Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135 
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Post by Foggy on Dec 19, 2023 18:12:27 GMT
That was already known when the City Council election was rerun earlier this year. Not got a detailed answer to John's second question except to say that clearly the wheels of German bureaucracy and justice move far too slowly. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Dec 19, 2023 18:27:50 GMT
The Constitutional Court has ordered the rerun of the 2021 Federal Elections in several Berlin constituenties. It's actually sillier than that (or less silly, or both, somehow). They've ordered a re-run the affected polling districts. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Dec 20, 2023 9:07:36 GMT
The Constitutional Court has ordered the rerun of the 2021 Federal Elections in several Berlin constituenties. It's actually sillier than that (or less silly, or both, somehow). They've ordered a re-run the affected polling districts. Just over 400 of them. The CDU had asked for around 1000. Scholz is having some serious fun with courts at the moment. He might even be in front of one soon. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,838
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 14, 2024 21:20:54 GMT
After BadenWürttemberg's city of Ulm was recently reconquered by SPD, in Bavaria the 180k-district of NeuUlm - including the 60k-city of NewUlm (as the half on Bavaria's side):  ...voted toDay in this way:  DistrictPresidents since 1946:  Council-election 2020:  CouncilSeats since 2002:  Trends (=deViations from westGerman average) in federal elections:     So despite being (sub)urban the district has not been moving to the left, just like Fürth-Land (where the election took part few weeks ago - i can post here its tables, if anyone is interested). Both cities are not as vibrant as Munich and northern Swabia is anyWay a strongHold of AfD (though NeuUlm less so). |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,838
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 14, 2024 21:21:15 GMT
This Thuringian district, SaaleOrla:  ...elected its president toDay, ending in this:   In the runOff on 28th the CDU, which has governed most time:  ...should prevail, but it could get close. The federal constituency this district is part of switched 2021 already from CDU to AfD. DistrictCouncil-election 2019:   |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,838
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 28, 2024 12:55:17 GMT
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,054
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Post by jamie on Feb 12, 2024 18:00:56 GMT
The Berlin partial revote happened yesterday. In the precincts voting again, the Greens came top and actually slightly increased their vote. The CDU was up 7% and the SPD down 8%, not too surprising. The AFD was only up 6%, which is pretty disappointing given their polling (especially pre-recent events) and the absence of BSW. The FDP lost well over half their vote, even worse than you might expect.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 20, 2024 21:14:34 GMT
Saxony poll this weekend- AfD 34%, CDU 30, SPD 6 (!), Green 5, FDP 2, Linke 5, BSW 11, FW 3. The negative majority is on! That SPD score is shocking.
Possibly of more relevance in the long run is that another poll shows the AfD hitting 15 per cent in Rhineland-Palatinate, and the BSW up to 4 per cent. For context, the AfD actually saw their vote collapse between the last two Landtag votes, and no party to the left of the SPD has ever garnered over 3 per cent in a Landtag election there.
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Mar 22, 2024 3:33:10 GMT
Saxony poll this weekend- AfD 34%, CDU 30, SPD 6 (!), Green 5, FDP 2, Linke 5, BSW 11, FW 3. The negative majority is on! That SPD score is shocking. Possibly of more relevance in the long run is that another poll shows the AfD hitting 15 per cent in Rhineland-Palatinate, and the BSW up to 4 per cent. For context, the AfD actually saw their vote collapse between the last two Landtag votes, and no party to the left of the SPD has ever garnered over 3 per cent in a Landtag election there. AfD/BSW coalition coming up? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 22, 2024 7:28:00 GMT
Saxony poll this weekend- AfD 34%, CDU 30, SPD 6 (!), Green 5, FDP 2, Linke 5, BSW 11, FW 3. The negative majority is on! That SPD score is shocking. Possibly of more relevance in the long run is that another poll shows the AfD hitting 15 per cent in Rhineland-Palatinate, and the BSW up to 4 per cent. For context, the AfD actually saw their vote collapse between the last two Landtag votes, and no party to the left of the SPD has ever garnered over 3 per cent in a Landtag election there. AfD/BSW coalition coming up? The chances of a formal alliance are minimal, but certainly you can expect some coordination where their agendas cross. And acting as blocking majorities. Saxony and Brandenburg are strong picks for that. |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Mar 23, 2024 18:21:00 GMT
AfD/BSW coalition coming up? The chances of a formal alliance are minimal, but certainly you can expect some coordination where their agendas cross. And acting as blocking majorities. Saxony and Brandenburg are strong picks for that. Who's going to form the government then? CDU minority? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 23, 2024 18:37:53 GMT
The chances of a formal alliance are minimal, but certainly you can expect some coordination where their agendas cross. And acting as blocking majorities. Saxony and Brandenburg are strong picks for that. Who's going to form the government then? CDU minority? Good question. At a federal level, you'd probably end up with some sort of CDU-SPD GroKo without a majority, but the positive majority rules would mean it would survive. At state level- too volatile to say, and my track record of predictions is dismal! |
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Post by minionofmidas on Apr 10, 2024 3:49:34 GMT
The chances of a formal alliance are minimal, but certainly you can expect some coordination where their agendas cross. And acting as blocking majorities. Saxony and Brandenburg are strong picks for that. Who's going to form the government then? CDU minority? CDU-BSW(-SPD) of course. |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Apr 10, 2024 5:27:30 GMT
Who's going to form the government then? CDU minority? CDU-BSW(-SPD) of course. A tankie in government with the CDU? 😂 |
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Post by minionofmidas on Apr 10, 2024 15:14:21 GMT
A tankie in government with the CDU? 😂 Hardly. And, well, given where she's now politically, in economic policy, in the culture wars... no one's ruling it out. Meaning it's also the only option neither being ruled out nor totally impossible numberswise. |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Apr 12, 2024 2:57:16 GMT
A tankie in government with the CDU? 😂 Hardly. And, well, given where she's now politically, in economic policy, in the culture wars... no one's ruling it out. Meaning it's also the only option neither being ruled out nor totally impossible numberswise. I guess we'll have to wait and see. I think the CDU would deeply regret it. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Apr 12, 2024 19:19:45 GMT
Hardly. And, well, given where she's now politically, in economic policy, in the culture wars... no one's ruling it out. Meaning it's also the only option neither being ruled out nor totally impossible numberswise. I guess we'll have to wait and see. I think the CSU would deeply regret it. Unless it's at the federal level or in Bavaria, then such a coalition is technically none of their business. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 12, 2024 21:23:18 GMT
I guess we'll have to wait and see. I think the CSU would deeply regret it. Unless it's at the federal level or in Bavaria, then such a coalition is technically none of their business. Just because something is a federal matter that they say they're not interested in does not mean they won't interfere! |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Apr 13, 2024 10:27:27 GMT
I guess we'll have to wait and see. I think the CSU would deeply regret it. Unless it's at the federal level or in Bavaria, then such a coalition is technically none of their business. Unfortunate typo! |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 13, 2024 10:38:04 GMT
Unless it's at the federal level or in Bavaria, then such a coalition is technically none of their business. Unfortunate typo! Yes, that had me puzzled for a moment  |
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