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Post by andrewp on May 24, 2018 22:39:31 GMT
Turnout in Bristol is 44.85% . 6862 ballots. Big ward and probably the most votes cast in a local by election for a while
In that ward, I suspect a large ish turnout favours the Lib Dem’s.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2018 22:39:31 GMT
BRISTOL Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze
BPs verified 6,862
Turnout 44.85%
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2018 22:41:54 GMT
STOCKPORT Edgeley and Cheadle Heath
Lab 1,709
L Dem 203
C 187
GP 144
UKIP 71
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2018 22:46:26 GMT
I wouldn't mind betting some of the safe Tory Westminster and K&C wards were approaching 80% Remain. Ours are generally around that level too. In general the Labour areas are stronger for leave. |
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mboy
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Post by mboy on May 24, 2018 22:46:52 GMT
Turnout in Bristol is 44.85% . 6862 ballots. Big ward and probably the most votes cast in a local by election for a while Impressive, particularly given that it poured with rain in the Westcountry this evening. Turnout in this ward was 61% at the last local election in 2016. I certainly hope so... |
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Post by Robert Waller on May 24, 2018 22:55:05 GMT
Edgeley & Cheadle Heath (Stockport) result:
LAB: 73.9% (+16.2) HOLD.
LDEM: 8.8% (+1.4)
CON: 8.1% (-0.1)
GRN: 6.2% (-2.9)
UKIP: 3.1% (-14.7)
Chgs. w/ 2014
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Post by Andrew_S on May 24, 2018 23:01:10 GMT
Is Glascote counting tonight?
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 24, 2018 23:02:00 GMT
Is Glascote counting tonight? I didn’t think it was voting until later today? |
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Post by AdminSTB on May 24, 2018 23:05:45 GMT
Is Glascote counting tonight? I imagine they'll count Friday night it's a Friday election. Very unusual. |
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Post by middleenglander on May 24, 2018 23:09:24 GMT
Bristol, Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze - Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat| Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | Conservative | 2,900 | 42.3% | +2.9% | -0.1% | Liberal Democrat | 2,704 | 39.5% | +7.3% | +10.1% | Labour | 891 | 13.0% | -2.6% | -2.8% | Green | 355 | 5.2% | -7.6% | -7.2% | Total votes | 6,850 |
| 67% | 80% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 2¼% / 5% since 2016 Council now 37 Labour, 15 Conservative, 11 Green, 7 Liberal Democrat Broadland, Alysham - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 B | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2013 B | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 1,018 | 46.0% | -2.0%% | +15.1% | +19.1% | -4.2% | +12.3% | +15.9% | Conservative | 865 | 39.1% | +1.2% | +6.8% | +6.7% | -2.6% | +1.0% | +0.2% | Labour | 328 | 14.8% | +0.8% | -7.2% | -10.0% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -1.6% | UKIP |
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| -14.6% | -15.8% |
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| Green |
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| -12.7% | -14.5% | Total votes | 2,211
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| 128% | 45% | 51% | 161% | 63% | 72% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 4¼% / 6¼% since 2015 and 5¾% / 7¾% since 2011 - but Liberal Democrat to Conservative 1½% since 2016 byelection and ¾% since 2013 byelection Council now 41 Conservative, 6 Liberal Democrat Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead - result awaited | Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2013 B | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | Row 2 column 1 | Row 2 column 2 | Row 2 column 3 | Row 2 column 4 | Row 2 column 5 | Row 2 column 6 | Row 2 column 7 | Row 2 column 8 | Row 3 column 1 | Row 3 column 2 | Row 3 column 3 | Row 3 column 4 | Row 3 column 5 | Row 3 column 6 | Row 3 column 7 | Row 3 column 8 | Row 4 column 1 | Row 4 column 2 | Row 4 column 3 | Row 4 column 4 | Row 4 column 5 | Row 4 column 6 | Row 4 column 7 | Row 4 column 8 | Total votes | Row 5 column 2 |
| Row 5 column 4 | Row 5 column 5 | Row 5 column 6 | Row 5 column 7 | Row 5 column 8 |
Swing Council now 37 Conservative, 4 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent, 1 Vacant North Kesteven, Kirkby La Thorpe & South Kyme - Lincolnshire Independent gain from Conservative| Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2015 | since 2011 | 2007 result | Lincolnshire Independent | 278 | 45.9% | +10.3% | from nowhere |
| Conservative | 271 | 44.7% | -19.7% | -13.5% | unopposed | Labour | 30 | 5.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Liberal Democrat | 27 | 4.5% | from nowhere | -7.2% |
| Independent |
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| -30.1% |
| Total votes | 606 |
| 47% | 72% | n / a |
Swing Conservative to Lincolnshire Independent 15% since 2015 Council now 27 Conservative, 9 Lincolnshire Independent, 2 Hykeham Independent, 3 Independent Waverley, Farnham Castle - Farnham Residents hold | Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 B | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Farnham Residents | 354 | 37.9% | -2.8% | +3.3% | +2.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 338 | 36.1% | +5.4% | +11.7% | +11.1% | +19.7% | +19.1% | Conservative | 175 | 18.7% | -5.4% | -7.7% | -5.8% | -35.1% | -34.2% | Labour | 42 | 4.5% | from nowhere | -10.0% | -10.4% | -7.7% | -8.2% | Independent | 26 | 2.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
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| -4.5% |
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| Previous Independent |
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| -17.5% | -17.5% | Total votes | 935 |
| 98% | 31% | 32% | 75% | 78% |
Swing Farnham Residents to Liberal Democrat ~ 4% since 2016 by-election and similar since 2015 Council now 50 Conservative, 6 Farnham Residents, 1 Liberal Democrat Stockport, Edgely & Cheadle Heath - Labour hold | Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Labour | 1,709 | 73.9% | +5.7% | +19.0% | +16.2% | -1.1% | Liberal Democrat | 203 | 8.8% | +2.9% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +0.4% | Conservative | 187 | 8.1% | +0.3% | -6.9% | -0.1% | -1.4% | Green | 144 | 6.2% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -2.9% | -1.0% | UKIP | 71 | 3.1% | -9.0% | -10.5% | -14.7% | from nowhere | Total votes | 2,314 |
| 71% | 37% | 71% | 77% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 2¾% since 2016, 13% since 2015, 8¼% since 2014 and ¼% since 2012 Council now 25 Labour, 21 Liberal Democrat, 13 Conservative, 3 Ratepayers, 1 Independent Tamworth, Glascote - voting Friday | Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | Row 2 column 1 | Row 2 column 2 | Row 2 column 3 | Row 2 column 4 | Row 2 column 5 | Row 2 column 6 | Row 2 column 7 | Row 3 column 1 | Row 3 column 2 | Row 3 column 3 | Row 3 column 4 | Row 3 column 5 | Row 3 column 6 | Row 3 column 7 | Row 4 column 1 | Row 4 column 2 | Row 4 column 3 | Row 4 column 4 | Row 4 column 5 | Row 4 column 6 | Row 4 column 7 | Row 5 column 1 | Row 5 column 2 | Row 5 column 3 | Row 5 column 4 | Row 5 column 5 | Row 5 column 6 | Row 5 column 7 | Previous Independents |
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| -5.3% |
| -33.8% |
| Row 7 column 1 | Row 7 column 2 |
| Row 7 column 4 | Row 7 column 5 | Row 7 column 6 | Row 7 column 7 |
Swing
Council now 22 Conservative, 5 Labour, 1UKIP, 1 Vacant
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 24, 2018 23:09:49 GMT
Edgeley & Cheadle Heath (Stockport) result: LAB: 73.9% (+16.2) HOLD. LDEM: 8.8% (+1.4) CON: 8.1% (-0.1) GRN: 6.2% (-2.9) UKIP: 3.1% (-14.7) Chgs. w/ 2014 So second to fifth place have reversed their order from last time? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2018 23:14:02 GMT
Presumably Cowfold etc is counting in the morning.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2018 23:17:20 GMT
20 votes unaccounted for in Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze - "quick" recount to find them.
(This may be a bundle's worth - before the 20 vote bundles are agglomerated into 100 vote bundles, but it suggests the result is relatively close)
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Post by yellowperil on May 24, 2018 23:17:47 GMT
Is Glascote counting tonight? I didn’t think it was voting until later today? So the answer now is yes- but not until they've voted. |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on May 24, 2018 23:30:04 GMT
20 votes unaccounted for in Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze - "quick" recount to find them. (This may be a bundle's worth - before the 20 vote bundles are agglomerated into 100 vote bundles, but it suggests the result is relatively close) Reported as a Tory gain. |
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 24, 2018 23:30:48 GMT
I didn’t think it was voting until later today? So the answer now is yes- but not until they've voted. Technically not as the question was posed before midnight and I presume they’ll count earlier than tonight 😉 |
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Post by Robert Waller on May 24, 2018 23:55:29 GMT
Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze (Bristol) result:
CON: 42.3% (+2.9)
LDEM: 39.5% (+7.3)
LAB: 13.0% (-2.6)
GRN: 5.2% (-7.6)
Con GAIN from LDem.
The previously elected LDem Cllr came third in a three member ward.
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mboy
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Post by mboy on May 25, 2018 0:04:21 GMT
Dislike!
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Post by andrew111 on May 25, 2018 5:35:29 GMT
Turnout in Bristol is 44.85% . 6862 ballots. Big ward and probably the most votes cast in a local by election for a while In that ward, I suspect a large ish turnout favours the Lib Dem’s. I bet there is an unusually high proportion of postal votes, which would explain the unusually high turnout in successive local elections. |
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Post by andrewp on May 25, 2018 6:00:06 GMT
Claire Campion Smith, the retiring Lib Dem councillor in Bristol, had a big personal vote, as evidenced in 2016, and probably did well to even win the 3rd seat in 2016. Westbury on Trym is pretty wealthy.
There was a notional swing to the Lib Dem’s since 2016. Having Labour, Green and Lib Dem candidates helped the Conservatives gain the seat.
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