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Post by Deleted on Jun 30, 2018 13:05:20 GMT
Though the best Tory score in Hove since Labour first won it is actually nearly 40% in 2015 - even though they lost. Quite a big drop from then to last year. That's true of Kemptown in 2015 also, though the Tories just hung on that year. |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2018 19:03:26 GMT
Pinkneys Green and Twyford are the only wards in Maidenhead without a full set of Conservative or Independent councillors - both Lib Dems.
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Post by therealriga on Jul 14, 2018 21:23:10 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 14, 2018 21:43:13 GMT
Twyford isn't listed on your site because it's in Wokingham district. It has one Lib Dem and one Conservative councillor.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 15, 2018 18:57:16 GMT
I had the right ward - but messed up my phrasing. Simon Werner was however the only Liberal Democrat in Maidenhead (W&M) elected, although there were two Conservatives with him. |
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Post by nobodyimportant on Aug 2, 2018 19:39:15 GMT
Twyford isn't listed on your site because it's in Wokingham district. It has one Lib Dem and one Conservative councillor. It has also had the highest Lib Dem vote share in Wokingham Borough/District Council in every election in which it has been contested since it was created from most of the former Twyford and Ruscombe ward in 2004, which also got that accolade more often than not before then. It'll be interesting to see if that remains the case next year, with it having a non-LD incumbent for the first time since the 1980s, and particularly if this year's results in Wokingham play out again. |
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Post by catking on Aug 6, 2018 12:07:53 GMT
Kersal ward in Blackley & Broughton is a contender. The Tories won the ward with nearly 60% of the vote in a constituency that is otherwise nothing but ultra safe Labour.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 6, 2018 20:04:21 GMT
Kersal ward in Blackley & Broughton is a contender. The Tories won the ward with nearly 60% of the vote in a constituency that is otherwise nothing but ultra safe Labour. Good example. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Aug 6, 2018 21:08:40 GMT
Using the Index of Multiple Deprivation figures, and comparing the ward scores with the constituency average, the most atypical wards are:
More Deprived than Constituency Average
1. +45.07 Windmill Hill (67.37) in Weaver Vale (22.30)
2. +43.59 Central (70.76) in Barrow and Furness (27.17)
3. +42.85 Claremont (74.36) in Blackpool North and Cleveleys (31.51)
4. +42.23 Margate Central (68.17) in North Thanet (25.94)
5. +40.56 Grangetown (70.92) in Redcar (30.36)
6. +40.41 Cliftonville West (69.23) in South Thanet (28.81)
7. +39.54 Nelson (71.91) in Great Yarmouth (32.37)
8. +38.03 Bloomfield (83.42) in Blackpool South (45.39)
9. +37.29 Gamesley (53.38) in High Peak (16.09)
10. +34.99 Walker (61.72) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne East (26.73)
Less Deprived than Constituency Average
1. -34.16 Acklam (10.89) in Middlesbrough (45.05)
2. -28.75 Beardwood with Lammack (8.84) in Blackburn (37.59)
3. -28.60 Preston Rural East (5.68) in Preston (34.29)
4. -28.07 Brooklands (6.63) in Wythenshawe and Sale East (34.69)
5. -27.53 Roby (16.08) in Knowsley (43.61)
6. -26.92 Hessle (12.85) in Hull West and Hessle (39.77)
7. -26.53 Victoria (14.14) in Bootle (40.67)
8. -26.20 West Gosforth (9.04) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne Central (35.25)
9. -26.18 Scartho (11.28) in Great Grimsby (37.46)
10. -25.19 Rushmills (2.69) in Northampton South (27.87)
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Post by Deleted on Aug 6, 2018 23:53:55 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 7, 2018 1:32:10 GMT
Not surprised to discover that Preston Rural East is in the Preston constituency? |
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Aug 7, 2018 9:57:36 GMT
Using the Index of Multiple Deprivation figures, and comparing the ward scores with the constituency average, the most atypical wards are: More Deprived than Constituency Average 10. +34.99 Walker (61.72) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne East (26.73) Not so much atypical as polarised. Byker is barely any better than Walker and Walkergate isn't that different either. It's the rest of the constituency which drags it up so much (Jesmond and Heaton). Less Deprived than Constituency Average 8. -26.20 West Gosforth (9.04) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne Central (35.25) Helps that Gosforth is not part of central Newcastle  |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 7, 2018 17:52:45 GMT
Using the Index of Multiple Deprivation figures, and comparing the ward scores with the constituency average, the most atypical wards are: More Deprived than Constituency Average 1. +45.07 Windmill Hill (67.37) in Weaver Vale (22.30) 2. +43.59 Central (70.76) in Barrow and Furness (27.17) 3. +42.85 Claremont (74.36) in Blackpool North and Cleveleys (31.51) 4. +42.23 Margate Central (68.17) in North Thanet (25.94) 5. +40.56 Grangetown (70.92) in Redcar (30.36) 6. +40.41 Cliftonville West (69.23) in South Thanet (28.81) 7. +39.54 Nelson (71.91) in Great Yarmouth (32.37) 8. +38.03 Bloomfield (83.42) in Blackpool South (45.39) 9. +37.29 Gamesley (53.38) in High Peak (16.09) 10. +34.99 Walker (61.72) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne East (26.73) Less Deprived than Constituency Average 1. -34.16 Acklam (10.89) in Middlesbrough (45.05) 2. -28.75 Beardwood with Lammack (8.84) in Blackburn (37.59) 3. -28.60 Preston Rural East (5.68) in Preston (34.29) 4. -28.07 Brooklands (6.63) in Wythenshawe and Sale East (34.69) 5. -27.53 Roby (16.08) in Knowsley (43.61) 6. -26.92 Hessle (12.85) in Hull West and Hessle (39.77) 7. -26.53 Victoria (14.14) in Bootle (40.67) 8. -26.20 West Gosforth (9.04) in Newcastle-upon-Tyne Central (35.25) 9. -26.18 Scartho (11.28) in Great Grimsby (37.46) 10. -25.19 Rushmills (2.69) in Northampton South (27.87) Nice work. I note that Roby was won by the Tories most recently in I think 1992? |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 7, 2018 18:34:25 GMT
Lowton East?
Starting to become a fairly reliable Tory area in a solidly Labour constituency. The Conservatives got 60% there in the locals in May. It must've been one of their highest vote shares in Greater Manchester outside North Manor in Bury and the rock solid Tory wards in Trafford.
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Post by andrewp on Aug 7, 2018 18:49:02 GMT
Is Lowton East quite middle class?
I get the impression from a long distance that the Conservatives recent success in that ward is largely down to James Grundy. Might be wrong though.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Aug 7, 2018 19:46:41 GMT
The publicly released ward data showed quite a comfortable win in Lowton East for Labour despite the swing from 2015 (the simultaneous 2015 council elections already saw the Tories win it).
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Post by andrewp on Aug 7, 2018 19:55:09 GMT
The publicly released ward data showed quite a comfortable win in Lowton East for Labour despite the swing from 2015 (the simultaneous 2015 council elections already saw the Tories win it). I did wonder whether it is ‘atypical’ of the constituency or more a case of 1/2 Conservative councillors working it very hard and being popular. |
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Post by thirdchill on Aug 8, 2018 7:13:59 GMT
The publicly released ward data showed quite a comfortable win in Lowton East for Labour despite the swing from 2015 (the simultaneous 2015 council elections already saw the Tories win it). Not sure whether it was comfortable. Do not have the figures to hand but I think from reading them some time ago it was maybe about 200 votes between labour and conservative in Lowton East. It would have certainly been a bigger gap previously thought. Lowton East is the only ward in Leigh electing conservative councillors however Astley Mosley Common and now Leigh South (the wards on the east lancs) also show a significant conservative vote. |
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Post by thirdchill on Aug 8, 2018 7:16:10 GMT
The publicly released ward data showed quite a comfortable win in Lowton East for Labour despite the swing from 2015 (the simultaneous 2015 council elections already saw the Tories win it). I did wonder whether it is ‘atypical’ of the constituency or more a case of 1/2 Conservative councillors working it very hard and being popular. Grundy has a very large personal vote however quite a bit of this also now votes for his ward colleagues. |
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Post by thirdchill on Aug 8, 2018 7:24:48 GMT
St Mary's in Tynemouth is now standing out more than ever. Whilst all other wards are either safe for labour or marginal with at least 1 labour councillor elected, this ward has stayed very solidly conservative.
It was probably the only ward where the conservatives were ahead in the general election as well.
One of the three councillors in that ward is Judith Wallace (mother of Mark Wallace), who seems to have a bit of a personal vote in that ward.
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