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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 26, 2024 22:49:54 GMT
Local elections in Thuringia on Sunday. The AfD have definitely underperformed, coming top in only one district, Altenburger Land (these will go to runoffs in most cases).
The CDU meanwhile have had some stonking results. Over 75 per cent in Weimar, and over 80 in Suhl. Schmalkalden has gone to the SPD. Erfurt looks like a runoff to watch between the CDU and SPD.
In more bizarre news, an outright neo Nazi has made the runoff in Hildburghausen, although he has been active there before. He will face a Freie Wähler candidate.
Jena looks like an intriguing tie between multiple parties, with the FDP edging it according to some reports.
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Post by minionofmidas on May 27, 2024 3:20:54 GMT
The FDP incumbent is easily ahead in Jena... on 25% of the vote. 2nd to 6th place is a hilarious clusterfuck with the final order of 2 Green on 15%, 3 Left, 4 AfD, 5 CDU, 6 SPD still on 12%
Hildburghausen shows what happens when there are multiple elections (council and Landrat, oh and municipalities I presume) and the AfD are standing for only some of them, ie most of their supporters will vote for whoever has the most fascist vibe, but we knew that already. Gotta say that 42% FW, 25% nazi indy, 25% CDU, 8% leftfield indy is an incredibly bleak result.
I haven't had a look at results elsewhere, these two have come to my attention because they produce banter.
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Post by minionofmidas on May 27, 2024 12:39:56 GMT
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Post by minionofmidas on May 27, 2024 15:01:17 GMT
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 10, 2024 2:34:26 GMT
Frankfurt by neighborhood City result was CDU 22.8 Greens 20.7 SPD 14.3 FDP 8.7 AfD 7.7 Volt 6.3 Linke 4.7 BSW 4.6  picture ruturnout at Euros btw 79 61.6 84 55.1 89 56.9 94 55.5 99 41.9 04 39.8 09 38.9 14 44.5 19 60.1 24 62.1 It's a record! |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,836 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2024 3:33:27 GMT
Clearly not my own work:  |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 10, 2024 7:24:58 GMT
Frankfurt by neighborhood City result was CDU 22.8 Greens 20.7 SPD 14.3 FDP 8.7 AfD 7.7 Volt 6.3 Linke 4.7 BSW 4.6 picture ruturnout at Euros btw 79 61.6 84 55.1 89 56.9 94 55.5 99 41.9 04 39.8 09 38.9 14 44.5 19 60.1 24 62.1 It's a record! A question on that bottom section. Is that Flughafen and Sachsenhausen all in one for these purposes, or am I misidentifying? |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 10, 2024 9:32:59 GMT
Notable from the above maps that BSW support is rather more evenly distributed than the Linke remnant.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 10, 2024 10:21:02 GMT
Frankfurt by neighborhood City result was CDU 22.8 Greens 20.7 SPD 14.3 FDP 8.7 AfD 7.7 Volt 6.3 Linke 4.7 BSW 4.6 picture ruturnout at Euros btw 79 61.6 84 55.1 89 56.9 94 55.5 99 41.9 04 39.8 09 38.9 14 44.5 19 60.1 24 62.1 It's a record! A question on that bottom section. Is that Flughafen and Sachsenhausen all in one for these purposes, or am I misidentifying? Sachsenhausen South incl Flughafen - anything south of Mörfelder/Offenbacher Landstraße (which is for the most part functionally near-identical to south of the railway line) |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 10, 2024 10:23:46 GMT
Notable from the above maps that BSW support is rather more evenly distributed than the Linke remnant. And completely differently, looking rather like an SPD map. Few direct Left-BSW switchers, though I reckon most BSW voters probably voted Left back in 2009 (they're certainly old enough) |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 10, 2024 10:33:11 GMT
Notable from the above maps that BSW support is rather more evenly distributed than the Linke remnant. And completely differently, looking rather like an SPD map. Few direct Left-BSW switchers, though I reckon most BSW voters probably voted Left back in 2009 (they're certainly old enough) I bet you could have drawn those Volt, FDP and AfD without needing actual election data! Exactly where you'd imagine their votes to be. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 11, 2024 4:24:09 GMT
 Obviously some wins on very low shares. One AfD win, numerous AfD, FDP, Volt second places. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 11, 2024 8:38:16 GMT
Obviously some wins on very low shares. One AfD win, numerous AfD, FDP, Volt second places. Great map. Trying to work out those SPD areas - Griesheim? Fechenheim? |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 11, 2024 15:02:25 GMT
Obviously some wins on very low shares. One AfD win, numerous AfD, FDP, Volt second places. Great map. Trying to work out those SPD areas - Griesheim? Fechenheim? 4 precincts in the western Gallus, Friedrich-Ebert-Siedlung, Hellerhof and part of the very old redbrock estate between (the green precinct in between is where my mom grew up). The little estate hidden deep in the commercial western Gutleut. The Mainfeld highrises across the river in Niederrad. Also south of the river, not the Heimatsiedlung for once, but the denser northern part of the 50s/60s estate south of it. In the east, the western half of the Riederwald and the southern half of Fechenheim-Nord (the northern precinct also includes some much posher housing). Scattered across the north and west, part of the Ben-Gurion-Ring, the southernmost bit of the Nordi incl the NWZ itself, the ex-US army Platenstraße housings in Ginnheim, the northern half of Westhausen (looks like eastern on the outline map but that's due to uninhabited bits), the Postsiedlung which is officially Bockenheim but feels like it should be part of Rödelheim, and the northern end of Unterliederbach's eastside, famous for its inhabited noise barrier right by the motorway. You get the drift.  The AfD win is the tower blocks on Frankfurter Berg. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 11, 2024 15:22:16 GMT
An inhabited noise barrier?!
I went up to the NWZ recently. That's a...strange place.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 11, 2024 15:53:58 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 11, 2024 17:48:01 GMT
Incredible. How bizarre. Funny place, Höchst. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 16, 2024 21:57:59 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 16, 2024 22:18:26 GMT
Hopefully these questions aren't annoying but...where are those BSW hotspots? Can you discern an explanation or pattern?
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 16, 2024 22:37:09 GMT
Hopefully these questions aren't annoying but...where are those BSW hotspots? Can you discern an explanation or pattern? Estateland, some of it looks like a Muslim (Palestine) vote. Notice though how it correlates with the turnout map, this isn't so much a big BSW vote as a lack of a big vote for anybody (see also SPD, AfD) Came second in that Platenstraße precinct, whose result is off the wall 1500 reg'd voters, Turnout 36% SPD 14.5 BSW 13.8 AfD 13.0 CDU 12.1 Left 9.4 Greens 7.7 DAVA (an Islamic splinter party) 5.8 Mera25 (Varoufakis, got 1.0 citywide, certainly a Palestine vote here) 5.1 FDP 4.9 Volt 3.8 |
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