Polls Archive

[Rural Radical]

Nov 15, 2012 15:50:50 GMT The Bishop said:

The latest Ipsos/MORI - LibDem 9 Con 32........and Labour 46

A new record in any poll for Labour since the GE - though not quite the biggest lead (which remains 44-28)

Nice, though I would take a 5% GE lead now.

[marksenior]

The Ipsos Mori poll must have the worst representative sample I have ever seen in a poll .
The sample actually voted in the 2010 GE
Lab 37% Con 32% LD 20%

and the weighting adjustments did not correct this .

[The Bishop]

It still probably has more credibility than the YouGov at the start of this week, tbh

[Deleted]

Nov 15, 2012 22:23:30 GMT The Bishop said:

It still probably has more credibility than the YouGov at the start of this week, tbh

Well there have been three YouGov polls showing the Tories on 35% in the past few weeks now, with the Labour lead in single digits.
Corby isn't going to help but I still think in the medium to long term there is all to play for with the polls.

[Deleted]

Comres poll

CON 31%(-2), LAB 43%(+2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 8%(-1).

biggest lead this parliament so ties in with Mori's one

[The Bishop]

Nov 17, 2012 19:46:49 GMT ArmchairCritic said:

Nov 15, 2012 19:51:46 GMT Rural Radical said:

Nice, though I would take a 5% GE lead now.

Well of course you would. It would put you around 10% in front.

Que, AC??

[Deleted]

opinium week

C 32
L 39
LD 8

[The Bishop]

Opinium also had UKIP ahead of the LibDems, on 10%. The weekend YouGov, meanwhile, is Lab 44 Con 33 LibDem 9 UKIP 8.

[Deleted]

Con scores have been the consistent ones really around that 32-34 mark for most, Labour tends to be around 39-44 depending on how low LD is. Nothing has really changed recently has it ?

[Richard Allen]

Nov 17, 2012 23:00:27 GMT @ianrobo said:

Con scores have been the consistent ones really around that 32-34 mark for most, Labour tends to be around 39-44 depending on how low LD is. Nothing has really changed recently has it ?

No, and I doubt it will for some time.

[Andrew_S]

Opinium/Observer poll finds 56% would vote to leave the EU, 30% would vote to remain, with 14% undecided.

Definitely vote to leave: 34%
Probably vote to leave: 22%
Definitely vote to remain: 11%
Probably vote to remain: 19%
Don't know: 14%

Conservative voters: 68% leave, 24% remain
Labour voters: 44% leave, 39% remain
LibDem voters: 39% leave, 47% remain

www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/nov/17/eu-referendum-poll?intcmp=239

[Deleted]

the lowness of this figure does surprise me

Definitely vote to leave: 34%

but the fact remains we will not be having a vote any time soon so time changes how votes are perceived.

[The Bishop]

ICM monthly survey - Lab 40 (-1) Con 32 (-1) LibDem 13 (-1) UKIP 7 (+2) As usual, a bigger Labour lead in the "unadjusted" figures.

[john07]

Nov 18, 2012 2:11:48 GMT Andrew_S said:

Opinium/Observer poll finds 56% would vote to leave the EU, 30% would vote to remain, with 14% undecided.

Definitely vote to leave: 34%
Probably vote to leave: 22%
Definitely vote to remain: 11%
Probably vote to remain: 19%
Don't know: 14%

Conservative voters: 68% leave, 24% remain
Labour voters: 44% leave, 39% remain
LibDem voters: 39% leave, 47% remain

www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/nov/17/eu-referendum-poll?intcmp=239

I seem to recall similar figures being presented in the mid-1970s before the referendum.

[Deleted]

Nov 20, 2012 10:51:41 GMT The Bishop said:

ICM monthly survey - Lab 40 (-1) Con 32 (-1) LibDem 13 (-1) UKIP 7 (+2) As usual, a bigger Labour lead in the "unadjusted" figures.

I think all of us on the red side would take these figures from the 'gold standard'

[Rural Radical]

7.5% Con to Lab swing, 10% LD to Lab swing, 2.5% LD to Con swing since GE

[Deleted]

TNS-BMRB poll is out, and has topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 39%(-2), LD 11%(+2), UKIP 7%(-2)