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Post by andrewp on Nov 30, 2019 19:13:00 GMT
Delta poll have gone outside the M25 this week!
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,072
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Deltapoll
Nov 30, 2019 20:51:51 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Nov 30, 2019 20:51:51 GMT
Cons 45 Lab 32 LD 15 BXP 3.
13% lead.
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 30, 2019 20:54:23 GMT
Cons 45 (+2) Lab 32 (+2) LD 15 (-1) BXP 3. (n/c) 13% lead. Added swings from the last Deltapoll, 21-23 Nov.
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Post by andrew111 on Dec 1, 2019 8:52:30 GMT
Delta poll have gone outside the M25 this week! Esher and Walton is interesting
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Deltapoll
Dec 2, 2019 18:13:59 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2019 18:13:59 GMT
Interesting to note that Deltapoll breaks numbers into marginal and safe seats. Tory lead in marginals is 9 points. A swing of 3.5 in comparison with the 6.5 national swing
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Post by curiousliberal on Dec 2, 2019 18:27:53 GMT
Interesting to note that Deltapoll breaks numbers into marginal and safe seats. Tory lead in marginals is 9 points. A swing of 3.5 in comparison with the 6.5 national swing It is interesting in theory, but look at the sizes of those subsamples. Some of the margins of error there are going to be ridiculous.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Deltapoll
Dec 2, 2019 18:31:31 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2019 18:31:31 GMT
Interesting to note that Deltapoll breaks numbers into marginal and safe seats. Tory lead in marginals is 9 points. A swing of 3.5 in comparison with the 6.5 national swing It is interesting in theory, but look at the sizes of those subsamples. Some of the margins of error there are going to be ridiculous. agreed though they are a similar size to tge Survation constituency polls
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pl
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,563
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Post by pl on Dec 2, 2019 18:32:22 GMT
It is interesting in theory, but look at the sizes of those subsamples. Some of the margins of error there are going to be ridiculous. agreed though they are a similar size to tge Survation constituency polls The bigger question is whether they are properly weighted.
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Post by curiousliberal on Dec 2, 2019 18:33:13 GMT
It is interesting in theory, but look at the sizes of those subsamples. Some of the margins of error there are going to be ridiculous. agreed though they are a similar size to tge Survation constituency polls 150 (at least one of the unweighted numbers) != 400-500 They're a similar size to certain US primary polls which are often treated far more seriously than they should be.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Deltapoll
Dec 2, 2019 18:44:39 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2019 18:44:39 GMT
I was looking at both the Labour marginals and tory marginals 174 and 14 respectively or 318 in total
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Dec 7, 2019 19:17:14 GMT
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Post by andrewp on Dec 7, 2019 19:30:32 GMT
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Post by andrewp on Dec 7, 2019 19:33:47 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Deltapoll
Dec 7, 2019 19:45:57 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Dec 7, 2019 19:45:57 GMT
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Post by andrewp on Dec 7, 2019 21:17:15 GMT
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mike
Non-Aligned
Posts: 400
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Deltapoll
Dec 7, 2019 21:31:21 GMT
via mobile
Post by mike on Dec 7, 2019 21:31:21 GMT
Another six weeks of campaigning and Magic Grandpa will move into the lead! Lol
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Post by manchesterman on Dec 7, 2019 21:51:45 GMT
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Deltapoll
Dec 7, 2019 22:49:31 GMT
via mobile
Post by andrew111 on Dec 7, 2019 22:49:31 GMT
On the face of it squeezing the Lib Dem vote will make no difference to the Lab-Con position.
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Post by andrewp on Dec 11, 2019 22:05:39 GMT
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,121
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Post by Jack on May 30, 2020 22:03:53 GMT
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