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Post by greenhert on Jul 11, 2018 22:05:49 GMT
My predictions for this week:
Barnsley MBC, Old Town: Labour 50, Yorkshire Party 22, Conservative 18, Liberal Democrats 4, BNP 2, Democrats & Veterans 2.
Darlington UA, Cockerton: Labour 53, Conservative 27, Liberal Democrats 9, Green 5, Independent (Alexander) 4, For Britain 2.
East Dorset DC, Verwood East: Conservative 78, Labour 22.
Elmbridge BC, Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon: Conservative 72, Liberal Democrats 23, UKIP 5.
Hartlepool UA, Rural West: Conservative 48, Independent (Brewer) 30, Labour 17, Green 5.
Lewes DC, Chailey & Wivelsfield: Liberal Democrats 48, Conservative 42, Green 6, Labour 4.
Norfolk CC, Yare & All Saints: Conservative 69, Liberal Democrats 18, Labour 13.
Rutland UA, Oakham South West: Independent (Alderman) 45, Conservative 38, Liberal Democrats 10, Labour 7.
Waveney DC, Pakefield: Conservative 45, Labour 41, UKIP 5, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 4.
Waveney DC, Southwold & Reydon: Conservative 55, Labour 34, Liberal Democrats 7, UKIP 4.
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 11, 2018 23:25:34 GMT
Barnsley MBC, Old Town: Labour 60, Yorkshire Party 6, Conservative 19, Liberal Democrats 8, BNP 3, Democrats & Veterans 4.
Darlington UA, Cockerton: Labour 53, Conservative 25, Liberal Democrats 7, Green 5, Independent (Alexander) 5, For Britain 5.
East Dorset DC, Verwood East: Conservative 81, Labour 19.
Elmbridge BC, Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon: Conservative 58, Liberal Democrats 38, UKIP 4.
Hartlepool UA, Rural West: Conservative 58, Independent (Brewer) 18, Labour 18, Green 6.
Lewes DC, Chailey & Wivelsfield: Liberal Democrats 39, Conservative 47, Green 5, Labour 9.
Norfolk CC, Yare & All Saints: Conservative 70, Liberal Democrats 20, Labour 10.
Rutland UA, Oakham South West: Independent (Alderman) 30, Conservative 40, Liberal Democrats 22, Labour 8.
Waveney DC, Pakefield: Conservative 40, Labour 45, UKIP 5, Green 4, Liberal Democrats 6.
Waveney DC, Southwold & Reydon: Conservative 55, Labour 17, Liberal Democrats 23, UKIP 5.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2018 0:10:32 GMT
Old Town (Barnsley): Lab 55, YP 20, Con 15, LD 5, BNP 3, D & V 2
Cockerton (Darlington): Lab 53, Con 20 Grn 10 LD 8 Ind 7 FB 2
Verwood East (East Dorset): Con 75, Lab 25
Oxshott & Stoke d'Abernon (Elmbrdisge): Con 75, LD 2 UKKKIP 5
Rural West (Hartlepool): Con 67, Ind 15 Lab 13 Grn 5
Chailey & Wivelisfield (Lewes): Con 43, LD 42, Grn 10, Lab 5
Yare & All Saints (Norfolk): Con 70, LD 20, Lab 10
Oakham South West (Rutland): Con 45, Ind 35, LD 13, Lab 7
Pakefield (Waveney): Lab 42, Con 40, LD 7, Grn 6, UKKKIP 5
Southwold & Reydon (Waveney): Con 52, Lab 35, LD 9, UKKKIP 4
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 12, 2018 3:32:38 GMT
Barnsley, Old Town: Con 20, Lab 58, LD 8, YP 6,D&V 4, BNP 4
Darlington, Cockerton: Con 22, Lab 53, LD 11, Green 8,Ind 4,FB 2
East Dorset, Verwood East: Con 78,Lab 22
Elmbridge, Oxshott& Stoke d'Abernon: Con 68,LD 28,UKIP 4
Hartlepool,Rural West: Con 50,Lab 18,Green 6,Ind 26
Lewes, Chailey & Wivelsfield: Con 48, Lab 10, LD 34,Green 8
Norfolk, Yare & All Saints:Con 66, Lab 10, LD 24
Rutland, Oakham SW:Con 40.Lab 4, LD 14, Ind 42
Waveney, Pakefield: Con 27,Lab 37,LD 22, Green 8, UKIP 6
Waveney, Southwold & Reydon: Con 49,Lab 25, LD 20, UKIP 6
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 12, 2018 6:42:43 GMT
Barnsley, Old Town Lab 55, Yorkshire 18, Con 15, Lib Dem 7, Dem 3, BNP 2
Darlington, Cockerton Lab 50, Con 22, Lib Dem 11, Ind 9, Green 6, FB 2
East Dorset, Verwood East Con 75, Lab 25
Elmbridge. Oxshott and Stoke D’abernon Con 65, Lib Dem 30, UKIP 5
Hartlepool, Rural West Con 50, Ind 30, Lab 14, Green 6
Lewes, Chailey and Wivelsfield Lib Dem 42, Con 38, Green 10, Lab 10
Norfolk, Yare and All Saints Con 57, Lib Dem 33, Lab 10
Rutland, Oakham South West Ind 45,Con 35, Lib Dem 11, Lab 9
Waveney, Pakefield, Lab 47, Con 32, UKIP 8, Lib Dem 7, Green 6
Waveney, Southwold and Reydon Con 48, Lib Dem 28,Lab 20, UKIP 4
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Post by Right Leaning on Jul 12, 2018 7:01:17 GMT
Barnsley MBC, Old Town: Lab 58, YP 20, C 15, LD 3, BNP 2, D&V 2.
Darlington UA, Cockerton: Lab 55, C 26, LD 9, Gn 4, Independent (Alexander) 4, For Britain 2.
East Dorset DC, Verwood East: Conservative 74, Lab 26.
Elmbridge BC, Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon: C 62, LD 34, UKIP 4.
Hartlepool UA, Rural West: C 52, Ind (Brewer) 30, Lab 14, Gn 4.
Lewes DC, Chailey & Wivelsfield: LD 47, C 42, Gn 7, Lab 4.
Norfolk CC, Yare & All Saints: C 65, LD 24, Lab 11.
Rutland UA, Oakham South West: Ind (Alderman) 45, C 34, LD 12, Lab 9.
Waveney DC, Pakefield: Lab 44, C 39, UKIP 7, LD 6, Gn 4.
Waveney DC, Southwold & Reydon: C 51, Lab 36, UKIP 7, LD 5.
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Post by hempie on Jul 12, 2018 7:27:43 GMT
Barnsley, Old Town: Lab 59, Con 20, Yorkshire 10, LD 6, BNP 3, D&V 2
Darlington, Cockerton: Lab 57, Con 24, LD 9, Green 4, Ind (Alexander) 4, For Britain 2
East Dorset, Verwood East: Con 82, Lab 18
Elmbridge, Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon: Con 57, LD 35, UKIP 8
Hartlepool, Rural West: Con 53, Ind (Brewer) 22, Lab 20, Green 5
Lewes, Chailey & Wivelsfield: LD 43, Con 42 Lab 10, Green 5
Norfolk, Yare & All Saints: Con 71,LD 17, Lab 12
Rutland, Oakham South West: Con 41, Ind (Alderman) 27, LD 20, Lab 12
Waveney, Pakefield: Lab 47, Con 37, LD 7, UKIP 5, Green 4
Waveney, Southwold & Reydon: Con 52, Lab 24, LD 17, UKIP 7
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Post by olympian95 on Jul 12, 2018 7:32:00 GMT
Barnsley - Lab 49, Con 18, Yorks 14 LD 11, Dem&Vets 5, BNP 3
Darlington - Lab 44, Con 20, LD 14, Ind 11, For Britain 6, Green 5
East Dorset - Con 71, Lab 29
Elmbridge - Con 56, LD 33, UKIP 11
Hartlepool - Con 49, Ind 24, Lab 18, Green 9
Lewes - Con 47, LD 31, Green 13, Lab 9
Norfolk - Con 53, LD 29, Lab 18
Rutland - Ind 44 Con 38, LD 12, Lab 6
Waveney Pakefield - Lab 42, Con 39, UKIP 13, LD 6
Waveney Southwold - Con 46, LD 24, Lab 22, UKIP 8
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2018 11:13:02 GMT
Barnsley, Old Town: Lab 60, Con 20, Yorkshire 10, LD 5, BNP 2, D&V 3
Darlington, Cockerton: Lab 40, Con 25, LD 15, Green 10, Ind (Alexander) 7, For Britain 3
East Dorset, Verwood East: Con 80, Lab 20
Elmbridge, Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon: Con 60, LD 25, UKIP 15
Hartlepool, Rural West: Con 40, Lab 25, Ind (Brewer), 20 Green 15
Lewes, Chailey & Wivelsfield: Con 40, LD 35, Green 15, Lab 10
Norfolk, Yare & All Saints: Con 60, LD 25, Lab 15
Rutland, Oakham South West: Con 35, Ind (Alderman) 30, LD 25, Lab 10
Waveney, Pakefield: Lab 40, Con 30, UKIP 15, LD 10, Green 5
Waveney, Southwold & Reydon: Con 45, Lab 25, LD 20, UKIP 10
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 12, 2018 21:20:17 GMT
Apologies for my lateness this week, touched down from Northern Ireland a couple of hours ago. Syorkssocialist is missing this week and priceofdawn incurs 60 faults for being an hour late. Greenrobinhood gets 2 faults for adding up to 98 in Barnsley, europeanlefty 18 for adding to 82 in Elmbridge and Right Leaning 1 for adding to 99 in the Southwold contest in Waveney. Old Town, Barnsley: 100% Labour hold, with 5 having Conservatives in second and 4 with the Yorkshire Party in second Cockerton, Darlington: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 15% (priceofdawn) to 33% (hempie) Verwood East, East Dorset: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 42% (olympian95) to 64% (hempie) Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon, Elmbridge: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (robertwaller) to 70% (europeanlefty) Rural West, Hartlepool: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 15% (priceofdawn over Labour) to 52% (europeanlefty over Independent) Chailey and Wivelsfield, Lewes: 5 Conservative hold, with hempie, andrewp, Right Leaning and greenrobinhood Liberal Democrat gain Yare and All Saints, Norfolk: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 24% (andrewp and olympian95) to 54% (hempie) Oakham South West, Rutland: 5 Independent gain from Conservative, with hempie, robertwaller, priceofdawn and europeanlefty Conservative hold Pakefield, Waveney: 8 Labour hold, with greenrobinhood Conservative gain Southwold and Reydon, Waveney: 100% Conservative hold, with 6 having Labour in second and 3 with the Liberal Democrats in second Spreadsheet available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ksRMBLOxCxY6Mw9rRwkvU_XbApQI6d6B7NZNfo8fE5g/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 13, 2018 10:27:35 GMT
Congratulations to SYS for coming second in Southwold! Definitely one to keep away from, delighted though I am by the result.
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 13, 2018 10:47:13 GMT
After Yare think YP clearly ahead
Andrew P second
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 13, 2018 11:26:05 GMT
After Yare think YP clearly ahead Andrew P second Not if you look at Robbie's spreadsheet where the leader is more as one might predict, with Andrew indeed in silver and I'm bronze, I think that's both for week and month. But all very close- only 10 points between top 3 for the month I believe. Edit- When I wrote the above Robbie had not yet entered Darlington,and I was adding my own calculation which was slightly out it seems, so I do just stay above Andrew in second place. But I was right about the leader (of course) |
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 13, 2018 11:27:35 GMT
Still waiting on Cockerton's figures, so not 100% confirmed yet.
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 13, 2018 12:01:09 GMT
Old Town, Barnsley: olympian95 in first with 44.6, robertwaller and yellowperil tied in second with 50.6 and andrewp in third with 54.6
Cockerton, Darlington: andrewp in first with 9.6, followed by robertwaller with 13.8 and yellowperil with 16.7
Verwood East, East Dorset: andrewp and europeanlefty in joint first with 0.2 faults apiece, Right Leaning in second with 2.2 and yellowperil in third with 5.8. Lowest scoring contest this week.
Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon, Elmbridge: greenrobinhood wins with 5.4, followed by yellowperil (8.0) and andrewp (14.0)
Rural West, Hartlepool: andrewp gets a third individual win with 13.0, followed by greenrobinhood (14.7) and Right Leaning (16.7)
Chailey and Wivelsfield, Lewes: yellowperil gets his first individual win with 11.1, olympian95 in second with 14.9 and robertwaller in third on 16.3
Yare and All Saints, Norfolk: greenrobinhood in first with 19.7, hempie in second with 21.7 and Right Leaning in third with 23.7
Oakham South West, Rutland: priceofdawn wins with 26.0 despite predicting the wrong winner! Robertwaller (36.0) and hempie (37.5) round off the podium
Pakefield, Waveney: greenrobinhood takes this one with the only correct winner prediction, scoring 5.8. This is followed by Right Leaning with 22.2 and europeanlefty with 23.5
Southwold and Reydon, Waveney (AKA Pallion v2): andrewp gets first with 96.8, the only one to get under 100. Syorkssocialist finishes second having not submitted, although in the spirit of the contest olympian95 (104.8) and robertwaller (106.8) get the podium spots
Robertwaller takes the week with 350.1, squeaking Andrewp who finishes second with 350.2, and yellowperil in third with 356.9. For the month this leaves robertwaller as the frontrunner with 460.1, with andrewp (465.2) and yellowperil (470.5) just behind. Well done to all, especially on a tough week.
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 13, 2018 13:16:54 GMT
Old Town, Barnsley: olympian95 in first with 44.6, robertwaller and yellowperil tied in second with 50.6 and andrewp in third with 54.6 Cockerton, Darlington: andrewp in first with 9.6, followed by robertwaller with 13.8 and yellowperil with 16.7 Verwood East, East Dorset: andrewp and europeanlefty in joint first with 0.2 faults apiece, Right Leaning in second with 2.2 and yellowperil in third with 5.8. Lowest scoring contest this week. Oxshott and Stoke d'Abernon, Elmbridge: greenrobinhood wins with 5.4, followed by yellowperil (8.0) and andrewp (14.0) Rural West, Hartlepool: andrewp gets a third individual win with 13.0, followed by greenrobinhood (14.7) and Right Leaning (16.7) Chailey and Wivelsfield, Lewes: yellowperil gets his first individual win with 11.1, olympian95 in second with 14.9 and robertwaller in third on 16.3 Yare and All Saints, Norfolk: greenrobinhood in first with 19.7, hempie in second with 21.7 and Right Leaning in third with 23.7 Oakham South West, Rutland: priceofdawn wins with 26.0 despite predicting the wrong winner! Robertwaller (36.0) and hempie (37.5) round off the podium Pakefield, Waveney: greenrobinhood takes this one with the only correct winner prediction, scoring 5.8. This is followed by Right Leaning with 22.2 and europeanlefty with 23.5 Southwold and Reydon, Waveney (AKA Pallion v2): andrewp gets first with 96.8, the only one to get under 100. Syorkssocialist finishes second having not submitted, although in the spirit of the contest olympian95 (104.8) and robertwaller (106.8) get the podium spots Robertwaller takes the week with 350.1, squeaking Andrewp who finishes second with 350.2, and yellowperil in third with 356.9. For the month this leaves robertwaller as the frontrunner with 460.1, with andrewp (465.2) and yellowperil (470.5) just behind. Well done to all, especially on a tough week. And well done to you,Robbie for coping so well with this monster. None of the predictors covered themselves with glory,especially I struggled with the Waveney Two, but you have done magnificently in the midst of mayhem. And,of course, we should all congratulate Robert. Why am I not surprised? |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 18, 2018 23:15:40 GMT
BURY BC; Besses
HEATH, Glyn Harvey (Green) 3%
LEWIS, Jordan Alexander (Conservative) 23
LLOYD-JOHNSON, Gareth David Lee (Liberal Democrat) 6
MORRIS, Stephen (English Democrats “Putting England First”) 5
SMITH, Lucy Catherine (Labour) 61
ZWIERZANSKI, Michael (UKIP) 2
CARMARTHENSHIRE UA; Saron
CROW, Aled Huw (Conservative) 8
DAVIES, Karen Denise Lawrence (Plaid Cymru) 52
FALLOWS, Tom (Labour) 34
TANDY, Caryl Evelyn (Liberal Democrat) 6
MILTON KEYNES UA; Bletchley East
BREEN, Jo (Green) 3
DARLINGTON, Emily Catrin (Labour) 51
GREENWOOD, Richard Michael (Liberal Democrat) 5
KENNEDY, Angela Susan (Conservative) 39
PEDDLE, Vince (UKIP) 2
NORTHAMPTONSHIRE CC; St George
MABBUTT, Scott Kyle (Green) 3
ROY, Anjona (Labour) 39
SAWYER, Martin Thomas (Liberal Democrat) 40
SMILES, Andy (UKIP) 2
UZUKAUSKAITE, Ausra (Conservative) 16
OXFORD UA; Headington
GARDEN, Stef (Liberal Democrat) 64
GIBBS, Georgina Ruth (Conservative) 5
HITCHINS, Ray (Green) 3
OTTINO, Simon John Peter (Labour) 28
WEST LANCASHIRE BC; Hesketh with Becconsall
KEMP, Nick (Labour) 22
KIRBY, Steve (Independent) 44
WITTER, Joan (Conservative) 34
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 19, 2018 2:06:56 GMT
Bury, Besses: Con 25, Lab 55, LD 6, Green 4, UKIP 4, ED 6
Carmarthenshire,Saron: Con 14, Lab 42, LD 5, PC 39
Milton Keynes, Bletchley East: Con 33, Lab 45,LD 12, Green 5 ,UKIP 5
Northants,St George: Con 23, Lab 30, LD 36, Green 5,UKIP 6.
Oxford, Headington: Con 8, Lab 33, LD 55, Green 4
West Lancs, Hesketh w Beccansall: Con 30,Lab 34, Ind 36
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 19, 2018 6:13:10 GMT
Bury, Besses Lab 61, Con 20, Lib Dem 7, Green 4, ED 4, UKIP 4
Carmarthenshire, Saron PC 49, Lab 35,Con 10, Lib Dem 6
Milton Keynes, Bletchley East Lab 46, Con 40, Lib Dem 6, Green 4, UKIP 4
Northamptonshire, St George’s Lib Dem 39, Lab 37, Con 17, Green 3, UKIP 4
Oxford, Headington Lib Dem 60, Lab 25, Con 8, Green 7
West Lancashire, Hesketh with Becconsall Ind 43, Con 38, Lab 19
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Post by Right Leaning on Jul 19, 2018 6:52:30 GMT
Bury, Besses: Lab 58, C 25, UKIP 6, LD 5, Gn 4, ED 2.
Carmarthenshire, Saron: PC 44, Lab 38, C 13, LD 5.
Milton Keynes, Bletchley East: Lab 49, C 29, LD 12, UKIP 7, Gn 3.
Northants, St George: LD 37, Lab 33, C 17, UKIP 8, Gn 5.
Oxford, Headington: LD 56, Lab 32, C 8, Gn 4
West Lancs, Hesketh with Beccansall: Ind 40, C 34, Lab 26.
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