The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on May 11, 2012 20:32:02 GMT
That is the 2007 result!
(a bit confusing I know, with Walsh/McQueen standing in both)
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Post by middleenglander on May 11, 2012 21:52:13 GMT
14 entries this week, with David Boothroyd getting 30 additional points for beIng 4 minutes late with his entry and 3 additional points for totalling 103% in Newcastle-under-Lyme. Safc26 get 1 additional point for totalling 99% also in Newcastle-under-Lyme.
Argyll & Bute:
Tonyotim 18.9 faults, PhilDav76 19.3, andyajs 19.7, Dibs & Robert Waller 22.5, Mark Senior 17.7+5, LeicesterLad 23.5
Safc26 23.7, greatkingrat 16.5+10, Pete Whitehead 17.1+10, Khunanup 22.7+10, erlend 23.7+10, hempie 24.7+10, David Boothroyd 28.5+10+10
Newcastle-under-Lyme:
hempie 2.0 faults, greatkingrat 2.2, LeicesterLad 2.6, Robert Waller 4.0, PhilDav76 4.2, andyajs 8.6, Khunanup 9.4,
Safc26 9.6+1, Mark Senior 10.0, Pete Whitehead 14.8, Dibs 16.2, tonyotim 19.2, erlend 22.6, David Boothroyd 32.8+3+10
South Oxfordshire:
Dibs 3.4, andyajs & greatkingrat 6.6, Khunanup & Safc26 8.6, hempie 9.9, Pete Whitehead 14.6,
erlend 17.4, David Boothroyd 11.4+10, Robert Waller 15.6+10, LeicesterLad, 16.6+10, tonyotim 17.0+10, PhilDav76 & Mark Senior 22.6+10
First week total:
andyajs 34.9 faults, greatkingrat 35.4, Dibs 42.1, Safc26 42.9, hempie 46.6, Khunanup 50.7, Robert Waller 52.1,
LeicesterLad 52.7, PhillDav76 56.2, Pete Whitehead 56.5, tonyotim 65.2, Mark Senior 65.3, erlend 73.7, David Boothroyd 115.7 including 30 for late entry.
Objections please by 10.00am Sunday.
No by-elections next week Predictions for 1 by-election by 9.00am Thursday 24th May.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on May 12, 2012 12:32:34 GMT
Congrats to Andy and Greatkingrat for this week.
Not my best week - South Oxfordshire was a bit of a toss-up in my mind, but the Tory vote held up very well. Also thought the causes for the by-election may have had more of an impact in Newcastle-under-Lyme, but maybe the closeness to the locals last week helped mask that to some extent?
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 23, 2012 21:16:19 GMT
Prediction for this week:
Aspatria and Wharrels
Green 8
Labour 30
Independent 22
Conservative 35
Liberal Democrat 5
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Post by Robert Waller on May 23, 2012 21:16:49 GMT
David BOBER (Green Party) 5%
Brian COPE (Labour Party Candidate) 18%
Bill FINLAY (Independent) 34.9%
Jim LISTER (The Conservative Party Candidate) 35.1%
Phill ROBERTS (Liberal Democrat) 7%
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on May 23, 2012 21:52:36 GMT
CUMBRIA - Aspatria & Wharrels
CON 32 INDEP 24 LD 25 LAB 15 GREEN 4
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 23, 2012 22:36:58 GMT
CUMBRIA Aspatria and Wharrels:
C 34.9, Ind 27.9, Lab 25.6, L Dem 8.1, GP 3.5
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Post by Philip Davies on May 23, 2012 23:36:27 GMT
CUMBRIA - Aspatria & Wharrels
David BOBER (Green Party) 4%
Brian COPE (Labour Party Candidate) 26%
Bill FINLAY (Independent) 30%
Jim LISTER (The Conservative Party Candidate) 33%
Phill ROBERTS (Liberal Democrat) 7%
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Post by marksenior on May 23, 2012 23:46:09 GMT
My forecast for Cumbria
Ind 35 Con 30 Lab 22 LD 10 Green 3
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Post by Andrew_S on May 24, 2012 1:32:30 GMT
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Post by hempie on May 24, 2012 7:10:43 GMT
Cumbria - Aspatria & Wharrels:
Con 32
Ind 26
Lab 25
LD 10
Green 7
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Post by erlend on May 24, 2012 7:33:07 GMT
Con 45
Lab 27
LD 20
Green 5
Ind 3
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Post by greatkingrat on May 24, 2012 7:39:32 GMT
CUMBRIA - Con 35, Ind 32, Lab 19, LD 9, Grn 5
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Post by leicesterlad on May 24, 2012 7:42:19 GMT
Cumbria - Aspatria & Wharrels:
Con 38
Ind 25
Lab 22
LD 10
Green 5
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on May 24, 2012 8:03:25 GMT
I do wonder whether there's also a chance that the Indy and Conservative will split votes and allow Labour through the middle - nobody seems to have gone for that.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2012 8:28:18 GMT
It's possible, but only the Aspatria section of the division is really a Labour prospect; the Bolton ward is a very large area of mountains, forests and small farms with very few villages and little Labour strength, and Wharrels ward consists of small agricultural villages of the sort that Labour struggles in. It's certainly likely that the Conservatives and Independents are competing for the same votes; remember that in Allerdale district the Conservatives and Independents ran the council in 2007-11 and actually formed a single group on the council (with the Liberal Democrats as well). |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on May 24, 2012 8:32:50 GMT
Labour managed a reasonable vote in Wharrels last May, but I take your point - I just wonder if the vote splits really evenly, whether a strong Labour showing in Aspatria might be enough by itself?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 24, 2012 8:37:51 GMT
Labour managed a reasonable vote in Wharrels last May, but I take your point - I just wonder if the vote splits really evenly, whether a strong Labour showing in Aspatria might be enough by itself? We'll see tomorrow morning (I don't think it will count overnight). |
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Post by marksenior on May 24, 2012 9:09:13 GMT
Labour managed a reasonable vote in Wharrels last May, but I take your point - I just wonder if the vote splits really evenly, whether a strong Labour showing in Aspatria might be enough by itself? Finlay is the Independent District Councillor for Aspatria so the key will be how well he performs in the Wharrels part of the seat . |
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Post by Robert Waller on May 24, 2012 10:29:17 GMT
Are we awaiting some more confirmations of entry this week by those who have sent their predictions by e mail?
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