andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
|
Post by andrea on Nov 30, 2012 0:20:09 GMT
John Healey told SKY he's expecting a Labour share similar to 2010 GE.
BNP and Respect apparently in battle for third place.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Nov 30, 2012 0:22:41 GMT
Apparently a rumour that the LibDems could come SEVENTH
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 30, 2012 0:24:05 GMT
Behind the EDs? ;D
|
|
|
Post by independentukip on Nov 30, 2012 0:25:47 GMT
John Healey told SKY he's expecting a Labour share similar to 2010 GE. BNP and Respect apparently in battle for third place. Egg on the face for the Rotherham Politics blog if BNP beat Respect.
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 30, 2012 0:27:16 GMT
Apparently a rumour that the LibDems could come SEVENTH Not that surprising when you consider how badly the LDs did in Barnsley Central when that was only 10 months after the coalition was formed. They're a lot more unpopular now than then. If we had a Barnsley Central by-election today they'd probably get 500 votes instead of 1,000.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Nov 30, 2012 0:28:58 GMT
Yes, I did notice your exchange with a certain somebody in another place earlier
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 30, 2012 0:39:44 GMT
Conflicting reports about the Tories - some saying they may have lost their deposit, others denying this.
|
|
andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
|
Post by andrea on Nov 30, 2012 0:48:56 GMT
Declaration in 10 minutes apparently. Agents called for provisional results. Sarah Champion has arrived with the usual round of applauses from Labour activists. Lab predicting a 4,000 maj. Helen Pidd and a Respect supporter saying the order is: UKIP 2nd, BNP 3rd, Respect 4th, Tories 5th
|
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
|
Post by YL on Nov 30, 2012 0:55:50 GMT
Michael Beckett (Lib Dem) 451 Clint Bristow (no descripton) 29 Sarah Champion (Labour) 9866 Jane Collins (UKIP) 4648 Simon Copley (Ind) 582 Paul Dickson (Ind) 51 Ralph Dyson (TUSC) 261 Marlene Guest (BNP) 1804 Yvonne Ridley (Respect) 1778 David Wildgoose (Eng Dem) 703 Simon Wilson (Con) 1157
|
|
Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
|
Post by Richard Allen on Nov 30, 2012 0:58:42 GMT
BNP will beat UKIP. There is no way nearly 4k votes from 2010 will all vanish. On top of that the BNP candidate is the only actual person from the area. None of the others are from the area and are just imported career politicians. Come in nord, would you like to comment on your prediction.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Nov 30, 2012 1:04:25 GMT
The LibDems didn't actually come seventh, but eighth ;D ;D
|
|
|
Post by Tangent on Nov 30, 2012 1:05:59 GMT
From Jon Craig at Sky on Twitter: Early predictions from sources at Rotherham count are a Labour win by about 2,000, UKIP 2nd & Respect possibly 3rd. Tories losing deposit?|That sounds like expectations management now.
|
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
|
Post by Sibboleth on Nov 30, 2012 1:07:56 GMT
Objectively a poor result, but will quite happily take it given the circumstances.
|
|
|
Post by nord on Nov 30, 2012 2:08:25 GMT
BNP will beat UKIP. There is no way nearly 4k votes from 2010 will all vanish. On top of that the BNP candidate is the only actual person from the area. None of the others are from the area and are just imported career politicians. Come in nord, would you like to comment on your prediction. Too low turnout, I was expecting much more. The BNP vote however never collapsed (in %).
|
|
|
Post by independentukip on Nov 30, 2012 2:29:13 GMT
Come in nord, would you like to comment on your prediction. Too low turnout, I was expecting much more. The BNP vote however never collapsed (in %). So you're argument is that the BNP voters couldn't stomach coming out to vote for Marlene Guest.
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 30, 2012 2:53:11 GMT
|
|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Nov 30, 2012 2:56:13 GMT
Despite the UKIP surge, the Labour vote share was actually still up slightly. Tories and Lib Dems collapsed, BNP down slightly too. Respect save their deposit and beat the Tories in what would have been a decent result if they hadn't spent the last few weeks ramping up their hopes of victory...
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 30, 2012 7:23:06 GMT
English Democrats are doing surprisingly well now, following on from the PCC elections. How have they managed this? Have they had the backing of someone wealthy to boost their campaign resources? Incredibly bad LibDem result.
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
|
Post by Tony Otim on Nov 30, 2012 9:24:18 GMT
English Democrats are doing surprisingly well now, following on from the PCC elections. How have they managed this? Have they had the backing of someone wealthy to boost their campaign resources? Incredibly bad LibDem result. Part of it may be down to the candidate? He has done very well here in the past in different colours... Percentage shares and changes: Lab 46.3 (+1.7) UKIP 21.8 (+15.9) BNP 8.5 (-1.9) Res 8.3 (from nowhere) Con 5.4 (-11.3) Ed 3.3 (from nowhere) Copley 2.7 LD 2.1 (-13.9) TUSC 1.2 (from nowhere) Dickson 0.2 Bristow (EDL) 0.1
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 30, 2012 10:50:26 GMT
Despite the UKIP surge, the Labour vote share was actually still up slightly. Tories and Lib Dems collapsed, BNP down slightly too. Respect save their deposit and beat the Tories in what would have been a decent result if they hadn't spent the last few weeks ramping up their hopes of victory... At least this shows that the UKIP vote is mainly gathered from the anti politics people and Toiries.
|
|