Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 10, 2019 16:09:01 GMT
In SalzburgCity 45% is counted.
In the CityParliament ÖVP will have a relative majority, the first one since 1945:
35 ÖVP (+15%!)
28 SPÖ (strong decrease)
15 GREENS (small gains)
09 FPÖ (record-low)
5.5 NEOS (also strong losses)
4 KPÖ+
Mayor:
41 ÖVP
32 SPÖ
12 GREENS
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2019 16:31:14 GMT
In SalzburgCity 45% is counted. In the CityParliament ÖVP will have a relative majority, the first one since 1945: 35 ÖVP (+15%!) 28 SPÖ (strong decrease) 15 GREENS (small gains) 09 FPÖ (record-low) 5.5 NEOS (also strong losses) 4 KPÖ+ Mayor: 41 ÖVP 32 SPÖ 12 GREENS That's interesting: to what do you attribute this? |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 10, 2019 20:10:44 GMT
In SalzburgCity 45% is counted. In the CityParliament ÖVP will have a relative majority, the first one since 1945: 35 ÖVP (+15%!) 28 SPÖ (strong decrease) 15 GREENS (small gains) 09 FPÖ (record-low) 5.5 NEOS (also strong losses) 4 KPÖ+ Mayor: 41 ÖVP 32 SPÖ 12 GREENS That's interesting: to what do you attribute this? Difficult to say. Even ÖVP's internal polls had them neck-to-neck with SPÖ. Clear is, that in 2014 NEOS ate strongly into the liberal BusinessPeople of ÖVP, who came mostly back this time. Federally and regionally ÖVP is in a good condition presently. Although the ÖVP-mayor is a calm and non-populist BusinessPerson, he nontheless might have received an IncumbencyBonus not detected by the polls. The historical CityCentre being blocked for private traffic by SPÖ&GREENS&NEOS could have played a role, too. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 10, 2019 21:31:59 GMT
Land Salzburg:
MunicipalityParliaments:
47.5% (+4.7%) ÖVP (best result since 1945)
27.6% ( -0.9%) SPÖ (worst result since 1945)
10.1% ( -2.2%) FPÖ (worst result since 1945?)
07.5% ( -0.5%) GREENS
07.4% ( -1.2%) others
119 Mayors:
11 RunOffs (10 ÖVP, 9 SPÖ, 1 FPÖ, 1 GREENS, 1 exÖVP)
90 ÖVP (so far 5 gains, 5 losses)
13 SPÖ (so far 4 gains, 5 losses)
01 FPÖ (so far 1 gain; unopposed)
04 others (so far 1 loss)
SPÖ could win back its former fortresses Hallein (the second-largest town with 21.000 inh.; exIndustrial, nowadays a DistrictCapital and BedBurgh of SalzburgCity with many Turks) and another DistrictCapital: ZellAmSee (in a third - St.Johann - they narrowly missed the RunOff to FPÖ). Perhaps only a coincidence, perhaps a first sign, that the new federal SPÖ will recover mostly in towns with CivilServants?
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 10, 2019 21:45:15 GMT
City of Salzburg (40 deputies; 5 ministers):
36.7% (+17.3%) = 16 (+8) = 2 (+1) ÖVP (best ever result)
26.8% ( -6.2%) = 11 ( -4) = 2 (+0) SPÖ (worst ever result)
15.2% (+1.6%) = 06 (+0) = 1 (+0) GREENS
08.4% ( -4.0%) = 03 ( -2) = 0 (+0) FPÖ (worst ever result)
06.0% ( -6.4%) = 02 ( -3) = 0 ( -1) NEOS
03.7% (+1.6%) = 01 (+1) KPÖ+
02.5% ( -0.9%) = 01 (+0) SALZ (for CityCentre-conservation)
Mayor:
41.3% ÖVP
30.7% SPÖ
13.0% GREENS
06.2% FPÖ
04.1% NEOS
02.3% KPÖ+
02.2% SALZ
SPÖ's Auinger would need an open support of NEOS, who might be indeed enraged, that their minister switched to ÖVP last year, but who are regionally in a coalition with ÖVP (and GREENS).
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 10, 2019 23:15:21 GMT
A look at SalzburgCity's 16 districts reveals, that ÖVP increased strongest there, where TurnOut&SPÖ&FPÖ decreased the most: in the latters' BlueCollar-StrongHolds.
Although: Interestingly ÖVP's Preuner gained most compared to the mayoral ByElection 2017 (when Kurz was already ÖVP-leader and SPÖVP being ended) in ÖVP's traditional - wealthy&healthy - areas and not so much in the SPÖ&FPÖ-districts.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 11, 2019 18:58:35 GMT
TargetList for SalzburgLand:   |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 15:37:14 GMT
Historical OverView for LocalElections in SalzburgLand:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 15:38:01 GMT
SalzburgLand, mayors:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 15:42:54 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 18:11:31 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 18:13:38 GMT
SalzburgCity, ÖVP, council 2014-2019 (above) and mayor 2017-2019 (below):   |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 18:16:01 GMT
SalzburgCity, participation, council 2014-2019 and mayor 2017-2019:   |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 18:17:20 GMT
SalzburgCity, SPÖ, council 2014-2019 and mayor 2017-2019:   |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 14, 2019 18:18:39 GMT
SalzburgCity, NEOS, council 2014-2019 and mayor 2017-2019.   |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 17, 2019 23:04:08 GMT
3 of the 9 regional parliaments representing all employees have voted: Vorarlberg:  Tyrol:  Salzburg:  ÖVP has defended its only 2 Chambers, but has lost its OverallMajority in Vorarlberg. Disputes now within ÖVP's TradeUnionists in Tyrol&Vorarlberg, whether the loud criticism of the federal ÖVP&FPÖ-coalition has helped or damaged. Certainly no waves for SPÖ, but also not so glorious for PM Kurz. Carinthia's employees have voted, too. The FPÖ naturally gained (most of) BZÖ's 4% and a little bit more, as well as ÖVP and SPÖ (the GREENS lost a majority of their 5%). The SPÖ-TradeUnionists received with 77.6% the highest share of votes not only in Carinthia's history, but in that of all 9 regions (77.25% in Burgenland 1949 has been the record so far). |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 24, 2019 15:00:29 GMT
In the region of Salzburg the mayoral RunOffs took place today. Only 11/119 municipalities were affected, but they assemble 42% of the region's population, for example all DistrictCapitals (less one).
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 24, 2019 15:05:54 GMT
Strasswalchen is already in: SPÖ gained it for the first time ever.
PM Kurz had campaigned for the ÖVP-candidate he knew very well from the ÖVP-Youth, who flopped totally; SPÖ's RendiWagner was also there.
The SPÖ-woman received 58.7% (+19.6%), a female ÖVP-dissident 41.3% (+11.9%). The ÖVP-dissident was endorsed by ÖVP, but the wife of the ÖVP-incumbent supported the red candidate.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 24, 2019 15:55:59 GMT
My ratings for the remaining 10 mayors:
ÖVP:
certainly: St.Johann (contender is from FPÖ)
quite certainly: Seekirchen
likely: Elsbethen, SalzburgCity
not unlikely: BadHofgastein
SPÖ:
quite certainly: Oberalm
not unlikely: Hallein, Zell/See, Oberndorf
tossup: Mattsee
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 24, 2019 16:05:02 GMT
And indeed: SPÖ has gained from ÖVP (already) 4 mayors, 2 of them District Capitals:
Hallein (governed by SPÖ&KPÖ [!] 1945-1999)
Zell am See (governed by SPÖ ~1949-2009)
Strasswalchen (always ÖVP)
Mattsee (always ÖVP)
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