to reveal the 'Wisdom Index' for 2015 to 19 other than a vague Tories largest party in 15 and an increased majority in 17. |
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Post by batman on Mar 23, 2024 8:07:51 GMT
no, it's more of a supposition or guess than a poll.
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