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Post by Deleted on Oct 14, 2012 21:39:08 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2012 18:58:26 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2012 10:25:59 GMT
New TNS-BMRB poll has CON 29% (-2), LAB 42% (-2), LD 7% (-1), UKIP 10%
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 17, 2012 10:33:49 GMT
Hmmm, certainly no Tory conference boost there  |
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2012 10:45:33 GMT
no and not surprised as they were talking to themselves. No matter what Tories may say about Ed he was not talking to the party and he forced the Tories to speak about 'one nation'. Once you get your opponents talking about your speech then part of the battle has been won.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2012 11:10:04 GMT
no and not surprised as they were talking to themselves. No matter what Tories may say about Ed he was not talking to the party and he forced the Tories to speak about 'one nation'. Once you get your opponents talking about your speech then part of the battle has been won. Good grief, Ian. |
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2012 18:32:59 GMT
LAB lead up 4 in ComRes online for IoS and S Mirror: CON 33% (-2) LAB 41% (+2) LD 10% (0) UKIP 9% (+1)
ComRes online: EdM extends to 10% his net ComRes leadership ratings lead over Cameron
after all has been a very good week for us
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2012 18:52:05 GMT
Opinium/Observer poll tonight has LAB 40% CON 31% , and the parties neck and neck on economy
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 21, 2012 0:39:09 GMT
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Oct 21, 2012 9:32:12 GMT
So UKIPs first 3% lead over the Dead Limbs is quickly followed by our first 4% lead...
Are we still assuming this sustained UKIP polling is merely an ephemeral aberration?
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Post by Deleted on Oct 21, 2012 9:47:06 GMT
but in a general election is it likely they return home to the Tories
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Post by marksenior on Oct 21, 2012 9:56:45 GMT
So UKIPs first 3% lead over the Dead Limbs is quickly followed by our first 4% lead... Are we still assuming this sustained UKIP polling is merely an ephemeral aberration? Meanwhile in the real world in Maidstone the Lib Dems maintained their 40 point plus lead over UKIP . |
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Post by Deleted on Oct 21, 2012 10:00:49 GMT
So UKIPs first 3% lead over the Dead Limbs is quickly followed by our first 4% lead... Are we still assuming this sustained UKIP polling is merely an ephemeral aberration? I would need to be convinced that there's a single constituency in which UKIP can get close to victory. Our 8%, which will grow by 2015, has within it constituencies with substantial leads and incumbent fan bases. UKIP being in the lead over us may turn out to be permanent - it doesn't mean much at the 'business end' of opinion polling, which is general election polling day. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Oct 21, 2012 10:03:42 GMT
It will be interesting to see in how many places UKIP can beat the LDs n the PCC elections.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 21, 2012 10:04:37 GMT
You might as well say that in the real world in Esk Valley a few weeks ago the Conservatives maintained a 60% lead over Labour, this clearly implying that the Labour poll leads nationally are false
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Oct 21, 2012 10:57:52 GMT
Ah, but that one wasn't down to differential turnout.
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Oct 22, 2012 7:01:09 GMT
It will be interesting to see in how many places UKIP can beat the LDs n the PCC elections. Sadly this won't be tested in Kent as the LDs have failed to put a candidate up... which I suspect may have saved Senior from eating his Maidstone crumble... |
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Post by Deleted on Oct 22, 2012 19:17:23 GMT
ICM (goldstandard) 41/33/14
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 23, 2012 0:30:57 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 23, 2012 9:23:13 GMT
All pollsters have outliers, but any self respecting one would hope to avoid two in a row.
Add to that Populus getting the Mayoral election spectacularly wrong, and producing that EM hatchet job, and it is fair to say they aren't the most reliable at the minute.
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