dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Jun 20, 2012 23:41:51 GMT
CARLISLE - Harraby
LAB 39 CON 23 UKIP 19 GREEN 10 LD 9
DACORUM - Woodhall Farm
CON 34 LAB21 UKIP 15 LD 14 GREEN 10 ENGLISH DEMOCRATS 6
DUDLEY - Norton
CON 36 LAB 21 LD 16 UKIP 12 GREEN 10 NATIONAL FRONT 5
DURHAM - Peterlee West
LD 35 LAB 33 CON 25 INDEP 7
ELMBRIDGE - Esher
LOCAL CONSERVATIVES 38 RA 30 UKIP 17 LAB 15
HERTFORDSHIRE - Hemel Hempstead Town
CON 36 LD 17 LAB 16 GREEN 14 UKIP 11 TUCKER 6
HUNTINGDONSHIRE - Earith
CON 43 LAB 20 LD 20 UKIP 15 TOMRLOONYP 2
WEST DEVON - Tavistock North
KEANE 31 CON 28 LD 24 LAB 17
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Post by marksenior on Jun 21, 2012 5:47:19 GMT
Mine this week
Carlisle Lab 59 Con 19 UKIP 12 LD 6 Green 4
Dacorum Con 48 Lab 28 UKIP 10 LD 7 Green 4 Eng Dem 3
Dudley Con 44 Lab 29 UKIP 14 LD 7 Green 4 NF 2
Durham LAB 60 LD 28 Con 6 Ind 6
Elmbridge RA 45 Con 41 UKIP 8 Lab 6
Herts Con 44 Lab 29 LD 11 UKIP 9 Green 4 Ind 3
Hunt Con 51 UKIP 25 Lab 12 LD 10 OMRLP 2
W Devon Ind 40 Con 30 LD 20 Lab 10
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Post by hempie on Jun 21, 2012 7:04:43 GMT
CARLISLE Harraby: Lab 59, Con 22, UKIP 10, Green 5, LD 4
DACORUM Woodhall Farm: Con 45, Lab 33, LD 7, Green 6, UKIP 5, ED 4
DUDLEY Norton: Con 37, Lab 27, UKIP 14, Green 12, LD 8, NF 2
DURHAM Peterlee West: Lab 65, LD 20, Con 10, Ind 5
ELMBRIDGE Esher: RA 45, Con 42, UKIP 8, Lab 5
HERTFORDSHIRE Hemel Hempstead Town: Con 42, Lab 30, LD 11, Green 10, UKIP 4, Ind 3
HUNTINGDONSHIRE Earith: Con 53, Lab 17, UKIP 15, LD 12, OMRLP 3
WEST DEVON Tavistock North: Con 32, Ind 30, LD 23, Lab 15
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 21, 2012 8:37:58 GMT
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 21, 2012 9:39:26 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 21, 2012 10:03:32 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Jun 21, 2012 10:13:59 GMT
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Post by Philip Davies on Jun 21, 2012 10:26:01 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 21, 2012 10:29:32 GMT
Elmbridge BC - Esher Con 43.4% RA 43.4% UKIP 7.9% Lab 5.3% For the purposes of the 10 point forfeit for wrong winner, can you confirm that you think the Tories will edge it? |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 21, 2012 10:39:32 GMT
12 entries this week with nothing from Safc26. Ianrobo gets 5 additional faults for adding to 105% in Dacurum whilst Tonyotim gets 0.3 additional faults for adding to 99.7 in Dudley.
Unanimous predictions for 4 of the contests
- Conservative holds in Dacorum, Dudley and Huntingdonshire
- Labour hold in Carlisle
11 out 12 in another 2
- Conservative hold in Hertfordshire apart from andyajs who has a narrow Labour gain
- Labour gain in Durham apart from Dibs who has a Lib Dem hold
the remaining 2 contests have split predictions
- 6 Conservative holds in Elmbridge with andyajs, David Boothroyd, Hempie, Mark Senior and Tonyotim predicting a Resident gain and Pete Whitehead a tie
- 9 Independent gain from Conservative in West Devon with Andrew Teale, Hempie & Ianrobo a Conservative hold.
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 21, 2012 10:41:39 GMT
Elmbridge BC - Esher Con 43.4% RA 43.4% UKIP 7.9% Lab 5.3% For the purposes of the 10 point forfeit for wrong winner, can you confirm that you think the Tories will edge it? Assuming neither Labour nor UKIP wins, he will get a 5 point penalty. If they do he will get a 10 point penalty like everyone else. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 21, 2012 10:54:52 GMT
For the purposes of the 10 point forfeit for wrong winner, can you confirm that you think the Tories will edge it? Assuming neither Labour nor UKIP wins, he will get a 5 point penalty. If they do he will get a 10 point penalty like everyone else. My own view on this is that whichever party appears top of the list is the party being predicted to win. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 21, 2012 11:26:18 GMT
Assuming neither Labour nor UKIP wins, he will get a 5 point penalty. If they do he will get a 10 point penalty like everyone else. My own view on this is that whichever party appears top of the list is the party being predicted to win. Precedent established on the old site is as I have posted. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 21, 2012 11:34:47 GMT
Assuming neither Labour nor UKIP wins, he will get a 5 point penalty. If they do he will get a 10 point penalty like everyone else. My own view on this is that whichever party appears top of the list is the party being predicted to win. The Conservatives appear top because they are the incumbent not because they are predicted to win |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 21, 2012 13:01:04 GMT
My own view on this is that whichever party appears top of the list is the party being predicted to win. The Conservatives appear top because they are the incumbent not because they are predicted to win Could also be that they are in alphabetic order where the figures are the same. |
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Post by marksenior on Jun 21, 2012 16:26:54 GMT
Don't diagree with middle englander's ruling but if the result is a tie ( before a coin is tossed or whatever , then the forecast is worth a 50 point bonus !!!!!
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 21, 2012 22:04:01 GMT
Based on provisional results:
West Devon, Tavistock North:
Andrew Teale & Hempie 22.2 faults, Ianrobo 25.7, Dibs 26.2+10, Pete Whitehead 26.5+10, andyajs 28.2+10
PhilDav76 32.1+10, Robert Waller 32.2+10, greatkingrat 34.2+10, Tonyotim 36.0+10, Mark Senior 36.2+10, David Boothroyd 50.1+10
Carlisle, Harraby
Pete Whitehead 6.1 faults, Tonyotim 7.0, PhilDav76 7.1, greatkingrat 8.3, David Boothroyd 8.8, Mark Senior 10.3
Robert Waller 11.6, Andrew Teale 11.8, Ianrobo 13.6, Hempie 14.3, andyajs 17.9, Dibs 48.3
Elmbridge, Esher
PhilDav76 10.8 faults, Robert Waller 14.0, Pete Whitehead 11.8+5, greatkingrat 17.0, Andrew Teale 17.8, David Boothroyd 9.8+10
Tonyotim 13.0+10, Hempie & Mark Senior 13.1+10, andyajs 26.0+10, Ianrobo 37.8, Dibs 47.8
Durham, Peterlee West
Andyajs 11.2 faults, Andrew Teale 15.3, greatkingrat 19.3, Pete Whitehead 28.5, Robert Waller 29.3, PhilDav76 33.1
Hempie 33.3, Mark Senior 41.3, Tonyotim 45.5, David Boothroyd 48.9, Ianrobo 48.9, Dibs 93.3+10
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Post by Chris Rowland on Jun 21, 2012 22:48:51 GMT
I can confirm the West Devon Results as follows:
CANDIDATE VOTES % TOTAL VOTE
John Sheldon (Conservative) 349 37.2%
Caroline Keane (Independent) 206 22.0%
Moira Brown (Labour) 196 20.9%
Joyce Hillson (Liberal Democrat) 187 19.9%
(I was the Conservative Party Agent)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 21, 2012 22:51:34 GMT
congratulations on a good result
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 21, 2012 22:58:25 GMT
Don' t think Dibs has had a good night ... I make it that Pete is now fourth for the month and may overtake me for third if that Earith UKIP vote is right. Otherwise still Andrew from GKR way ahead in the first two places as before.
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