Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Aug 23, 2012 11:29:44 GMT
Rasmussen has McMahon ahead in Connecticut by 3 points. I know it is Ras but it certainly indicates that this could be tighter than expected.
Meanwhile two more polls show Tommy Thompson ahead in Wisconsin, Marquette Law School by 9 points and PPP by 5 points. This race is certainly in the leans GOP column.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 23, 2012 15:13:50 GMT
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Post by dizz on Aug 23, 2012 22:22:57 GMT
Whilst he clearly the Dem's dream opposition candidate I'd be very surprised if he's still on the poll in November. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 23, 2012 22:38:23 GMT
Hasn't some sort of deadline just passed, though??
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Post by dizz on Aug 23, 2012 22:48:48 GMT
Hasn't some sort of deadline just passed, though?? Court application available until the end of Sep. |
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Post by erlend on Aug 24, 2012 9:57:45 GMT
But he would have to pay. Don't know if that is hundreds or 100Ks though.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Aug 24, 2012 10:26:36 GMT
But he would have to pay. Don't know if that is hundreds or 100Ks though. Pretty sure that the GOP bigwigs will happily stump up the cash. In any event, aside from the court costs, he only has to cover any costs incurred by the state with regards to reprinting ballots, etc so if he goes within the next week or so it would probably be minimal. |
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Post by iainbhx on Aug 25, 2012 9:59:37 GMT
NM-SEN (GBA Strategies for the Heinrich Campaign): Martin Heinrich (D) 51, Heather Wilson (R) 44
PA-SEN (Muhlenberg College/Morning Call): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 49, Tom Smith (R) 30
VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 45, George Allen (R) 45
Looks like Casey could be delivering an asswhupping in PA, Muhlenberg has a good reputation as a local pollster.
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Richard Allen
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Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Aug 25, 2012 16:06:36 GMT
NM-SEN (GBA Strategies for the Heinrich Campaign): Martin Heinrich (D) 51, Heather Wilson (R) 44 PA-SEN (Muhlenberg College/Morning Call): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 49, Tom Smith (R) 30 VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 45, George Allen (R) 45 Looks like Casey could be delivering an asswhupping in PA, Muhlenberg has a good reputation as a local pollster. Anything other than a big win for Casey would be a huge surprise. His father was a popular two term Governor and he has been elected state wide four times, all by big margins. Unless he loses a primary (his pro-life stance alienates some Democrats) he will be a Senator for as long as wants. |
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Post by iainbhx on Aug 28, 2012 18:53:15 GMT
Polling dump
MA-SEN (Kimball Consulting--R): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 49, Elizabeth Warren (D) 43
MI-SEN (Mitchell Research): Pete Hoekstra (R) 45, Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 44
MO-SEN (Gravis Marketing--R): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 39, Todd Akin (R) 37
MO-SEN (Mason Dixon for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 50, Todd Akin (R) 41
OH-SEN (Columbus Dispatch): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 44, Josh Mandel (R) 44
PA-SEN (Global Strategy Group and National Research for the Philadelphia Inquirer): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 53, Tom Smith (R) 34
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
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Post by tricky on Aug 28, 2012 23:29:15 GMT
I assume the remaining 24 % answered "Please don't make me choose, is it too late to move to another state?"
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Post by iainbhx on Aug 29, 2012 5:59:15 GMT
CT-SEN (Quinnipiac): Linda McMahon (R) 49, Chris Murphy (D) 46
NV-SEN (PPP): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 47, Shelley Berkley (D) 45
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Richard Allen
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Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Aug 29, 2012 13:19:34 GMT
That is the second poll in the last week that has shown McMahon winning Connecticut. Starting to look like a genuine contest.
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Post by iainbhx on Aug 30, 2012 6:15:01 GMT
And some downticket stuff
CT-SEN (PPP for League of Conservation Voters): Chris Murphy (D) 48, Linda McMahon (R) 44
MO-SEN (Wenzel Strategies for the Family Research Council--R): Todd Akin (R) 45, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 42
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 20, 2012 5:53:09 GMT
CT-SEN (Univ. of Connecticut): Chris Murphy (D) 37, Linda McMahon (R) 33
FL-SEN (Fox News): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 49, Connie Mack IV (R) 35
ME-SEN (Maine Peoples Resource Center): Angus King (I) 44, Charlie Summers (R) 28, Cynthia Dill (D) 15
ME-SEN (PPP): Angus King (I) 43, Charlie Summers (R) 35, Cynthia Dill (D) 14
MA-SEN (MassINC for WBUR): Elizabeth Warren (D) 47, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 42
OH-SEN (Fox News): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 47, Josh Mandel (R) 40
TX-SEN (Frederick Polls for the Sadler campaign): Ted Cruz (R) 49, Paul Sadler (D) 32, John Jay Myers (L) 6
VA-SEN (CBS/Quinnipiac): Tim Kaine (D) 51, George Allen (R) 44
VA-SEN (Fox News): Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 43
VA-SEN (Washington Post): Tim Kaine (D) 51, George Allen (R) 43
WI-SEN (CBS/Quinnipiac): Tammy Baldwin (D) 47, Tommy Thompson (R) 47
WI-SEN (Marquette Law School): Tammy Baldwin (D) 50, Tommy Thompson (R) 41 (LV); Tammy Baldwin (D) 49, Tommy Thompson (R) 41 (RV)
You know, things are looking so grim for the Senate Dems as they were a few months ago.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 20, 2012 6:31:29 GMT
You know, things are looking so grim for the Senate Dems as they were a few months ago. I presume you meant things aren't looking so grim for the Dems .... These will all help to start the GOP blame game early ..... the Todd Akin one is worrying  although the Wenzel Strategies for the Family Research Council sounds like an upright & independent organisation .... |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 20, 2012 12:50:56 GMT
Some of those Wisconsin polls may be a little too favourable to Baldwin, although as Thompson has done very little since he won the primary most of the movement is probably real.
As for Arizona, there were rumours last night of a Republican internal showing Carmona 5 points ahead.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Sept 20, 2012 13:08:03 GMT
Some of those Wisconsin polls may be a little too favourable to Baldwin, although as Thompson has done very little since he won the primary most of the movement is probably real. The Marquette Law School poll was clearly nonsense and it also had Obama up by 14 points in the presidential race. Pretty clear that they had a poor sample and that the Quinnipiac poll which had the Senate race tied and Obama up by 6 points looks to be far more reasonable. |
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 20, 2012 13:12:38 GMT
Some of those Wisconsin polls may be a little too favourable to Baldwin, although as Thompson has done very little since he won the primary most of the movement is probably real. As for Arizona, there were rumours last night of a Republican internal showing Carmona 5 points ahead. Not a rumour www.azfamily.com/news/Poll-Carmona-leading-Flake-170432726.htmlOh, please let it be true, the only thing better for Arizona would be the defeat of Sheriff Joe and for him to then progress to eating baloney sandwiches in his tent prison. |
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Post by Tangent on Sept 20, 2012 13:17:30 GMT
The danger for the Dems is that the super PACs start writing Romney off and pouring their remaining resources into the close Congressional races. If they start putting money into Missouri again, Akin could still win.
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although the Wenzel Strategies for the Family Research Council sounds like an upright & independent organisation ....
