|
|
Post by lancastrian on Nov 8, 2017 21:24:57 GMT
High Peak: Con 42 Lab 32 LD 20 UKIP 6
Flintshire: Lab 34 Ind(Teire) 30 LD 14 Ind(Hutchinson) 14 Con 8
Fareham: LD 48 Con 28 Lab 15 UKIP 9
Camden: Lab 54 LD 26 Con 17 EDP 3
Wandsworth: Lab 40 Con 39 LD 15 Green 6
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Nov 8, 2017 22:14:25 GMT
My predictions for this week:
High Peak DC, Limestone Peak: Conservative 53, Labour 32, Green 8, Liberal Democrats 7.
Flintshire UA, Buckley Bistre West: Labour 39, Liberal Democrats 31, Conservative 12, Independent (Hutchinson) 10, Independent (Teire) 8.
Fareham BC, Stubbington: Liberal Democrats 45, Conservative 38, Labour 10, UKIP 7.
Camden LBC, Gospel Oak: Labour 65, Conservative 22, Liberal Democrats 12, English Democrats 1.
Wandsworth LBC, Thamesfield: Conservative 41, Labour 38, Liberal Democrats 14, Green 7.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Nov 9, 2017 0:21:43 GMT
High Peak DC, Limestone Peak: Conservative 54, Labour 33, Green 4, Liberal Democrats 9.
Flintshire UA, Buckley Bistre West: Labour 38, Liberal Democrats 20, Conservative 12, Independent (Hutchinson) 10, Independent (Teire) 20.
Fareham BC, Stubbington: Liberal Democrats 43, Conservative 42, Labour 7, UKIP 8.
Camden LBC, Gospel Oak: Labour 58, Conservative 15, Liberal Democrats 25, English Democrats 2.
Wandsworth LBC, Thamesfield: Conservative 46, Labour 39, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 7.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 9, 2017 0:39:36 GMT
CAMDEN Gospel Oak: Lab 60, L Dem 22, C 16, EDP 2
FAREHAM Stubbington: L Dem 42, C 29, UKIP 22, Lab 7
FLINTSHIRE Buckley Bistre West: Lab 35, C 25, L Dem 19, Ind Teire 16, Ind Hutchinson 5
HIGH PEAK Limestone Peak: C 50, Lab 40, GP 6, L Dem 4
WANDSWORTH Thamesfield: C 51, Lab 38, L Dem 8, GP 3
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2017 6:55:22 GMT
CAMDEN LBC: Gospel Oak - Con 26, Lab 59, LD 12, English Dems 3
FAREHAM BC: Stubbington - Con 38, Lab 20, LD 39, UKIP 3
FLINTSHIRE UA: Buckley Bistre West - Con 25, Lab 49, LD 10, Ind (Teire) 12, Ind (Hutchinson) 4
HIGH PEAK DC: Limestone Peak - Con 45, Lab 47, LD 4, Greens 4
WANDSWORTH LBC: Thamesfield - Con 43, Lab 47, LD 7, Greens 3
First time I have seen the Tories putting Marx (Camden) as their candidate, things must really be desperate for them...
|
|
|
|
Post by Ruggerman on Nov 9, 2017 6:56:49 GMT
High Peak DC, Limestone Peak: Con; 48, Lab; 31, LD; 17, Green; 4
Flintshire UA, Buckley Bistre West: LD; 40, Lab; 32, Ind (Teire); 12, Ind (Hutchinson); 9, Con; 7
Fareham BC, Stubbington: LD; 43, Con; 32, UKIP; 15, Lab; 10
Camden LBC, Gospel Oak: Lab; 52, LD; 37, Con; 10, EDP; 1
Wandsworth LBC, Thamesfield: Lab; 36, Con; 31, LD; 20, Green; 13
|
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on Nov 9, 2017 7:54:05 GMT
Camden, Gospel Oak Lab 62, lib dem 19, Con 16, Edp 3
Fareham, Stubbington Lib Dem 42, Con 35, ukip 16, lab 7
Flintshire Buckley Bistre West Lab 42, Lib Dem 26, Con 11, ind Teire 11, ind Hutchinson 10
High Peak, Limestone Peak, Con 46 Lab 36, Lib dem 12, Green 6
Wandsworth, Thames field, Con 46, Lab 38, Green 9, lib dem 7
|
|
|
|
Post by hempie on Nov 9, 2017 8:30:23 GMT
High Peak, Limestone Peak: Con 48, Lab 35, LD 12, Green 5
Flintshire, Buckley Bistre West: Lab 38, LD 25, Con 15, Ind (Teire) 12,Ind (Hutchinson)10
Fareham, Stubbington: LD 45, Con 38, Lab 10, UKIP 7
Camden, Gospel Oak: Lab 60, LD 23, Con 15, ED 2
Wandsworth, Thamesfield: Con 46, Lab 38, LD 12, Green 4
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 9, 2017 20:11:37 GMT
Some interesting predictions above of a Labour gain in Thamesfield.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Nov 9, 2017 20:14:16 GMT
8 entries this week with nothing from Yellow Peril.
Camden, Gospel Oak: 100% Labour hold, majority from 15% (Ruggerman) to 43% (andrewp and WilliamHone)
Fareham, Stubbington: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from UKIP, majority over Conservative from 1% (Robert Waller & WilliamHone) to 20% (Lancastrian)
Flintshire, Buckley Bistre West: 7 Labour hold with Ruggerman Liberal Democrat gain
High Peak, Limestone Peak: 7 Conservative hold with WilliamHone Labour gain
Wandsworth, Thamesfield: 5 Conservative hold with Lancastrian with Ruggerman & WilliamHone Labour gain
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Nov 9, 2017 20:23:36 GMT
I hope Yellow Peril's difficulties are alleviated as much as possible.
There are far more important things than the Prediction Competition.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2017 21:37:37 GMT
I find it really interesting that people rate Labour's chances better in Wandsworth than High Peak
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Nov 10, 2017 0:20:11 GMT
Guess what?
On my rough calculations I cannot separate Hempie and myself this week ... !
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Nov 10, 2017 1:24:38 GMT
For week 2| Authority | Camden | Fareham | Flintshire | High Peak | Wandsworth | Week 2
| Week 2
| Weeks 1 & 2 | Weeks 1 & 2 | Division / Ward | Gospel Oak
| Stubbington | Buckley Bistre
West
| Limestone Peak
| Thamesfield | faults
| position
| faults | position | andrewp | 13.3
| 28.0
| 35.0
| 17.3
| 23.5
| 117.2
| 3rd
| 278.4
| 3rd
| David Boothroyd | 7.3
| 40.0
| 57.7
| 25.3
| 23.8
| 154.1
| 6th
| 390.2
| 7th
| greenrobinhood | 28.4
| 20.4
| 47.0
| 11.3
| 19.6
| 126.7
| 4th
| 320.1
| 4th
| hempie | 5.8
| 20.4
| 41.7
| 15.4
| 19.6
| 102.9
| 2nd
| 242.2
| 1st
| Lancastrian | 7.1
| 30.0
| 41.7
| 25.4
| 23.6+10
| 137.8
| 5th
| 382.9
| 6th
| Robert Waller | 1.8
| 24.4
| 41.7
| 11.9
| 21.6
| 101.3
| 1st
| 242.5
| 2nd
| Ruggerman | 22.7
| 32.0
| 57.7+10
| 17.4
| 35.8+10
| 185.6
| 7th
| 379.0
| 5th
| WilliamHone | 27.3
| 37.3
| 34.7
| 39.3+10
| 37.6+10
| 196.1
| 8th
| 414.9
| 8th
| Yellow Peril | 100
| 100
| 100 | 100
| 100
| 500
|
| 674.1 | 9th
| Total faults | 113.7+100
| 232.5+100
| 357.2+10+100
| 163.3+10+100
| 205.2+10+100
| 1,621.7
|
| 3,324.3
|
|
Objection please by noon Sunday. There are 10 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 Thursday.
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Nov 10, 2017 18:50:54 GMT
I hope Yellow Peril's difficulties are alleviated as much as possible.
There are far more important things than the Prediction Competition.thanks for the good wishes, but that is rank heresy  |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Nov 10, 2017 19:20:10 GMT
As you can see. I'm back. Basically I didn't post this week because my internet connection failed for the vital couple of days and the combination of that together with my ongoing domestic situation and my particular medical problems of this week (also ongoing but somewhat alleviated by being lent some powerful reading glasses, a bit easier than a magnifying glass) meant that I found it all too difficult.
Congratulations to the leading couple! The irony was that had I submitted my back of envelope calculations which were sort-of ready 24 hours before the deadline and before my internet failed, I would have actually won in Wandsworth and High Peak, and even though some of the others were much less to the point, I think I would have been third overall though still behind hempie and Robert.
Now I have to see whether its worth trying to do the next two weeks at 10 contests each and still struggling with my eyesight.when I have a 500-fault deficit to make up.
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Nov 10, 2017 19:33:22 GMT
I did not predict such a high Con to Lib Dem swing in Gospel Oak because in the June general election the Lib Dem increases in both Camden constituencies were very modest to say the least. It is however clear that the absence of a Green candidate in that by-election did not benefit Labour contrary to what some watermelons say.
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Nov 15, 2017 23:26:12 GMT
My predictions for this week:
Chiltern DC, Penn & Coleshill: Conservative 63, Liberal Democrats 37.
Darlington UA, Mowden: Conservative 46, Labour 42, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 4.
Darlington UA, Red Hill & Lingfield: Labour 53, Conservative 31, Green 7, Liberal Democrats 6, Independent 3.
Eden DC, Penrith North: Liberal Democrats 38, Conservative 33, Green 11, Labour 8.
Fylde BC, Staining & Weeton: Conservative 51, Labour 37, Liberal Democrats 12.
Hartlepool UA, Victoria: Labour 52, Conservative 35, UKIP 13.
South Holland DC, Whaplode & Holbeach St Johns: Conservative 75, Labour 25.
Waveney DC, Kirkley: Labour 42, Conservative 41, UKIP 6, Green 6, Liberal Democrats 5.
Waveney DC, St Margarets: Labour 41, Conservative 39, UKIP 9, Liberal Democrats 7, Green 4.
West Lindsey DC, Sudbrooke: Conservative 70, Labour 30.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Nov 16, 2017 0:42:34 GMT
Chiltern DC, Penn & Coleshill: Conservative 72, Liberal Democrats 28.
Darlington UA, Mowden: Conservative 49, Labour 40, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 3.
Darlington UA, Red Hill & Lingfield: Labour 54, Conservative 28, Green 3, Liberal Democrats 5, Independent 10.
Eden DC, Penrith North: Liberal Democrats 41, Conservative 34, Green 5, Labour 20.
Fylde BC, Staining & Weeton: Conservative 65, Labour 20, Liberal Democrats 15.
Hartlepool UA, Victoria: Labour 60, Conservative 20, UKIP 20.
South Holland DC, Whaplode & Holbeach St Johns: Conservative 75, Labour 25.
Waveney DC, Kirkley: Labour 47, Conservative 37, UKIP 8, Green 3, Liberal Democrats 5.
Waveney DC, St Margarets: Labour 42, Conservative 40, UKIP 10, Liberal Democrats 5, Green 3.
West Lindsey DC, Sudbrooke: Conservative 70, Labour 30.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 16, 2017 0:42:35 GMT
CHILTERN Penn and Coleshill: C 75, L Dem 25
DARLINGTON Mowden: C 58, Lab 32, GP 6, L Dem 4
DARLINGTON Red Hall and Lingfield: Lab 54, C 36, Ind 5, L Dem 3, GP 2
EDEN Penrith North: L Dem 52, C 25, Lab 20, GP 3
FYLDE Staining and Weeton: C 55, Lab 29, L Dem 16
HARTLEPOOL Victoria: Lab 50, C 30, UKIP 20
SOUTH HOLLAND Whaplode and Holbeach St Johns: C 70, Lab 30
WAVENEY Kirkley: Lab 54, C 32, UKIP 6, L Dem 5, GP 3
WAVENEY St Margarets: Lab 42, C 41, UKIP 10, L Dem 4, GP 3
WEST LINDSEY Sudbrooke: C 71, Lab 29
|
|
