The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 24, 2012 19:41:22 GMT
Who is throwing their money away on Respect here, FFS??  |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 25, 2012 6:22:54 GMT
I gather they are linking to one new candidate's answers each day. |
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 25, 2012 6:32:47 GMT
Who is throwing their money away on Respect here, FFS?? I don't know, but Honest Iain is willing to offer them better odds ;D |
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 25, 2012 6:57:11 GMT
The person betting on Respect is obviously either someone who thinks Croydon North bears some kind of strong resemblance to Bradford West which everyone else correctly knows is nonsense or it's a Respect supporter who has let their hopes of victory get out of control.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 26, 2012 10:51:12 GMT
Good news for someone here:
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Post by johnloony on Nov 26, 2012 18:00:30 GMT
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Post by AdminSTB on Nov 26, 2012 19:48:31 GMT
I can see you've clearly never fought elections in Scotland.  |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 26, 2012 21:34:35 GMT
I can see you've clearly never fought elections in Scotland. That would be rather difficult; the last time I was in Scotland was when you and I were aged -14 and +6 respectively. Not even I am anoraky enough to have been politically active at that stage. |
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Post by johnloony on Nov 28, 2012 0:22:17 GMT
Yesterday (Tuesday) was the first day of processing postal votes. PVs were sent out on 20th Nov to the 11,096 people entitled to them; so far 2945 have been returned and processed. I have observed the process, so from now on I am not allowed to give any clues or predictions about the likely result of the election, based on any clues I may have seen at the opening.
A note of caution on the number returned: in a previous recent election in Croydon, the A.R.O. and his staff were concerned about the fact that several thousand PVs had been delivered to the council on one day,and only a few hundred the next. Repeated phone calls to the Royal Mail to check resulted in assurances being given that all PVs had been delivered. It subsequently tuned out that the Royal Mail had been lying and that several thousand PVs had been held back, some for several days.
I don't know if such delays have happened again this time, but the turnout of 27% of PVs so far should be taken with a pinch of salt - even without taking into account the fact that we still have 2 days to go.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
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Post by andrea on Nov 28, 2012 12:44:51 GMT
27% sounds quite low. So I hope the RM is holding back some PVs. Otherwise we could look for a turnout similar to PCC elections (40% among postal voters).
Red Ken is back on the campaign trail today. I read (it was some Labourite complaining about it) that Jasper suggested at the Mosque hustings that Livingstone's going senile because of his backing to Reed.
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 28, 2012 19:22:46 GMT
(Multiple post, one in each of the three by-election topics) I have just created an event using Blyve.com (as an alternative to Cover it Live) to cover the by-elections tomorrow evening. I will be starting it at 10.00pm GMT (as the polls close) and using both Twitter and the UK news channels for information, but would be very appreciative if members wouldn't mind dropping in and posting any interesting information they have about either the constituency or past electoral trends. The link for the event is blyve.com/event/8161b650057a340e86000000 |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
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Post by andrea on Nov 29, 2012 13:12:01 GMT
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 29, 2012 15:30:42 GMT
That's a very interesting article by Andrew Pelling, it will be interesting to see how that maps out. |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Nov 29, 2012 15:59:20 GMT
I like the idea of a Cardiff South and Penrith constituency...
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Post by johnloony on Nov 29, 2012 16:44:50 GMT
A further 702 PVs today, making a total of 5027 so far. A further c.300 are likely to be handed in at polling stations during the day.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 29, 2012 16:51:12 GMT
Good luck John.
Hopefully the declaration is going to televised live, or at least filmed and posted here and/or on YouTube.
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Post by AdminSTB on Nov 29, 2012 16:54:18 GMT
Croydon North is expected to declare at around 2.30am. My plan is to go to bed at 7, and get up at 2...
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Post by johnloony on Nov 29, 2012 17:13:33 GMT
Good luck John. Hopefully the declaration is going to televised live, or at least filmed and posted here and/or on YouTube. I reckon that the BBC is so useless these days that I can't trust them any more to cover by-elections properly at all. So - for the first time ever - I intend to set the video to record Sky (and cross my fingers that the declaration(s) will be covered properly. I will rely on other people (hopefully) to make sure they record from BBC (and put it on Youtube). |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
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Post by andrea on Nov 29, 2012 19:26:34 GMT
Good luck John from me too.
Jasper tweets turnout is struggling to reach 20%. I don't know if he is factoring postal votes.
Lee Jasper @leejasper
#Croydon North turnout probably under 20% very slow traffic ...
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Post by AdminSTB on Nov 29, 2012 19:48:41 GMT
Good luck John! I'll be up about 2 to wait for the result, hope you get a decent showing!
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