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Post by middleenglander on Jul 2, 2018 6:57:25 GMT
I regret to say that for a variety of reasons I will be unable to organise the competition this month. Hopefully will be able to do so in August.
More haste, less speed - now corrected.
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ricmk
Lib Dem
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Post by ricmk on Jul 2, 2018 8:25:42 GMT
I regret to say that for a variety of reasons I will be able to organise the competition this month. Hopefully will be able to do so in August. I take it there's a missing "un" in there somewhere? Hope you are ok, and I'm sure we can cover for another month, particualarly if robbienicoll can fire up his spreadsheets again. Take care. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 2, 2018 8:27:25 GMT
I regret to say that for a variety of reasons I w ill be able to organise the competition this month. Hopefully will be able to do so in August. Was that what you meant to say? |
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 2, 2018 10:33:53 GMT
Hope everything is okay with you Middleenglander, I'm more than happy to cover this month.
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 2, 2018 11:09:44 GMT
Hope everything is okay with you Middleenglander, I'm more than happy to cover this month. Yes all OK. We have moved out of our former home and into rented accommodation whilst searching for a new house. Everything takes so long to sort out, including change of addresses, and this heat does not help. Gradually getting sorted out but still a way to go. At least we now have more reliable broadband thanks to a little yellow and black EE box than the copper cables at our old place. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 2, 2018 15:22:37 GMT
There are 26 by-elections scheduled to take place in July.
* 3 on 5 July
* 10 on 12 July
* 6 on 19 July
* 7 on 26 July
9 of the by-elections are for district councils
- 8 had all out contests in 2015
- 1 had all out contests in 2017 and is a single member seat
9 of the by-elections are for unitary authorities
- 4 are elected by thirds, being last contested on 3 May 2018
- 1 is elected by halves, being last contested on 3 May 2018
- 2 had all out contests in 2015 whilst 2 had all out contests in 2017
6 by-elections are for a Borough Council
- 5 are elected by thirds, last contested on 3 May 2018
- 1 had all out contests in 2015
2 by-elections are for County Councils which had all out contests in 2017, and are single member seats
Conservatives are defending 12 seats, 5 following the death of the previous Councillor and 7 resignations
Labour defend 10 seats, 1 following the death of the previous Councillor and 9 resignations
Liberal Democrats defend 2 seats following 2 resignations
Plaid Cymru defend 1 seats following the death of the previous Councillor
UKIP defend 1 seat following the death of the previous Councillor although they were sitting as an Independent
Conservatives are contesting all 26 seats, Labour 22, Liberal Democrats 20, Greens 11, UKIP 7, Independents 9, Plaid Cymru 1, BNP 1, Democrats and Veterans 1, For Britain 1, English Democrat 1
along with 1 Yorkshire Party, 1 Active for Plymouth and 1 Our West Lancashire - a total of 103 candidates for the 26 seats.
All predictions on this thread or by private message to me by 9.00 am on day of the election.
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 2, 2018 15:38:47 GMT
There are 26 by-elections scheduled to take place in July. * 3 on 5 July * 10 on 12 July * 6 on 19 July * 7 on 26 July 9 of the by-elections are for district councils - 8 had all out contests in 2015 - 1 had all out contests in 2017 and is a single member seat 9 of the by-elections are for unitary authorities - 4 are elected by thirds, being last contested on 3 May 2018 - 1 is elected by halves, being last contested on 3 May 2018 - 2 had all out contests in 2015 whilst 2 had all out contests in 2017 6 by-elections are for a Borough Council - 5 are elected by thirds, last contested on 3 May 2018 - 1 had all out contests in 2015 2 by-elections are for County Councils which had all out contests in 2017, and are single member seats Conservatives are defending 12 seats, 5 following the death of the previous Councillor and 7 resignations Labour defend 10 seats, 1 following the death of the previous Councillor and 9 resignations Liberal Democrats defend 2 seats following 2 resignations Plaid Cymru defend 1 seats following the death of the previous Councillor UKIP defend 1 seat following the death of the previous Councillor although they were sitting as an Independent Conservatives are contesting all 26 seats, Labour 22, Liberal Democrats 20, Greens 11, UKIP 7, Independents 9, Plaid Cymru 1, BNP 1, Democrats and Veterans 1, For Britain 1, English Democrat 1 along with 1 Yorkshire Party, 1 Active for Plymouth and 1 Our West Lancashire - a total of 103 candidates for the 26 seats. All predictions on this thread or by private message to me by 9.00 am on day of the election. So the Reign of Terror continues after all! |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2018 13:31:38 GMT
Kingsmead (Bath & North East Somerset): Con 35 LD 30 Grn 27 Lab 8
Curborough (Litchfield): Con 50 Lab 43 LD 7
Shifnal South & Cosford (Shropshire): Con 60 Ind (Mitchell) 17 LD 13 Ind (Carey) 10
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2018 16:52:50 GMT
Kingsmead (Bath & North East Somerset): Con 32 LD 48 Grn 8 Lab 12
Curborough (Lichfield): Con 49 Lab 42 LD 9
Shifnal South & Cosford (Shropshire): Con 68 Ind (Mitchell) 14 LD 5 Ind (Carey) 13
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Post by greenhert on Jul 4, 2018 22:41:55 GMT
Bath & North East Somerset UA, Kingsmead: Liberal Democrats 38, Conservative 32, Green 20, Labour 10.
Lichfield DC, Curborough: Conservative 50, Labour 44, Liberal Democrats 6.
Shropshire UA, Shifnal South & Cosford: Conservative 57, Liberal Democrats 22, Independent (Mitchell) 15, Independent (Carey) 6.
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 4, 2018 22:53:57 GMT
Bath & North East Somerset UA, Kingsmead: Liberal Democrats 48, Conservative 25, Green 17, Labour 10.
Lichfield DC, Curborough: Conservative 49, Labour 39, Liberal Democrats 12.
Shropshire UA, Shifnal South & Cosford: Conservative 50, Liberal Democrats 15, Independent (Mitchell) 25, Independent (Carey) 10.
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 5, 2018 0:28:35 GMT
Bath & NES, Kingsmead: Con 30, Lab 12, LD 38, Green 20
Lichfield, Curborough: Con 51, Lab 41, LD 8
Shropshire,Shifnal S & Cosford: Con 55, LD 13, Ind (Carey) 12, Ind (Mitchell) 20
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Post by syorkssocialist on Jul 5, 2018 6:23:56 GMT
Bath & North East Somerset, Kingsmead: LD 40, Con 36, Lab 14, Green 10
Lichfield, Curborough: Con 48, Lab 45, LD 7
Shropshire, Shifnal South & Cosford: Con 57, LD 18, Ind (Mitchell) 16, Ind (Carey) 9
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2018 6:36:03 GMT
Bath and North East Somerset, Kingsmead Lib Dem 43, Con 25, Green 22,Lab 10
Lichfield, Curborough Con 50, Lab 40, Lib Dem 10
Shropshire, Shifnal South and Cosford Con 49, Ind Mitchell 29, Lib Dem 12, Ind Carey 10
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Post by Right Leaning on Jul 5, 2018 6:40:48 GMT
Bath & North East Somerset UA, Kingsmead: LD 42, C 34, Gn 12, Lab 12.
Lichfield DC, Curborough: C 52, Lab 34, LD 14.
Shropshire UA, Shifnal South & Cosford: C 54, Ind (Mitchell) 22, LD 13, Ind (Carey) 11.
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Post by hempie on Jul 5, 2018 7:27:08 GMT
Bath & North East Somerset, Kingsmead: LD 39, Con 24, Green 21, Labour 16
Lichfield, Curborough: Con 51, Lab 40, LD 9
Shropshire, Shifnal South & Cosford: Con 50, Ind (Mitchell)26, LD 12, Ind (Carey) 12
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Post by olympian95 on Jul 5, 2018 7:39:39 GMT
Bath: LD 40, Con 26, Green 20, Labour 14
Lichfield: 54, Lab 32, LD 14
Shropshire: Con 49, Ind (Mitchell) 25, LD 16, Ind (Carey) 10
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 5, 2018 20:41:23 GMT
10 entries to open this month, with nothing from ricmk or David Boothroyd, but a return from olympian95. All on time and correct. Kingsmead, Bath and North East Somerset: 9 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with europeanlefty Conservative hold. Curborough, Lichfield: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4% (syorkssocialist) to 22% (olympian95), all over Labour. Shifnal South and Cosford, Shropshire: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (andrewp over Ind (Mitchell)) to 54% (priceofdawn over Ind (Mitchell)). Spreadsheet available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1K7i_oIPYoBJn2HUT4fEhZxXp9XSmzrmIMsgtfoHdZ0U/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 5, 2018 23:48:47 GMT
10 entries to open this month, with nothing from ricmk or David Boothroyd, but a return from olympian95. All on time and correct. Kingsmead, Bath and North East Somerset: 9 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with europeanlefty Conservative hold. Curborough, Lichfield: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 4% (syorkssocialist) to 22% (olympian95), all over Labour. Shifnal South and Cosford, Shropshire: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (andrewp over Ind (Mitchell)) to 54% (priceofdawn over Ind (Mitchell)). Spreadsheet available at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1K7i_oIPYoBJn2HUT4fEhZxXp9XSmzrmIMsgtfoHdZ0U/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! On the basis of the first two results I reckon David Boothroyd is the winner. Obviously he as the one who predicted this was one to stay away from. Edit-on the basis of the provisional results for Shifnal, I think Hempie may have just taken the week from SYS but all very tight so may be wrong? |
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 6, 2018 15:57:15 GMT
Kingsmead, Bath and North East Somerset: hempie picks up this contest with 21.5 faults followed by olympian95 with 23.5 and Right Leaning on 27.2
Curborough, Lichfield: syorkssocialist coming the closest, scoring 40.7 with greenrobinhood (44.0) and europeanlefty (44.7) just behind him.
Shifnal South and Cosford, Shropshire: olympian95 gets the win with 27.1, with robertwaller in second on 29.1 and hempie in third on 31.1
This leaves hempie as the winner of the week and frontrunner for the month with 103.2. Syorkssocialist is in second with 108.3 and robertwaller in third on 111.0. Predictions for next week's bumper set on this thread at 9.00 Thursday.
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