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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 3, 2012 16:32:25 GMT
Looks like a combination of a lack of money and a distinct lack of enthusiasm from the Republican establishment, several of whom were also considering write-in campaigns.
It probably also didn't help that the Attorney General's office is investigating whether his petitions were fraudulent.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 5, 2012 22:09:59 GMT
Surprised no comment on Scott Walker's recall voting in Wisconsin
voting today and razor tight result
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Post by kvasir on Jun 5, 2012 22:40:03 GMT
The election is going to be close, high turnout could favour Republicans since the polls attribute the greatest enthusiasm to them. But the turnout in Dane is apparently astronomical. Of course turnout in Milwaukee is absolutely key and this area contributes the key voting groups that only actually bother at the General. These people don't follow the minutia of politics or have strong political views but lean Democratic.
If this comes down to a tiny vote margin this could make Minnesota look like a walk in the park.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 5, 2012 22:58:08 GMT
There still hasn't been a poll showing Barrett ahead. His last internal found him behind by only one respondent, but if he's to pull victory out of the hat it'll be based on proving the pollsters assumptions about the voter pool to be overly conservative.
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Post by kvasir on Jun 5, 2012 23:02:24 GMT
There still hasn't been a poll showing Barrett ahead. His last internal found him behind by only one respondent, but if he's to pull victory out of the hat it'll be based on proving the pollsters assumptions about the voter pool to be overly conservative. You know as well that all this talk of on day registration throws the polls into doubt because every poll will only poll registered and likely voters. To my knowledge no poll had Walker any higher than 50%. If I was a betting man I still think Walker holds on when Waukesha County posts their results (last on a crazy turnout with a crazy Republican margin). But I've never being more hopeful, certainly not in the last month. And never before have I cared this much about an American election. I'm staying up for the result either way. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 5, 2012 23:12:36 GMT
If I was a betting man I still think Walker holds on when Waukesha County posts their results (last on a crazy turnout with a crazy Republican margin). I seem to remember their somewhat ethically questionable Clerk of Elections was persuaded to recuse herself from this election after another screw-up in the primary a few months back, so one hopes it might report on time this time round. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 6, 2012 0:09:52 GMT
Reports that some polling stations have run out of papers.
Democrat has been outspent 3-1 and polls not in his favour, but really hope he swings it.
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Post by kvasir on Jun 6, 2012 0:12:38 GMT
Reports that some polling stations have run out of papers. Democrat has been outspent 3-1 and polls not in his favour, but really hope he swings it. I've heard the Democrats were outspent 8-1. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 6, 2012 0:54:03 GMT
An upset would be nice, but better to be pessimistic..
Anyways, over at Atlas there used to be (this is something like seven years ago now) a regular troll called Mike Assad. Posted racist and anti-semitic comments and got banned at least once. He's now a member of a school board (!!!!) in New Jersey and is challenging Atlantic City's longtime Republican Congressman in the primary. He's currently trailing by 74pts. lol.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 6, 2012 0:54:13 GMT
Reports that some polling stations have run out of papers. Democrat has been outspent 3-1 and polls not in his favour, but really hope he swings it. I've heard the Democrats were outspent 8-1. Directly, yes, but that's because the DNC have made the foolish assumption that if they don't get heavily involved they won't get any of the backlash from a defeat. On the other hand, outside spending from unions have evened it up a little bit. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 6, 2012 0:57:00 GMT
Suspect that the DNC being anything other than grossly incompetent is a harbinger of the Apocalypse.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 6, 2012 1:04:10 GMT
Exit poll is 50/50.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 6, 2012 1:53:45 GMT
Now revised to 52/48 Walker/Barrett. Given the margins in the results thus far, the remaining votes will have to be fairly heavily pro-Barrett for that not to underestimate Walker's margin.
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Post by kvasir on Jun 6, 2012 1:54:32 GMT
As it nears 3:00am I'm looking at exit polls and the vote distribution and I'm prepared to say Walker has it. Very sad day indeed.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 6, 2012 1:56:37 GMT
And MSNBC calls it for Walker. It'll be interesting to see how much this talk about high turnout stands up, and where in particular it was high.
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Richard Allen
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Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Jun 6, 2012 9:41:09 GMT
And MSNBC calls it for Walker. It'll be interesting to see how much this talk about high turnout stands up, and where in particular it was high. Total number of votes in 2010 was 2,158,974. In yesterdays election the current figures are just short of 2.5 million and presumably there will be a fair few absentee ballots to add to that. Turnout in Milwaukee was up quite a bit with Barrett getting 40,000 extra votes over 2010 and Walker getting an extra 15,000. |
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Post by richardclemerson on Jun 6, 2012 10:44:45 GMT
No doubt the inquest is already underway by the pollsters regarding the exit poll cock up.
Walkers 7 - 8 % majority is pretty conclusive and indicates the good people of Wisconsin have mandated his policies, especially with the reported high turnout.
Might be ringing a few alarm bells at Democrat HQ regarding November as well?
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Richard Allen
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Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Jun 6, 2012 10:54:13 GMT
I can't see Obama not winning Wisconsin.
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The Bishop
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Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 6, 2012 11:26:44 GMT
No doubt the inquest is already underway by the pollsters regarding the exit poll cock up. Walkers 7 - 8 % majority is pretty conclusive and indicates the good people of Wisconsin have mandated his policies, especially with the reported high turnout. Might be ringing a few alarm bells at Democrat HQ regarding November as well?I rather doubt it. Recall elections are different animals from normal voting. And maybe the poll "cock up" is similar to ours in 1992. Lots of people voting for a nasty right winger (tbf that didn't apply to Major so much) for self-interested reasons (that most certainly *did*) didn't want to admit as much, even to themselves??  ;D  |
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Post by richardclemerson on Jun 6, 2012 11:29:43 GMT
I can't see Obama not winning Wisconsin. Agree with you, been solidly Democrat since '84 but the Democrats really shouldn't be complacent in such states or there may be a few surprises. |
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;D 