Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2012 8:58:45 GMT
yes but in solid safe seats it is harder to GOTV when the result is not in doubt. Do we expect high turnouts (40% plus) in any of the ones to come ?
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 27, 2012 11:24:44 GMT
The 1994 Rotherham by-election was on local election day in May, which might have helped the LibDems.
The others were on Euro election day in June, when Labour were still benefiting from the "halo effect" following the death of John Smith.
(and, of course, they had a scare in Monklands E soon after)
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 27, 2012 13:11:03 GMT
yes but in solid safe seats it is harder to GOTV when the result is not in doubt. Do we expect high turnouts (40% plus) in any of the ones to come ? For a by-election at the arse-end of November. No. 20-30% for all of them depending on the GOTV efforts. |
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 27, 2012 13:19:12 GMT
The 1994 Rotherham by-election was on local election day in May, which might have helped the LibDems. The others were on Euro election day in June, when Labour were still benefiting from the "halo effect" following the death of John Smith. (and, of course, they had a scare in Monklands E soon after) I went to help in the 1994 byelection. It was the first time for donkeys years that the Liberal Democrats had managed to have a full slate of candidates for the local elections within the Rotherham constituency. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2012 18:26:03 GMT
This by-election has been featured on the local ITV News, Calendar.
Despite the other big story giving Rotherham the limelight, to my amazement there was absolutely no specific mention of the UKIP candidate, nor the controversy surrounding the local council - just a brief 20 second slot each for the Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem candidates to say something.
It was as though the two stories have nothing at all to do with each other.
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leicester
Non-Aligned
Miss the excitement of running elections, like an ex footballer now watching from the stands
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Post by leicester on Nov 27, 2012 18:31:29 GMT
Heading up to Rotherham later today to help out, should be an interesting election. Expect Labour to still romp home but who comes where after that is hard to call Are you helping Marlene? Good luck if you are. UKIP are trying to steal BNP votes, so I think BNP need to be out everyday even on Thurdsay right up to 10pm. A couple of years back i would have been helping Marlene but not anymore |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Nov 27, 2012 18:46:57 GMT
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 27, 2012 19:15:19 GMT
Revises UKIP prediction downwards. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2012 21:16:22 GMT
UKIP know how to roll the looney's (not those !!)
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
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Post by Pimpernal on Nov 27, 2012 22:00:08 GMT
Revises UKIP prediction downwards. ;D |
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Nov 28, 2012 0:26:36 GMT
Revises UKIP prediction downwards. The Hamiltons are "on maneuvers" appearing at campaigning events here there and everywhere. You can fully expect one, or both of the, to run for for highly remunerated public office within the next two years. |
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Post by Tangent on Nov 28, 2012 0:47:44 GMT
I'm surprised they didn't go for a PCC position.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Nov 28, 2012 0:54:31 GMT
I'm surprised they didn't go for a PCC position. Why on earth do you think they would waste their time going for a position that a) They would be unlikely to win b) Wound involve serious responsibility if they did win |
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Post by Tangent on Nov 28, 2012 1:17:45 GMT
A few PCCs might confine their role to rubber-stamping Home Office budgets and directions, and going round the county visiting police stations and patting officers on the head. They might just manage that. But Brussels, I suppose, has its compensations....
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Post by thirdchill on Nov 28, 2012 1:42:24 GMT
Revises UKIP prediction downwards. lol, I'm not surprised! |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2012 11:48:43 GMT
Respect to pull of a surprise?  Leading Labour in the polls.. |
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 28, 2012 11:52:33 GMT
Respect to pull of a surprise? Leading Labour in the polls.. What polls? |
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Post by nord on Nov 28, 2012 12:37:50 GMT
Are you helping Marlene? Good luck if you are. UKIP are trying to steal BNP votes, so I think BNP need to be out everyday even on Thurdsay right up to 10pm. A couple of years back i would have been helping Marlene but not anymore If you are helping the ED's you might want to think again after reading this from Robin Tilbrook on his blog: "We all know that the BNP are thankfully finished. The English Democrats have cause to thank Hope not Hate for their part in helping us accomplish this. Civic English nationalism will always been thankful for the demise in the British National Party (BNP) as we all want to see a moderate and integrated society in England" - ED's worked with Hope not Hate to try and crush the BNP. And Tilbrook admits his party is a civic nationalist party that is committed to multiracialism. As for this statement: "We all know that the BNP are thankfully finished". If that is true why did BNP still poll higher than the ED's in Corby?  The BNP is not finished. Despite all that happened no other nationalist party could replace it. And its now picking up members again. |
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 28, 2012 14:10:56 GMT
Respect to pull of a surprise? Leading Labour in the polls.. What polls? Ridley, has managed to turn the bookies odds into a poll on twatter and all the minions are retweeting it. I thought betting was Haraam. |
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
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Post by Pimpernal on Nov 28, 2012 15:31:02 GMT
The Lib Dem candidate in Rotherham looks verily much like a Goth I used to know... Ianbhx - any clues?
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Leading Labour in the polls..
The BNP is not finished. Despite all that happened no other nationalist party could replace it. And its now picking up members again.