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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Feb 12, 2018 20:33:28 GMT
West Dorset DC Bridport North WardLib Dem resigned4 candidates: Derek Raymond Bussell (Con)Phillida Culpin (Lab)Julian Stephen Langton Jones (Green)Sarah Williams (LD)2003 election results:(2) Con 455/333, LD 393//305, Lab 325, Ind 250 2007 election results: (2)Con 561/466. LD 543/514, Green 173, Ind 156, Lab 155 2011 election results:(2) LD 714/433, Con 511/464, Green 398, Lab 343 2015 election results:(3) LD 1921/ 942/830, Con 1526/1286/1283, Green 824, Lab 647/509/465 note:I have emboldened the vote numbers of the successful candidates to try to make the figures clearer but as with the county results there is clearly something else going on here.I am trying to get round all twelve seats up on the 22nd, so if somebody can help clarify the story here I would be grateful. Is there another amalgamation as with the county divisions? That's a very impressive personal vote here for the Lib Dem councillor, even more than in the county division. Probably bodes well for the Tories to make gains here. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 12, 2018 21:08:02 GMT
West Dorset DC Bridport North WardLib Dem resigned4 candidates: Derek Raymond Bussell (Con)Phillida Culpin (Lab)Julian Stephen Langton Jones (Green)Sarah Williams (LD)2003 election results:(2) Con 455/333, LD 393//305, Lab 325, Ind 250 2007 election results: (2)Con 561/466. LD 543/514, Green 173, Ind 156, Lab 155 2011 election results:(2) LD 714/433, Con 511/464, Green 398, Lab 343 2015 election results:(3) LD 1921/ 942/830, Con 1526/1286/1283, Green 824, Lab 647/509/465 note:I have emboldened the vote numbers of the successful candidates to try to make the figures clearer but as with the county results there is clearly something else going on here.I am trying to get round all twelve seats up on the 22nd, so if somebody can help clarify the story here I would be grateful. Is there another amalgamation as with the county divisions? Yes there were ward boundary changes ahead of the 2015 elections. The old Bradpole ward was merged with Bridport North (again with a small part of another ward added to. Bradpole was a very safe Tory ward and the top polling Tory candidate in 2015 was the councillor for that ward ( the other Conservative elected was the other councillor for Bridport North). The electorate of Bridport North in 2015 was over 6,000 whereas it was only about 3,500 in the previous ward of the same name so again comparisons with earlier years are not all that meaningful. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 12, 2018 22:21:41 GMT
Yes there were ward boundary changes ahead of the 2015 elections. The old Bradpole ward was merged with Bridport North (again with a small part of another ward added to. Bradpole was a very safe Tory ward and the top polling Tory candidate in 2015 was the councillor for that ward ( the other Conservative elected was the other councillor for Bridport North). The electorate of Bridport North in 2015 was over 6,000 whereas it was only about 3,500 in the previous ward of the same name so again comparisons with earlier years are not all that meaningful. thanks again Pete for coming to the rescue- I will in due course also add in the figures for the old Bradpole ward. I have been hampered by the fact that LEAP hasn't yet been sorted for this patch ( no pretty maps for the new boundaries) and the local website is pretty poor and incomplete- the 2015 figures here come from wikipedia. I am now in respite mode in my home circumstances so will get a little more time (3 days, then I'm away) to try and get on top of this- my domestic situation has been pretty desperate of late. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 12, 2018 22:39:56 GMT
But Blue Revolution is a registered political party and is now one standing candidates against the official Conservative candidate.If the local MP is indeed supporting them that should be a biggie for the defections thread. The BR candidate gives an address in Boston town, by the way, so I am dubious about his chances in the very rural villages of OLd Leake and Wrangle. "Following" someone on Twitter is not the same as supporting them. It's far more likely that the Tory MP is adopting a "know thine enemy" strategy. I've been to Wrangle - a distant ancestor of SWMBO is buried in the churchyard there. It is very rural indeed. yes I did appreciate that this was follower in the twitter sense so not necessarily a supporter, but I read EAL's post, perhaps wrongly, as suggesting some support for BR and a good old defection story would brighten us all up. Still haven't been able to follow up my Old Leake connection yet as the person I need to speak to is currently skiing in the Pyrenees. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 12, 2018 23:03:28 GMT
Hertfordshire CC Goffs Oak & Bury Green division
Conservative died
4 candidates:
Lesley Ann Greensmyth (Con)
Sally Ann Kemp (Green)
Selina Elizabeth Norgrove (Lab)
David Bryan Payne (Lib Dem)
2005 election results: Con 3049,Lab 1400,LD 736,Ind 302
2009 election results: Con 2347, BNP 619, LD 479, Lab 462
2013 election results: Con 1462, UKIP 648, Lab 391, BNP 52
2017 election results: Con 2108, Lab 572,UKIP 369, LD 190
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 8:51:23 GMT
North Kesteven DC
Eagle,Swinderby and Witham St Hughs Ward
independent died
3 candidates:
Corinne Nelly Antoine Byron (Lib Dem)
Nikki Dillon (Lincolnshire Inds)
Peter Gelly Rothwell (Con)
2003 (Eagle & North Scarle) : Ind 470, LD 159
2007: Con 948/473, Ind 599, UKIP 188
2011: Con unopp, Ind unopp
2015 : Con unopp, Ind unopp
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 9:02:30 GMT
North Kesteven offers some light relief for this set of elections- I love the name of the ward and even better I love the names of the candidates - honestly I didn't make them up! Not a huge amount of interest in the electoral history though, so I have included the 2003 results for a ward with a somewhat different name and seemingly much smaller vote, but as far as I can tell much the same borders. Any experts in North Kesteven politics who can elucidate welcome. I do know by the way that the Lincolnshire Independents are a completely different set of politicians from the Independents, so we have the distinct possibility here of a gain by LI from Ind.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 9:54:28 GMT
West Somerset DC, Minehead South Ward
Ind sitting as UKIP resigned
3 candidates:
Benet Allen (Lib Dem)
Gary Miele ( Con)
Maureen Anne Smith (Lab)
2003 election results (3): LD 621/480, Con 608/590/514, Lab306
2007 election results (3): Ind 822/706/631, Con 571/442/331
2011 election results (2): Con 520/365, Lab 520, Ind 335, Green 259
2015 election results(2): Con 766, Ind 590, Lab 385, Green 355
note- for clarity, I have emboldened the voting numbers of the successful candidates.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 9:56:25 GMT
Ind sitting as UKIP resigning makes a change from the more usual UKIP sitting as Independent resigning!
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 11:52:01 GMT
Wigan MB, Bryn Ward BY_ELECTION CANCELLED
Ind resigned
4 candidates:
Judith Atherton (Con)
Vicky Johnson (Lab)
Steve Jones (Ind)
Denise Melling (Lib Dem)
2004 election results (all out on new boundaries): CA 2370/2297/2239, Lab 1233/1183/986, Con 323
2006 election results: CA 1428, Lab 1050, BNP 457, Con 171, NP 45
2007 election results: Ind 1667, Lab 1030,BNP 307, Con 179
2008 election results: Ind 976, Lab 856, LD 821, Con 426, Respect 222
2010 election results: Lab 2274, Ind 1697, CA 609, BNP 531, Con 525
2011 election results: Ind 1517, Lab 1271, Con 437, WBGS 320
2012 election results: ind 1516, Lab 1352, Con146
2014 election results: Lab 1190, UKIP (Jones) 724, Ind 625,CA 289, Con 131
2015 election results: Lab 2245, WIN 1717, UKIP (Jones) 948, Con 378, Ind 267, CA 141
2016 election results: Ind (Jones) 1200, Lab 1123, UKIP 438, Con 161
note: : CA = Community Action, NP = New Party, WBGS= Wigan Borough Green Socialists, WIN= Wigan Independent Network
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 11:59:11 GMT
Bryn is another ward with a peculiar recent electoral history, with quite a strong tendency towards independents or at least non-mainstream candidates doing well. Whether that will go so far as to elect an independent whose resignation caused the by-election in the first place time will tell!
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 12:37:14 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin Ward
Labour resigned
4 candidates:
Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)
Brynley Parker (Ind)
Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)
Frederick Wildgust (Ind)
2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166
2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319
2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137
2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289
note: PV= People's Voice.
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 13, 2018 12:41:13 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin WardLabour resigned4 candidates:Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)Brynley Parker (Ind)Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)Frederick Wildgust (Ind)2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166 2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319 2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137 2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289 note: PV= People's Voice. some pretty good names in there too yp. I hope Rapier's election leaflets are to the point, and Mr Wildgust's are not full of wind... |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 13, 2018 12:51:39 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin WardLabour resigned4 candidates:Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)Brynley Parker (Ind)Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)Frederick Wildgust (Ind)2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166 2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319 2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137 2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289 note: PV= People's Voice. Strange that PC aren't standing in a Welsh by-election. |
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,126
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Post by ColinJ on Feb 13, 2018 12:59:55 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin WardLabour resigned4 candidates:Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)Brynley Parker (Ind)Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)Frederick Wildgust (Ind)2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166 2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319 2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137 2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289 note: PV= People's Voice. some pretty good names in there too yp. I hope Rapier's election leaflets are to the point, and Mr Wildgust's are not full of wind... I have a boring, dull, monosyllabic surname: Gray. I've sometimes hankered after a more exotic and unusual one -- and 'Wildgust' or 'Heygate-Browne' would do perfectly! (But perhaps they're more trouble than they're worth......) |
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 13, 2018 13:03:10 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin WardLabour resigned4 candidates:Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)Brynley Parker (Ind)Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)Frederick Wildgust (Ind)2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166 2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319 2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137 2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289 note: PV= People's Voice. Strange that PC aren't standing in a Welsh by-election. Might the Indy be inclined that way? Or at least PC using his candidacy not to stand? There was an Indy when they stood in 2012 though. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 13:05:02 GMT
Torfaen UA, Trevethin WardLabour resigned4 candidates:Andrew Rupert Heygate-Browne (Green)Brynley Parker (Ind)Emma Louise Rapier (Lab)Frederick Wildgust (Ind)2004 election results: Lab 590/475, Ind 361, Con 166 2008 election results: Lab 452/333, PV 319 2012 election results: Lab 399/323, Ind 227/169, PC 137 2017 election results: Lab 424/372, Ind 400/289 note: PV= People's Voice. some pretty good names in there too yp. I hope Rapier's election leaflets are to the point, and Mr Wildgust's are not full of wind... ...and Mr Browne the green candidate has the most determinedly English set of names for a Welsh seat |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 13, 2018 13:19:40 GMT
Scottish Borders UA, Selkirkshire
Con resigned after appointment as MSP
7 candidates:
Trevor Adams (Con)
Jack Clark (Lib Dem)
Kenneth Gunn (Ind)
Barbra Harvie (Green)
John Mitchell (SNP)
Caroline Penman (Ind)
Scott Redpath (Lab)
2007 election results: LD 1313 (1), Con 1121 (2), SNP 826(5), Ind 558, Borders 360, Ind 227
2012 election results: Con 799(2), SNP 671, LD 649(4), Ind 597 (4), Borders 299, Ind 276
2017 election results: Con 1081 (1), SNP 888(6), Ind 514(8), Lab 147, LD 134, Green 122
note- vote totals are first preferences, Candidates elected are shown emboldened and the number in brackets indicates the stage elected.
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 13, 2018 13:21:04 GMT
Scottish Borders UA, Selkirkshire
Con resigned after appointment as MSP
7 candidates:
Trevor Adams (Con)
Jack Clark (Lib Dem)
Kenneth Gunn (Ind)
Barbra Harvie (Green)
John Mitchell (SNP)
Caroline Penman (Ind)
Scott Redpath (Lab)
And a Labour candidate called Redpath - you are really spoiling us this week. |
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middyman
Conservative
"The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people's money."
Posts: 8,050 
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Post by middyman on Feb 13, 2018 13:29:49 GMT
some pretty good names in there too yp. I hope Rapier's election leaflets are to the point, and Mr Wildgust's are not full of wind... I have a boring, dull, monosyllabic surname: Gray. I've sometimes hankered after a more exotic and unusual one -- and 'Wildgust' or 'Heygate-Browne' would do perfectly! (But perhaps they're more trouble than they're worth......) Ideal name when form filling |
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