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Post by robert1 on Mar 24, 2023 5:36:33 GMT
Overnight the Deltapoll figures have re-appeared on the wikipedia chart and the trend line has changed as a result. Not the only change that had occurred in recent weeks but the most obvious.
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 24, 2023 12:07:22 GMT
I don't know why such stuff happens, but VAST CONSPIRACY probably isn't the most likely reason in fairness.
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Mar 24, 2023 12:14:06 GMT
I don't know why such stuff happens, but VAST CONSPIRACY probably isn't the most likely reason in fairness. Occasionally I like to pop up and damp down your hopes about the current lot being chucked out next year citing 1992 and 2015(and comebacks not related to poling howlers)
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Mar 24, 2023 13:12:38 GMT
as has been pointed out loads of times, 1992 is just not any sort of parallel, as after Thatcher's deposing the Labour lead never amounted to much at all. There were only brief glimpses of a large Labour poll lead in the 2010-15 parliament, and never did it reach the sort of average lead polls have been recording throughout Sunak's premiership (let alone Truss's brief one of course). Also, as has been just as repeatedly stated, polling is known to be more accurate (and has been shown to be in the last 3 elections) than it was in the 1990s.
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Post by andrewp on Mar 27, 2023 16:38:05 GMT
And a probably realistic correction from the last Deltapoll. Their last 3 have given leads of 23-10-15
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Mar 27, 2023 18:08:46 GMT
as has been pointed out loads of times, 1992 is just not any sort of parallel, as after Thatcher's deposing the Labour lead never amounted to much at all. There were only brief glimpses of a large Labour poll lead in the 2010-15 parliament, and never did it reach the sort of average lead polls have been recording throughout Sunak's premiership (let alone Truss's brief one of course). Also, as has been just as repeatedly stated, polling is known to be more accurate (and has been shown to be in the last 3 elections) than it was in the 1990s. about 90% of me would be happy to be proved wrong and you be proved right, the other 10% is me having deep down gut feeling that I will struggle to put cross against name of a Labour candidate
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graham
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Post by graham on Mar 27, 2023 19:33:57 GMT
as has been pointed out loads of times, 1992 is just not any sort of parallel, as after Thatcher's deposing the Labour lead never amounted to much at all. There were only brief glimpses of a large Labour poll lead in the 2010-15 parliament, and never did it reach the sort of average lead polls have been recording throughout Sunak's premiership (let alone Truss's brief one of course). Also, as has been just as repeatedly stated, polling is known to be more accurate (and has been shown to be in the last 3 elections) than it was in the 1990s. The polls did not perform well at the 2015 election when most pointed to level pegging between the main parties. Cameron's small overall majority came as quite a surprise to most commentators - as did the circa 6.5% Tory lead in the popular vote. The pollsters then rather overcompensated for their errors by tending to overestimate Tory support in 2017.
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 29, 2023 11:02:41 GMT
A reminder that it was this lot's previous poll that kicked off all the "TORIES WILL WIN NEXT TIME" nonsense amongst their hireling hacks.
It has since been shown to be the obvious outlier that it always was.
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Post by andrewp on Apr 3, 2023 17:28:55 GMT
This means that their last 4 Labour leads have been 23-10-15-21
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Post by robert1 on Apr 18, 2023 12:11:13 GMT
Con 29 (+2) Lab 43 (-5) LD 10 (+1) Other 17
Fieldwork 13th-17th Changes from 31st-3rd
Edited-thank you
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Post by bigfatron on Apr 18, 2023 12:34:38 GMT
Con 29 (+2) Lab 43 (-5) LD 10 = Other 17 Fieldwork 13th-17th Changes from 31st-3rd LD are +1
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 18, 2023 12:44:45 GMT
This pollster jumps around far too much to be fully reliable, surely.
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Post by mattbewilson on Apr 18, 2023 14:19:44 GMT
This pollster jumps around far too much to be fully reliable, surely. just go with an average
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Post by andrewp on Apr 27, 2023 17:46:42 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 2, 2023 16:08:13 GMT
Con 29% (-1) Lab 44% (+1) Lib Dem 11% (+2) Other 16% (-2) Fieldwork: 28th April - 2nd May 2023 Sample: 1,561 GB adults (Changes from 24th - 26th April 2023) (@deltapolluk)
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Post by andrewp on May 9, 2023 15:56:08 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
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Post by cogload on May 9, 2023 16:56:32 GMT
Bounce bounce bouncey.
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Post by bigfatron on May 16, 2023 15:39:38 GMT
Sample dates: 12th - 15th May Sample size: 1,511
Labour 45% (-2) Tory 29% (+1) L Dem 12% (+3) Reform 5% (n/c) Green 4% (-1)
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Post by robert1 on May 24, 2023 9:10:32 GMT
Con 30 (+1) Lab 47 (+2) LD 9 (-3) Oths 13 (-2)
Fieldwork 19th-22nd
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Post by andrewp on Jun 6, 2023 12:54:58 GMT
Deltapoll are very bouncy
🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨 Labour lead is fourteen points in latest results from Deltapoll. Con 29% (-1) Lab 43% (-4) Lib Dem 13% (+4) Other 16% (+3) Fieldwork: 2nd - 5th June 2023 Sample: 1,525 GB adults (Changes from 19th - 22nd May 2023)
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