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Post by mattbewilson on Dec 1, 2024 18:48:09 GMT
FG certainly have over nominated so will be feeling burnt They have arguably over nominated but I can't see many, if any, examples where it seems to have cost them a seat. first time Wexford hasn't returned FG TD. Total vote share for FG in Wexford was 15% to SF 14.5% and Labor 13.8% But FG ran two candidates compared to 1 each for labor and SF, and both came through the middle. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 1, 2024 18:50:31 GMT
They look like taking a seat in Dublin West. Currently around 600 votes behind AON for the final seat but with transfers from SD and Lab to come. He's likely to get overtaken by Labour though when SD preferences go in so I think it's Wipeout. I certainly hope so but I think it will be fairly close. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,035
Member is Online
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Post by Khunanup on Dec 1, 2024 18:52:24 GMT
The change, from an official mark applied to ballot papers by punching holes when they were issued, to being printed on the ballot papers at the start, was made in the Electoral Administration Act 2006. Thanks, I thought it was more recent (it certainly feels like it!). |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 1, 2024 18:56:41 GMT
They have arguably over nominated but I can't see many, if any, examples where it seems to have cost them a seat. first time Wexford hasn't returned FG TD. Total vote share for FG in Wexford was 15% to SF 14.5% and Labor 13.8% But FG ran two candidates compared to 1 each for labor and SF, and both came through the middle. Even if 100% of Briden Murphy's vote had transferred to Cathal Byrne he would have still missed out on the final seat by around 600 votes. |
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 1, 2024 18:57:35 GMT
They look like taking a seat in Dublin West. Currently around 600 votes behind AON for the final seat but with transfers from SD and Lab to come. Situation so far...for the last 2 seats People Before Profit 5,211 Aontù 4,348 Greens 3,777 Labour 3,299 Social Democrats 3,094 EXCLUDED The biggest risk for Green is SD transfers pushing Labour over them Now PBP 6340 Aontú 4547 Grn 4350 Lab 4039 out |
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Post by greenhert on Dec 1, 2024 18:58:47 GMT
So far, 97 seats have been filled. By the way, how did sitting TD (ex-SF, now Independent) Violet-Anne Wynne achieve such an appallingly low first preference vote in Clare (310!)?
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 1, 2024 19:04:08 GMT
So far, 97 seats have been filled. By the way, how did sitting TD (ex-SF, now Independent) Violet-Anne Wynne achieve such an appallingly low first preference vote in Clare (310!)? Quite simple, she was elected in 2020 due to her party label. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 1, 2024 19:05:04 GMT
Situation so far...for the last 2 seats People Before Profit 5,211 Aontù 4,348 Greens 3,777 Labour 3,299 Social Democrats 3,094 EXCLUDED The biggest risk for Green is SD transfers pushing Labour over them Now PBP 6340 Aontú 4547 Grn 4350 Lab 4039 out Regrettable but not surprising to anyone other than the clueless Khunanup |
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Post by greenhert on Dec 1, 2024 19:07:47 GMT
Keep an eye on Cork North-Central, Dublin West, Dublin South-Central, Cavan-Monaghan, and Donegal in particular. Critical rounds are now taking place.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,806
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Post by andrea on Dec 1, 2024 19:12:04 GMT
Dublin Bay South
Last seat to Social Democrat candidate Eoin Hayes
Sinn Féin TD Chris Andrews has lost his seat.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Dec 1, 2024 19:16:20 GMT
Dublin Mid West
Fianna Fáil's Shane Moynihan and Independent Paul Nicholas Gogarty have claimed the final seats.
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Post by uthacalthing on Dec 1, 2024 19:22:33 GMT
cultural marxism is not a thing It *is* a thing, but an unimportant fringe thing. The way certain right wingers use it is as close to an actual lie as makes little difference. Cultural marxism was killed by certain right wingers calling out cultural marxism |
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Post by uthacalthing on Dec 1, 2024 19:28:01 GMT
The 18-24 age group is also where reactionary "influencers" like Andrew Tate seem to have the most sway. Is Andrew Tate actually a real thing or is it a circle wank for left wingers to fret about? |
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Post by timrollpickering on Dec 1, 2024 19:34:42 GMT
Dublin Mid West Fianna Fáil's Shane Moynihan and Independent Paul Nicholas Gogarty have claimed the final seats. Finally a constituency doesn't say "Fuck you!" to him. |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Dec 1, 2024 19:37:04 GMT
News from Cavan-Monaghan via RTE
Pizza has arrived, which has been described as "quality".
"At this rate they'll get through the entire menu," says our Northern Editor Vincent Kearney.
We're still awaiting our first elected candidates there.
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Post by greenhert on Dec 1, 2024 19:39:52 GMT
Dublin South-West: Surplus being transferred from John Lahart now-will it be enough to take Independent candidate and former South Dublin Mayor Alan Edge over the edge (if you will pardon the pun)?
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Post by uthacalthing on Dec 1, 2024 19:41:24 GMT
6. Nationalist/racist right candidates have almost uniformly flopped, even Independent councillor Malachy Steenson in Dublin Central will not win a seat. I will keep saying this as long as it needs to be said. There is no far right anymore, they cant even a single seat in a PR type system. |
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Post by uthacalthing on Dec 1, 2024 19:41:38 GMT
Why is Kerry always so slow? Good gag |
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Post by timrollpickering on Dec 1, 2024 19:42:31 GMT
Kerry reaches count 11 and Beard of Powah gets back in.
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Post by greenhert on Dec 1, 2024 19:47:21 GMT
Dublin West: Roderic O'Gorman becomes the only Green Party TD to retain his seat.
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