Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2018 13:14:10 GMT
Graubünden's government is elected:
52.6% FDP (inc.)
51.3% CVP 1 (inc.)
40.8% CVP 2 (new)
39.8% SPS (new)
34.3% BDP (inc.)
Not elected:
34.1% SVP (new)
26.3% Ind. (new)
11.8% others
BDP's incumbent (exMayor of Scuol; as minister for construction seen as not totally uninvolved in the scandal) won by only 68 votes. SVP failed for the third time in a row. CVP reconquered a seat lost 20 years ago (to SPS) and CVP&SPS will have a (theoretical) majority in the government.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2018 15:09:18 GMT
Graubünden, parliament (assumption; 4 RunOffs will occur):
35 (+1) FDP
30 ( -1) CVP (1 seat went to elected minister, causing a RunOff)
21 ( -6) BDP
18 (+3) SPS
09 ( 0) SVP
03 (+1) GLP
01 ( -1) Ind. (GPS?)
BDP lost ground once again, but can survive.
SPS gains 3 seats (as last time).
SVP failes once more to achieve a BreakThrough; in capital Chur (20 seats) they got not a single one: 8 SPS, 5 FDP, 3 CVP, 2 BDP, 2 GLP, 0 SVP
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2018 15:12:20 GMT
Glarus:
16 ( -1) SVP
11 ( -1) FDP
08 ( -1) BDP
08 (+1) SPS
07 ( 0) GPS
06 ( 0) CVP
04 (+2) GLP
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2018 15:45:09 GMT
Those 2 random-referenda (with a record-low participation of 1/3) performed differently:
Online-casinos (only for swiss companies): 72.9% YES (every canton agreed, especially the French&Italians were supportive)
More power for NationalBank, less for banks (partly&inofficially supported by the GREENS): 75.7% NO (also uniformly rejected, Geneva having the lowest NO)
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 10, 2018 21:35:49 GMT
Those 2 random-referenda (with a record-low participation of 1/3) performed differently: Online-casinos (only for swiss companies): 72.9% YES (every canton agreed, especially the French&Italians were supportive) More power for NationalBank, less for banks (partly&inofficially supported by the GREENS): 75.7% NO (also uniformly rejected, Geneva having the lowest NO) On casinos- Ticino has a very definite interest in restricting casino activities to Swiss firms. Although I agree. On "Vollgeld"- the Yes side are crying foul and claiming that the level of advertising was biased against them. I can safely say that it looked very even to me whilst I was there, in cantons Zurich, Vaud, Sankt Gallen, Ticino and Graubünden. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 10, 2018 22:09:59 GMT
On "Vollgeld"- the Yes side are crying foul and claiming that the level of advertising was biased against them. I can safely say that it looked very even to me whilst I was there, in cantons Zurich, Vaud, Sankt Gallen, Ticino and Graubünden. Interesting. I thought, that they would be very outnumbered by their opponents (an unusual coalition from SPS to SVP). Realiter their result was rather good. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 11, 2018 0:36:55 GMT
Glarus:
28.9-1.9=27.0 SVP
18.5-0.9=17.6 FDP
15.1-1.6=13.5 BDP
11.5+1.4=12.9 SPS
10.8+0.7=11.5 GPS
10.5-0.2=10.3 CVP
0?.?+2.5=0?.? GLP
So once again a retreat of the right parties (compared to their very good results before the last FederalElection 2015) and a progress of the left parties.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 14, 2018 10:28:23 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 17, 2018 12:32:11 GMT
Glarus: 28.9-1.9=27.0 SVP 18.5-0.9=17.6 FDP 15.1-1.6=13.5 BDP 11.5+1.4=12.9 SPS 10.8+0.7=11.5 GPS 10.5-0.2=10.3 CVP 0?.?+2.5=0?.? GLP So once again a retreat of the right parties (compared to their very good results before the last FederalElection 2015) and a progress of the left parties. The total for the right parties is however much greater than the poll for Martin Landolt in 2015, is that to be expected? |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 17, 2018 15:56:40 GMT
The total for the right parties is however much greater than the poll for Martin Landolt in 2015, is that to be expected? Yes. The election for NationalRat 2015 was so successful for SPS, because there were only 2 candidates and many saw it as unfair, that the left parties got none of Glarus' 3 seats in Bern. Additionally, the SPS-man was a prominent moderate lawyer plus the son of a former SPS-NationalRat. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 13, 2018 7:00:08 GMT
3 Referenda will take place soonly. 2 on "FairFood" and "FoodSovereignity" (both supported by GPS&SPS, lots of women and Romands, also by some BioFarmers; opposed especially as "AgroCommunism" by the liberals), 1 is a CounterProposal of the government against promoting BiCycles too much (naturally opposed by the left parties). The declining support during ReferendumCampaigns is typical.  10.000 were polled (and weighted) onLine |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 13, 2018 7:21:50 GMT
Given the existing price of food in Switzerland, the food sovereignty concept is likely to just send more people shopping over the border if passed.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 13, 2018 9:25:41 GMT
Given the existing price of food in Switzerland, the food sovereignty concept is likely to just send more people shopping over the border if passed. Exactly, one of the main arguments of the opposers. (Left ConsumerProtectionists around the TradeUnions were against the proposal; small farmers in SVP and CVP were initially not so negative, but this has quite changed.) |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 23, 2018 21:59:49 GMT
Today toke the three referenda place, with expectable OutComes: 2 were rejected, 1 accepted - not a good day for the left. (Additionally St.Gallen introduces - after Ticino - a BurquaBan and the YoungSocialists MillionairesTax also failed.)
I cannot post via SmartPhone maps, but this is finally not necessary: The border of YES:NO is the same as the LanguageBorder ("RöstiGraben"), French LowerValais being the only broader exception. (So, it looks very badly for SVP/UDC in the Romandy for fall 2019, perhaps even for FDP/PLR and CVP/PDC.)
Friendly fire between "the petty pedants" versus "the lazy&crazy"...
YES-Numbers from the StatisticalOffice for the "FairFood"-proposal:
CH: German-French-Italian
38.7: 32.3-59.1-42.2
46.5: 41.5-63.7-43.3 Cities
36.2: 29.5-58.9-42.3 Agglomerations
30.8: 27.1-44.2-nihil Isolated cities
34.7: 27.9-55.6-39.3 Land
Urban-Rural = +5.3%
GermanCH-FrenchCH = -26.8% (!!!)
GermanCH-ItalianCH = -9.9%
FrenchCH-ItalianCH = +16.9%
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 24, 2018 15:05:14 GMT
More BicycleWays (opposed only by SVP):  FairFood (supported only by the left):  FoodSovereignity (supported only by the left):  LanguageBorders ("RöstiGraben"):  |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 24, 2018 19:55:16 GMT
Rumantsch is a quite fascinatingly beautiful language. I hope it continues to survive.
Endlessly fascinating how Ticino votes like the German-speakers.
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Khunanup
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Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
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Post by Khunanup on Sept 24, 2018 20:46:59 GMT
More BicycleWays (opposed only by SVP): FairFood (supported only by the left): FoodSovereignity (supported only by the left): LanguageBorders ("RöstiGraben"): Have you got a Proddy/Catholic map too? That would add an additional reference point. |
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Sept 24, 2018 21:11:07 GMT
Rumantsch is a quite fascinatingly beautiful language. I hope it continues to survive. Endlessly fascinating how Ticino votes like the German-speakers. I suspect the catholic/protestant divide has something to do with that. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 24, 2018 21:28:08 GMT
More BicycleWays (opposed only by SVP): FairFood (supported only by the left): FoodSovereignity (supported only by the left): LanguageBorders ("RöstiGraben"): Have you got a Proddy/Catholic map too? That would add an additional reference point. Not doable with my "StoneAge"-SmartPhone. Having the confessional borders in mind, though, i wouldn't say, that the cleavage is strong: The Catholics in Valais and Fribourg voted less leftish than the Protestants in Geneva, Neuchatel (and Vaud!, where lots of traditional UDC-farmers have been replaced by internationalistic buinessmen) - albeit not in Jura. German-catholic InnerCH has partly other reasons, also perhaps the Bernina-valley. Of course, both confessions are nowadays rarely more than tradition&folklore. Reformism has been - apart from American sects - alive only in the mountainous regions (upperBern, Glarus, Graubünden). The fate of Catholic faith being not very different. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 24, 2018 21:34:21 GMT
Rumantsch is a quite fascinatingly beautiful language. I hope it continues to survive. Endlessly fascinating how Ticino votes like the German-speakers. In the political thread i published a table showing TI's shift to the right - but only when concerning immigration (a huge problem south of the Alpes); economically they - as a poor canton - are still on the left. I have reported to have Slovene and Ladin relatives - You won't believe me, that i have Rumantsch ones, too (from FlimsWaldhaus)! |
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