Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800 
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 31, 2023 22:47:46 GMT
Elec.res. in LowerA.'s traditional quarters:   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 31, 2023 22:48:13 GMT
Sum of all regional elections:   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 2, 2023 21:53:49 GMT
Carinthia will go to the polls this sunDay. Historical overView:  DeViations in federal elections with the usual 4 variants:     Right-minus-Left:   C. has since J.Haider voted to the right of Austria as a whole (with the exCeption of 2013, when the regional FPÖVP-gov. was scandal-plagued). What means, that the per se popular SPÖ-inc. (according to opinionPolls 58% want him to continue) is not totally safe - at least not, when TheGreens & NEOS will once again fail to get seats. But there have not been any rumours of a renewed FPÖVP (which would anyway need the TeamKärnten/TK, the exT.Stronach around an exSPÖ-mayor). OpinionPolls:  Are there any questions? |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 5, 2023 16:18:35 GMT
Carinthia: ProJection of SORA (MoE +-1.4%) with 36.1% counted:
39.4% -8.6% SPÖ
24.3% +1.3% FPÖ
17.3% +1.8% ÖVP
09.9% +4.3% TK (Team Kärnten, exT.Stronach)
03.6% +0.5% Greens
02.4% +0.3% NEOS
02.4% *2.4% VÖ (antiVaccinationObligation)
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 5, 2023 16:25:49 GMT
Surprisingly strong result for the ÖVP, especially igven the present unPopularity of the federal ÖVP&Greens.
According to SORA's exitPoll its leader Gruber was a big factor.
In some way the Carinthians opted as usual for socialism, because the SPÖ (!) supported the privatization of the deficitary airPort, whereas the ÖVP (!) wants to reregionalize it.
Other regional issues were not really present.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 6, 2023 1:48:16 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 6, 2023 1:48:34 GMT
Sum of all 9 region's LandTag-elections, - votes:  - %:  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 6, 2023 1:52:55 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by rcronald on Mar 6, 2023 9:41:12 GMT
Carinthia: ProJection of SORA (MoE +-1.4%) with 36.1% counted: 39.4% -8.6% SPÖ 24.3% +1.3% FPÖ 17.3% +1.8% ÖVP 09.9% +4.3% TK (Team Kärnten, exT.Stronach) 03.6% +0.5% Greens 02.4% +0.3% NEOS 02.4% *2.4% VÖ (antiVaccinationObligation) Weaker than expected results for the SPÖ, and stronger than expected for ÖVP? |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 7, 2023 0:10:23 GMT
Carinthia: ProJection of SORA (MoE +-1.4%) with 36.1% counted: 39.4% -8.6% SPÖ 24.3% +1.3% FPÖ 17.3% +1.8% ÖVP 09.9% +4.3% TK (Team Kärnten, exT.Stronach) 03.6% +0.5% Greens 02.4% +0.3% NEOS 02.4% *2.4% VÖ (antiVaccinationObligation) Weaker than expected results for the SPÖ, and stronger than expected for ÖVP? Exactly. Especially ÖVP's oerFormance surprised - and not just me: The chief of publicBroadcaster ORF's housePollster SORA asked yesterDay the region's statistial office, whether they had confused ÖVP and TK... Caused perhaps out of deSperation? After all the FPÖ-leader's only asset was, that he is from the same village as the infamous Scheuch-brothers, who controlled party&government after Haider's death... |
|
|
|
Post by rcronald on Mar 7, 2023 5:31:56 GMT
Weaker than expected results for the SPÖ, and stronger than expected for ÖVP? Exactly. Especially ÖVP's oerFormance surprised - and not just me: The chief of publicBroadcaster ORF's housePollster SORA asked yesterDay the region's statistial office, whether they had confused ÖVP and TK... Caused perhaps out of deSperation? After all the FPÖ-leader's only asset was, that he is from the same village as the infamous Scheuch-brothers, who controlled party&government after Haider's death... FPÖ? I thought the performed exactly like the polls projected them to perform |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 7, 2023 11:57:53 GMT
Exactly. Especially ÖVP's oerFormance surprised - and not just me: The chief of publicBroadcaster ORF's housePollster SORA asked yesterDay the region's statistial office, whether they had confused ÖVP and TK... Caused perhaps out of deSperation? After all the FPÖ-leader's only asset was, that he is from the same village as the infamous Scheuch-brothers, who controlled party&government after Haider's death... FPÖ? I thought the performed exactly like the polls projected them to perform Yes, but already the opinionPolls were - even when taking TK into account - disappointing for them and they expected 25%+ (and hoped for 30%). |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 13, 2023 0:40:14 GMT
After 1 week of hard work i can present the deViations of Carinthis's municipalities in regional elections since 1989 (their EC did not have earlier ones in EXCEL/CSV). Too much for making screenShots, but You can have a dive at the tables themselves here: drive.google.com/drive/folders/1_8eDBz65L95IWLRj9BWLLijM8irkewyi?usp=sharingThe once "bourgeois" capital Klagenfurt is with its 103.000 inHab. really a city - because it has been trending sharply to the left. Whereas the once "proletarian" trafficCentre Villach (SPÖ-run since forever...) hasn't trended (just like the smaller towns) and votes these days less leftly than its big rival.  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 18, 2023 15:05:50 GMT
Even if i were a Salzburgian chauvinist, also nonSalzburgian pundits have stressed, that the regional election here in Salzburg on April 23th will be more important than those in Carinthia or Austria's most populous region LowerA. (because the first places and PMs were there always indisputed). In Sbg. SPÖ&FPÖ or even FPÖ&SPÖ seemed unlikely, but possible - before the leadership-disputes in the federal SPÖ. Now pollster P.Hajek, who had performed not too well in Carinthia (SPÖ 3% too high!, ÖVP 7% too low!!), came out with this:   6% for KPÖ - better than their not 4% in 1945 - does not surprise me at all (well, i had expected 3-5%): In the local elections 2019 they ran only in 1/119 municipalities, that was the city, where they got with not 4% just 1 councillor; but the latter has been very active on the issue succeeding in Graz (flats) and control. Without presence on the land they must poll for region-wide 6% insanely highly here in the city. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 1, 2023 19:23:45 GMT
Sum of all 9 regions' LandTag-elections: - votes:   - % (partyVotes measured at all eligible votes):   - %-changes:   - % (partyVotes measured at only valid votes):   - %-changes:   Look, how close the races between ÖVP and SPÖ were in the postWarEra (ÖVP&FPÖ have allWays received an overAll-majority of valid votes, though). In those days the volatility was so low, that the regional elec.res.s mirrored the federal ones very well. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2023 18:27:20 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2023 18:28:12 GMT
Salzburg's LandTag-electionResults since 1919:  %-changes in regional elections since last time in 2 variants - partyVotes measured at - all eligible votes  - only valid votes:  OpinionPolls (thankfully taken from de.wikipedia):  As the city has been trending from FPÖ's Austria-wide strongest district (for decades) to its weakest, i am sceptical, that they can really reach 25% (or even more). Albeit its leader - a young woMan - is for a FPÖ-politician comparatively popular (she had worked initially for a MEP, who stands as an exSPÖer from Vienna on the nationalistic&socialistic wing, but she has toned down to a more national-conservative approach). |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2023 19:16:26 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2023 16:42:54 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by rcronald on Apr 23, 2023 17:29:39 GMT
The Communists received 11%? 😳🤯 |
|
