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Post by Philip Davies on Jun 28, 2012 18:39:38 GMT
12 entries this week with nothing again from safc26 and a cameo prediction from LeicesterLad. 100% holds in Blaby (Labour) apart from LeicesterLad, Charnwood (Conservative), Essex (Lib Dem) and Kensington & Chelsea (Conservative). 11 Lib Dem holds in Chelmsford with ianrobo going for a Conservative gain. 11 Conservative holds in South Northants with PhilDav76 predicting a Lib Dem gain - was this a transposition problem? D'oh yes a total muck up there from me. I must have typed the Conservative figure in first as they are alphabetically before Liberal Democrats and didn't stop that the candidates were the other way round. |
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Post by andrewteale on Jun 28, 2012 18:48:30 GMT
PMed to middle englander last night
KENSINGTON BROMPTON: C 74 Lab 10 LD 10 UKIP 6
CHELMSFORD NORTH: LD 37 C 34 Lab 17 UKIP 7 Grn 5
CHELMSFORD PATCHING HALL: LD 34 C 33 Lab 22 UKIP 6 Grn 5
GRANGE PARK (S. NORTHANTS.): C 79 LD 21
BRAUNSTONE TOWN RAVENHURST AND FOSSE: Lab 65 C 35
SILEBY (LEICS.): C 53 Lab 37 LD 7 BNP 3
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 28, 2012 22:08:04 GMT
I'm not sure those figures are right ME :/
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 28, 2012 22:08:22 GMT
12 entries this week with nothing again from safc26 and a cameo prediction from LeicesterLad. 100% holds in Blaby (Labour) apart from LeicesterLad, Charnwood (Conservative), Essex (Lib Dem) and Kensington & Chelsea (Conservative). 11 Lib Dem holds in Chelmsford with ianrobo going for a Conservative gain. 11 Conservative holds in South Northants with PhilDav76 predicting a Lib Dem gain - was this a transposition problem? D'oh yes a total muck up there from me. I must have typed the Conservative figure in first as they are alphabetically before Liberal Democrats and didn't stop that the candidates were the other way round. And you'd have been pretty damn close if you'd got it the right way round - unlucky! |
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Post by Philip Davies on Jun 28, 2012 22:13:03 GMT
I would be a lot more annoyed with myself if I was in contention.
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 22:18:40 GMT
Based on provisional results:
Charnwood, Sileby:
amended
hempie 7.2 faults, PhilDav76 10.3, David Boothroyd 11.1, andyajs 11.2, greatkingrat 11.5, Tonyotim 11.8,
Pete Whitehead 12.2, Andrew Teale 12.9, Robert Waller 13.5, Mark Senior 17.2, Ianrobo 17.5, Dibs 23.5
South Northants, Park:
Ianrobo 2.3 faults, David Boothroyd 2.7, Andrew Teale 5.7, Robert Waller 6.3, Dibs & Hempie 7.7
greatkingrat 8.3, Pete Whitehead, 15.5, Mark Senior 16.3, Tonyotim 16.7, andyajs 20.3, PhilDav76 101.9+10
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 22:19:44 GMT
I'm not sure those figures are right ME :/ Originally gave Lib Dems just 9 votes!! |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 28, 2012 22:20:24 GMT
Was there a convention that faults were capped at 100 per contest because that is the number you would get for not even entering a prediction? I don;t think it had ever happened before but Dibs managed it last week in Durham
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 22:20:27 GMT
D'oh yes a total muck up there from me. I must have typed the Conservative figure in first as they are alphabetically before Liberal Democrats and didn't stop that the candidates were the other way round. And you'd have been pretty damn close if you'd got it the right way round - unlucky! Would have been just 2.7 faults. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 28, 2012 22:34:11 GMT
I added about 5% to the LDs in Grange Park because I thought there might be a bit of a backlash against the Tory candidate but it didn't happen.
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 22:38:57 GMT
Was there a convention that faults were capped at 100 per contest because that is the number you would get for not even entering a prediction? I don;t think it had ever happened before but Dibs managed it last week in Durham I thought about whether there had been a previous occasion but came to the conclusion it was in any event somewhat academic. Dibs set the precedent last week. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 23:08:57 GMT
Based on provisional results:
Charnwood, Sileby:
hempie 7.2 faults, PhilDav76 10.3, David Boothroyd 11.1, andyajs 11.2, greatkingrat 11.5, Tonyotim 11.8,
Pete Whitehead 12.2, Andrew Teale 12.9, Robert Waller 13.5, Mark Senior 17.2, Ianrobo 17.5, Dibs 23.5
South Northants, Grange Park:
Ianrobo 2.3 faults, David Boothroyd 2.7, Andrew Teale 5.7, Robert Waller 6.3, Dibs & Hempie 7.7
greatkingrat 8.3, Pete Whitehead, 15.5, Mark Senior 16.3, Tonyotim 16.7, andyajs 20.3, PhilDav76 101.9+10
Kensington & Chelsea, Brompton:
greatkingrat 3.7 faults, Robert Waller 4.1, Andrew Teale 7.5, Pete Whitehead 8.0, David Boothroyd 8.6, andyajs 11.2
Mark Senior 12.6, Ianrobo 14.4, Tonyotim 15.0, PhilDav76 16.7, Hempie 17.2, Dibs 37.9
Blaby, Ravenhurst & Fosse:
andyajs 4.7 faults, Tonyotim 5.9, Andrew Teale, Ianrobo & Hempie 6.7, PhilDav76 8.1
Robert Waller 8.7, David Boothroyd & Dibs 16.7, Pete Whitehead 18.1, greatkingrat 24.7, Mark Senior 26.7
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 28, 2012 23:30:02 GMT
With 4 provisional results now in we have for the week:
Robert Waller 32.6 faults, Andrew Teale 32.8, Hempie 38.8, David Boothroyd 39.1, Ianrobo 40.9, andyajs 47.4
greatkingrat 48.2, Tonyotim 49.4, Pete Whitehead 53.8, Mark Senior 72.9, Dibs 85.8, PhilDav76 147.0
With 2 results to come (both reported as Lib Dem holds) Andrew Teale is 59.0 ahead of greatkingrat who is 25.3 ahead of Robert waller.
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 29, 2012 9:22:05 GMT
I wouldn't be fooled by GKR lurking in the second half of this week's table after two thirds of the contests ...  |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 29, 2012 10:22:43 GMT
Based on provisional results:
Charnwood, Sileby:
hempie 7.2 faults, PhilDav76 10.3, David Boothroyd 11.1, andyajs 11.2, greatkingrat 11.5, Tonyotim 11.8,
Pete Whitehead 12.2, Andrew Teale 12.9, Robert Waller 13.5, Mark Senior 17.2, Ianrobo 17.5, Dibs 23.5
South Northants, Grange Park:
Ianrobo 2.3 faults, David Boothroyd 2.7, Andrew Teale 5.7, Robert Waller 6.3, Dibs & Hempie 7.7
greatkingrat 8.3, Pete Whitehead, 15.5, Mark Senior 16.3, Tonyotim 16.7, andyajs 20.3, PhilDav76 101.9+10
Kensington & Chelsea, Brompton:
greatkingrat 3.7 faults, Robert Waller 4.1, Andrew Teale 7.5, Pete Whitehead 8.0, David Boothroyd 8.6, andyajs 11.2
Mark Senior 12.6, Ianrobo 14.4, Tonyotim 15.0, PhilDav76 16.7, Hempie 17.2, Dibs 37.9
Blaby, Ravenhurst & Fosse:
andyajs 4.7 faults, Tonyotim 5.9, Andrew Teale, Ianrobo & Hempie 6.7, PhilDav76 8.1
Robert Waller 8.7, David Boothroyd & Dibs 16.7, Pete Whitehead 18.1, greatkingrat 24.7, Mark Senior 26.7
Chelmsford, Patching Hall:
greatkingrat 15.3 faults, Pete Whitehead 17.1, andyajs 19.3, PhilDav76 21.3, David Boothroyd 21.6, Tonyotim 21.9
Mark Senior 25.3, Robert Waller 25.7, Hempie 27.3, Dibs 29.7, Andrew Teale 31.3, Ianrobo 33.7+10
Essex, Chelmsford North:
Mark Senior 12.9 faults, Tonyotim 13.1, greatkingrat 14.9, Pete Whitehead 18.6, Hempie 18.9, Dibs 19.9
andyajs 21.3, PhilDav76 & Robert Waller 21.8, Andrew Teale 21.9, David Boothroyd 23.9, Ianrobo 24.2
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 29, 2012 11:02:00 GMT
And for the fourth week:
greatkingrat 78.4 faults, Robert Waller 80.2, Tonyotim 84.4, David Boothroyd 84.6, Hemie 84.9, Andrew Teale 86.0
andyajs 88.0, Pete Whitehead 89.5, Ianrobo 108.8, Mark Senior 111.0, Dibs 135.4, PhilDav76 190.2
PhilDav would have had 81.0 if he had not messed up South Northants.
and for the month:
398.9 Andrew Teale
434.8 greatkingrat
477.6 Robert Waller
491.3 Pete Whitehead
503.6 Hempie
536.2 Mark Senior
551.1 andyajs
554.8 David Boothroyd
573.4 Tonyotim
589.0 Ianrobo
638.9 PhilDav76
757.2 Dibs
Objections by 6.00 pm Saturday please.
New thread for July.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 29, 2012 11:04:11 GMT
Congratulations to Andrew for a deserved win!
And to Greatkingrat for this week.
Bit more of a return to form for me this week after a horrendous start to the month.
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Post by andrewteale on Jun 29, 2012 13:36:07 GMT
This win's been a long time coming, and is a great reward for all the work on Atlas/Britain-Votes previews I've done. I think I had an entirely clear month without incurring a wrong-winner penalty, which is some going.
That big lead was, of couse, entirely based on that Gwynedd by-election two weeks back which fooled all of you. Take that result out and greatkingrat would have beaten me by 7.1 faults. As tonyotim said further up the thread, Gwynedd exists to make fools of us all and the next Gwynedd by-election will probably fool me as well.
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