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Post by markgoodair on Sept 29, 2012 22:27:59 GMT
Sad News- Labour M.P. Malcolm Wick died today. R.I.P.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 30, 2012 9:22:00 GMT
At a push, this could probably be held on Nov 15th along with the others??
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 30, 2012 9:31:45 GMT
would think so, as a safe seat then no need for a long run in
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Post by markgoodair on Sept 30, 2012 9:40:47 GMT
Are there police commissioner elections in London?
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,126
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Post by ColinJ on Sept 30, 2012 9:58:37 GMT
Are there police commissioner elections in London? No. Mayor and GLA carry out these functions. |
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piperdave
SNP
Dalkeith; Midlothian/North & Musselburgh
Posts: 911
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Post by piperdave on Sept 30, 2012 13:34:21 GMT
At a push, this could probably be held on Nov 15th along with the others?? No pushing required. Parliament will be back from recess for a week by the time it needs to issue the writ. |
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Post by erlend on Sept 30, 2012 14:28:13 GMT
Because it is a death it could have been moved in recess unlike Corby.
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Post by thirdchill on Sept 30, 2012 14:41:54 GMT
If the by-election is going to be on 15th November then labour will have to move quickly on both moving the writ and candidate selection. Unless they do this then it may be as late as January or February before the election happens.
The election will be a shoo-in for labour whatever time it happens. This ain't going to be a Bradford West.
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Post by AdminSTB on Sept 30, 2012 16:04:46 GMT
I presume our resident Croydon Loony is a likely candidate. You never know, his local profile could lead to a Galloway-esque shocker...  |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 1, 2012 8:58:28 GMT
Can't see the top 3 changing places here and can't see anybody else saving their deposit.
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Post by johnloony on Oct 1, 2012 10:13:53 GMT
I was shocked when I heard of the death of Malcolm Wicks, whom I knew fairly well and whom I met lots of times. He was a gentle, courteous man who served Croydon well and rose above the ideological turmoils and spin of the "New Labour" era. I remember that he joined in with me, Greens and Lib Dems to campaign for a "Yes" vote in the AV referendum last year; in my book that proves that he's a good egg and that he didn't let his huge majority under FPTP go to his head.
I was out at a concert on Saturday night and I didn't hear the news until about 2am, so i am not sure when the news broke. I had known for a long time that he was ill with cancer, but as far as I knew he was responding well to treatment and I had no reason to suspect that it was terminal.
As far as the by-election is concerned, I am still in a bit of shock and it is too early for me to consider properly whether I want to stand as a candidate. If there is an OMRLP candidate then it would be me (because Alan Hope will be standing in Manchester Central) but whether I will want to stand at all is by no means certain.
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piperdave
SNP
Dalkeith; Midlothian/North & Musselburgh
Posts: 911
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Post by piperdave on Oct 1, 2012 17:36:56 GMT
Because it is a death it could have been moved in recess unlike Corby. It could but then the by-election would be earlier than 15 November. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Oct 1, 2012 18:27:29 GMT
Would it be in Labour's interest to call this for the 1st or 8th of November (as there are no Police elections to get in the way in London), win big and then build some momentum for the P&CC Elections (and presumably the other three GB by elections) on 15th November?
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Post by slicesofjim on Oct 10, 2012 9:29:30 GMT
TUSC to stand. No candidate confirmed as yet. I would be surprised if this ended up on 15th November now.
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 10, 2012 11:09:54 GMT
Can't see the top 3 changing places here and can't see anybody else saving their deposit. I think it's possible the LDs could lose their deposit and the Greens might have a chance of overtaking them. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Oct 10, 2012 11:20:02 GMT
While the LDs may well drop significantly, I don't think this is the sort of constituency that is likely to see much of an increase in the Green vote.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 10, 2012 11:37:50 GMT
Can't see the top 3 changing places here and can't see anybody else saving their deposit. I think it's possible the LDs could lose their deposit and the Greens might have a chance of overtaking them. Well, looking at the constituency vote for the London Assembly in the Croydon North wards, the Greens did beat the LDs in every ward, but the LDs would still just have saved their deposit: Lab 16031 (62.8%) Con 5090 (19.9) Grn 1807 (7.1) LD 1327 (5.2) UKIP 1280 (5.0) However, for a parliamentary by-election, I'd expect the LDs to do a bit better and the Greens a bit worse. UKIP I'm not sure about. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 10, 2012 11:41:27 GMT
I think it's possible the LDs could lose their deposit and the Greens might have a chance of overtaking them. Well, looking at the constituency vote for the London Assembly in the Croydon North wards, the Greens did beat the LDs in every ward, but the LDs would still just have saved their deposit: Lab 16031 (62.8%) Con 5090 (19.9) Grn 1807 (7.1) LD 1327 (5.2) UKIP 1280 (5.0) However, for a parliamentary by-election, I'd expect the LDs to do a bit better and the Greens a bit worse. UKIP I'm not sure about. The by-election result could be very similar to those numbers. Maybe the Greens 200 votes less and the LDs 200 more. |
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Post by hempie on Oct 10, 2012 11:49:04 GMT
I understand that the Christian People's Alliance are planning to stand with candidate selection this coming weekend.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Oct 10, 2012 12:26:01 GMT
I think it's possible the LDs could lose their deposit and the Greens might have a chance of overtaking them. Well, looking at the constituency vote for the London Assembly in the Croydon North wards, the Greens did beat the LDs in every ward, but the LDs would still just have saved their deposit: Lab 16031 (62.8%) Con 5090 (19.9) Grn 1807 (7.1) LD 1327 (5.2) UKIP 1280 (5.0) However, for a parliamentary by-election, I'd expect the LDs to do a bit better and the Greens a bit worse. UKIP I'm not sure about. UKIP vote share could be surprisingly good or an absolute disaster. Either way, it won't be dull. |
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