2017 General Election - some statistics

[mick745]

This is a breakdown of the 650 MPs elected in 2017 by first Parliament they sat in.  There are now 61 of the 243 MPs first elected on 1 May 1997 still sitting, and only 5 who were sitting prior to Margaret Thatcher becoming PM (Margaret Beckett, Peter Bottomley
, Geoffrey Robinson, Kenneth Clarke and Dennis Skinner).


The number of Members of Parliament elected since 1945 is now 3,233

Parliament First Sat	Elected at GE	Elected at BE
2017-	87	0
2015-2017	144	9
2010-2015	160	15
2005-2010	70	5
2001-2005	34	1
1997-2001	61	4
1992-1997	21	3
1987-1992	8	1
1983-1987	14	4
1979-1983	2	2
1974O-1979	1	2
1974F-1974O	0	0
1970-1974F	2	0
TOTAL	604	46

Survivors from 1997:

Conservatives (20):
John Bercow
(now Speaker)
Crispin Blunt

Graham Brady

Nick Gibb

James Gray

Damian Green

Dominic Grieve

Philip Hammond

John Hayes

Eleanor Laing

Oliver Letwin

Julian Lewis

Tim Loughton

Theresa May

Owen Paterson

Laurence Robertson

Keith Simpson

Caroline Spelman

Desmond Swayne

Robert Syms


Labour (37):
Ben Bradshaw

Karen Buck

Alan Campbell

Vernon Coaker

Yvette Cooper

David Crausby

John Cryer

Geraint Davies

David Drew

Maria Eagle

Clive Efford

Louise Ellman

Jim Fitzpatrick

Caroline Flint

Barry Gardiner

John Grogan

Fabian Hamilton

John Healey

Stephen Hepburn

Kelvin Hopkins

Lindsay Hoyle

Helen Jones

Christopher Leslie

Ivan Lewis

Gordon Marsden

Stephen McCabe

Siobhain McDonagh

John McDonnell

Stephen Pound

Chris Ruane

Joan Ryan

Graham Stringer

Gareth Thomas

Derek Twigg

Stephen Twigg

Alan Whitehead

Rosie Winterton


Lib Dem (3):
Tom Brake

Vince Cable

Ed Davey


DUP (1)
Jeffrey Donaldson

[Foggy]

Jun 15, 2017 22:04:28 GMT mick745 said:

David Drew*

Christopher Leslie**

Chris Ruane*

Stephen Twigg**


Vince Cable*

Ed Davey*

*lost seat and later regained it

**lost seat then carpetbagged their way to a safer one

There may be more MPs from the class of 1997 that fit into those categories, but I know of the caveat behind those 6 off the top of my head.

[mick745]

Yes indeed, not all have had unbroken runs. these 10 have retreaded at some point:

Vince Cable missed the 2015-2017 Parliament
John Cryer missed 2005-2010
Ed Davey missed 2015-2017
Geraint Davies missed 2005-2010
David Drew missed 2010-2015 & 2015-2017
John Grogan missed 2010-2015 & 2015-2017
Christopher Leslie missed 2005-2010
Chris Ruane missed 2015-2017
Joan Ryan missed 2010-2015
Stephen Twigg missed 2005-2010


On another note this is the list of the 31 'two year wonders' who were first elected in 2015 but lost seats (or in three cases retired) in 2017. A special mention also to Sarah Olney in Richmond Park who lasted just six months.

Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh Defeated
Caroline Ansell Defeated
Richard Arkless Defeated
James Berry  Defeated
Victoria Borwick Defeated
Phil  Boswell Defeated
Byron Davies Defeated
James  Davies  Defeated
Stuart  Donaldson Defeated
Flick  Drummond Defeated
Tom  Elliott Defeated
Margaret Ferrier Defeated
Ben  Howlett Defeated
George  Kerevan Defeated
Calum  Kerr Defeated
Danny  Kinahan Defeated
David  Mackintosh Retired
Tania  Mathias Defeated
Callum  McCaig Defeated
Natalie McGarry Retired
Anne  McLaughlin Defeated
Paul Monaghan Defeated
Roger  Mullin Defeated
John  Nicolson Defeated
Kirsten Oswald Defeated
Steven  Paterson Defeated
Amanda  Solloway Defeated
Owen  Thompson Defeated
Michelle Thomson Retired
Craig  Williams Defeated
Corri  Wilson Defeated

[clyde1998]

A couple of similar, but interesting graphs:

[Harry Hayfield]

The effect of Brexit in Wales: In seats that voted REMAIN in 2016 there was a 4.5% swing to Lab (Con +5%, Lab +14%), but in seats that voted LEAVE the swing was only 2.5% to Lab (Con +7%, Lab +12%). Was this the case in every part of the UK (a bigger swing to Lab in REMAIN seats than LEAVE seats)?

[greenhert]

It certainly was, Harry Hayfield. That is why Labour gained Reading East but not Reading West, Portsmouth South but not Portsmouth North, and so on.

[LDCaerdydd]

[Harry Hayfield]

And yet despite all this UKIP carnage, they managed to come third (and a credible third at that) in Thurrock: Con 40% (+6%), Lab 39% (+6%), UKIP 20% (-12%), Lib Dem 1% (unchanged). If there is another general election this year, could Thurrock become the Hartlepool of that election (Lab with UKIP challenging)?

[manchesterman]

Does anyone have a nice handy spreadsheet of the Lab/Con/LD etc targets post-GE2017 please?

Only site Ive seen that has them is electionpolling.co.uk but their format is messy so hard for me to paste across to my current spreadsheet!

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Something quick I knocked up from researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/hocl-ge2017-results-summary.csv

Conservative targets

Majority	Winner	Constituency
0.0	SNP	Perth and North Perthshire
0.1	Lab	Kensington
0.1	Lab	Dudley North
0.1	Lab	Newcastle-Under-Lyme
0.1	Lab	Crewe and Nantwich
0.3	Lab	Canterbury
0.4	Lab	Barrow and Furness
0.5	Lab	Keighley
0.5	SNP	Lanark and Hamilton East
0.9	Lab	Ashfield
1.1	Lab	Stroud
1.2	Lab	Bishop Auckland
1.3	Lab	Peterborough
1.4	LD	Oxford West and Abingdon
1.5	LD	Westmorland and Lonsdale
1.5	Lab	Colne Valley
1.6	Lab	Bedford
1.6	Lab	Ipswich
1.6	Lab	Stockton South
2.2	SNP	Edinburgh South West
2.2	Lab	Warwick and Leamington
2.7	Lab	Penistone and Stocksbridge
2.7	LD	Carshalton and Wallington
2.8	SNP	Argyll and Bute
2.8	LD	Eastbourne
2.8	SNP	Central Ayrshire
3.2	Lab	Lincoln
3.5	Lab	Portsmouth South
4.1	Lab	Warrington South
4.1	Lab	Derby North
4.3	Lab	High Peak
4.4	Lab	Battersea
4.7	Lab	Wakefield
5.2	Lab	Wolverhampton South West
5.2	Lab	Wrexham
5.6	Lab	Stoke-On-Trent North
5.9	Lab	Dewsbury
6.1	Lab	Vale Of Clwyd
6.6	LD	Kingston and Surbiton
6.7	LD	North Norfolk
6.8	Lab	Reading East
7.2	Lab	Gower
7.2	Lab	Blackpool South
7.2	Lab	Great Grimsby
7.3	Lab	Darlington
7.7	SNP	North Ayrshire and Arran
7.8	Lab	Weaver Vale
7.8	Lab	Rother Valley
8.0	Lab	Cardiff North
8.4	Lab	Bolton North East
8.5	Lab	Scunthorpe
8.8	Lab	Bristol North West
9.0	Lab	Enfield, Southgate
9.1	Lab	Gedling
9.1	Lab	Bury North
9.3	Lab	Bassetlaw
9.3	SNP	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey
9.4	Lab	Workington
9.9	Lab	Croydon Central
10.1	Lab	Dagenham and Rainham
10.5	Lab	Birmingham, Northfield
10.8	Lab	Delyn
10.9	Lab	Bridgend
11.1	Lab	Halifax
11.2	Lab	Don Valley
11.4	Lab	Bolsover
11.5	LD	Bath
11.6	Lab	Clwyd South
11.7	Lab	Alyn and Deeside
11.7	Lab	Bury South
11.8	Lab	Stoke-On-Trent Central
12.2	Lab	Wirral West
12.4	Lab	West Bromwich West
12.6	Lab	Wolverhampton North East
12.9	Lab	Hyndburn
13.0	Lab	Newport West
13.3	Lab	Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport
13.5	Lab	Chorley
13.6	Lab	Eltham
14.1	Lab	Ynys Mon
14.5	Lab	Lancaster and Fleetwood
14.6	Lab	Sedgefield
14.7	LD	Twickenham
15.3	Lab	Heywood and Middleton
15.4	SNP	Ross, Skye and Lochaber
15.5	SNP	Dundee East
15.8	Lab	Burnley
15.9	Lab	Birmingham, Edgbaston
16.0	PC	Dwyfor Meirionnydd
16.3	Lab	City Of Chester
16.3	Lab	Bradford South
16.7	Lab	Batley and Spen
16.9	Lab	Coventry South
17.2	Lab	Coventry North West
17.4	Lab	Oldham East and Saddleworth
18.2	Lab	Ilford North
18.3	Lab	Hartlepool
18.4	Lab	North West Durham
18.4	Lab	Worsley and Eccles South
18.4	Lab	Wirral South
18.6	Lab	Blyth Valley
19.0	Lab	Stalybridge and Hyde
19.6	Lab	Birmingham, Erdington
19.7	Lab	West Bromwich East
19.7	Lab	Warrington North
19.8	Lab	Brentford and Isleworth

Labour targets

Majority	Winner	Constituency
0.1	Con	Southampton, Itchen
0.2	SNP	Glasgow South West
0.2	SNP	Glasgow East
0.3	PC	Arfon
0.5	SNP	Airdrie and Shotts
0.6	Con	Pudsey
0.6	Con	Hastings and Rye
0.6	Con	Chipping Barnet
0.7	Con	Thurrock
0.7	Con	Preseli Pembrokeshire
0.8	SNP	Motherwell and Wishaw
1.0	SNP	Inverclyde
1.0	Con	Calder Valley
1.1	Con	Norwich North
1.6	Con	Broxtowe
1.6	Con	Stoke-On-Trent South
1.6	Con	Telford
1.7	SNP	Dunfermline and West Fife
1.8	Con	Bolton West
2.0	Con	Aberconwy
2.0	Con	Northampton North
2.1	Con	Hendon
2.1	Con	Mansfield
2.1	Con	Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
2.7	Con	Milton Keynes South
2.8	Con	Northampton South
2.9	Con	Pendle
2.9	SNP	Edinburgh North and Leith
3.1	Con	Morecambe and Lunesdale
3.1	Con	Milton Keynes North
3.2	Con	Finchley and Golders Green
3.2	SNP	Glasgow North
3.3	Con	Camborne and Redruth
3.3	Con	Putney
3.5	Con	Harrow East
3.6	Con	Watford
3.9	Con	Copeland
4.0	Con	Morley and Outwood
4.1	Con	Vale Of Glamorgan
4.5	Con	Corby
4.5	SNP	Glasgow South
4.8	Con	South Swindon
4.9	Con	Worcester
4.9	Con	Crawley
4.9	Con	Blackpool North and Cleveleys
5.2	SNP	West Dunbartonshire
5.2	Con	Chingford and Woodford Green
5.2	SNP	Linlithgow and East Falkirk
5.6	Con	Reading West
5.6	SNP	Paisley and Renfrewshire North
5.7	Con	North East Derbyshire
6.0	Con	Carlisle
6.1	Con	Southport
6.1	SNP	Paisley and Renfrewshire South
6.3	SNP	Glasgow Central
6.4	Con	Rossendale and Darwen
6.6	SNP	Glasgow North West
6.7	Con	Truro and Falmouth
6.8	SNP	Na h-Eileanan An Iar
6.8	Con	Scarborough and Whitby
6.8	Con	Walsall North
6.9	Con	Stevenage
7.1	SNP	East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
7.4	Con	Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
7.4	SNP	Livingston
7.9	SNP	Edinburgh East
7.9	Con	Loughborough
8.1	SNP	Glenrothes
8.1	Con	Cities Of London and Westminster
8.3	Con	Filton and Bradley Stoke
8.5	Con	Clwyd West
8.8	Con	Shipley
9.1	Con	Erewash
9.1	SNP	Falkirk
9.5	PC	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
9.6	Con	East Worthing and Shoreham
9.7	SNP	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
9.7	Con	Sherwood
10.2	Con	Gloucester
10.3	Con	Nuneaton
10.6	Con	Colchester
10.8	Con	Uxbridge and South Ruislip
10.9	Con	Wimbledon
11.1	Con	Plymouth, Moor View
11.3	SNP	Aberdeen North
11.4	Con	Shrewsbury and Atcham
11.7	Con	Rochford and Southend East
11.8	Con	Halesowen and Rowley Regis
12.2	Con	Altrincham and Sale West
12.3	Con	Wycombe
12.4	Con	Dover
12.8	Con	South Thanet
13.5	SNP	Kilmarnock and Loudoun
13.5	Con	South Ribble
13.6	SNP	Dundee West
13.7	Con	Rushcliffe
14.3	Con	Welwyn Hatfield
14.4	Con	York Outer
14.9	Con	Stafford
15.2	Con	North Swindon
15.4	Con	Kingswood
15.7	Con	Harlow
15.9	Con	Macclesfield
16.0	Con	Rugby
16.2	Con	Stourbridge
16.3	Con	Redditch
16.3	Con	Bournemouth East
16.5	Con	Elmet and Rothwell
16.5	Con	Monmouth
16.9	Con	Basingstoke
17.3	Con	Bournemouth West
17.5	Con	Waveney
17.5	Con	Cannock Chase
18.0	Con	North Warwickshire
18.1	Con	Great Yarmouth
18.1	Con	Hemel Hempstead
18.1	Con	Amber Valley
18.3	Con	Rochester and Strood
18.4	Con	Forest Of Dean
18.6	Con	Croydon South
18.9	Con	North East Somerset
19.1	Con	Gravesham
19.3	Con	Gillingham and Rainham
19.3	Con	The Wrekin
19.4	Con	Chelsea and Fulham

[Harry Hayfield]

Which means that in order to win the next election, Labour need to ensure a 3.7% swing from Con (that means a national Con lead of 2% becomes a national Lab lead of 5%) but giving the polling fail we have at this election, that will be reflected in the polls as a Labour lead of 10% or greater.

[manchesterman]

Thanks David. Appreciate the quick reply.

Does anyone have it organised into an excel spreadsheet? It isn't letting me copy the info across smoothly from here to excel for some reason?

[Deleted]

Amused that North Warwickshire is now as strong for the Tories as Chelsea and Fulham.

[Andrew_S]

Labour got less than 10,000 votes in just 33 constituencies in England:

Eastbourne 4,671
Westmorland & Lonsdale 4,783
Norfolk North 5,180
Cheltenham 5,408
Richmond Park 5,773
Winchester 6,007
Lewes 6,060
Thornbury & Yate 6,112
Twickenham 6,114
Cornwall North 6,151
Dorset Mid & Poole North 6,423
Devon East 6,857
Devon North 7,063
Wells 7,129
Bath 7,279
St Ives 7,298
Yeovil 7,418
Oxford West & Abingdon 7,573
Surrey South West 7,606
Mole Valley 7,864
Newbury 8,596
Hazel Grove 9,036
Kingston & Surbiton 9,203
Torbay 9,310
Carshalton & Wallington 9,360
Wiltshire North 9,399
Hampshire East 9,411
Herefordshire North 9,495
Romsey & Southampton North 9,614
Taunton Deane 9,689
New Forest West 9,739
Meon Valley 9,932
Hampshire North East 9,982

[minionofmidas]

Labour's vote remains the most effectively distributed of the three main parties in Scotland and the SNP's the least, and to an insane degree. Apply a uniform swing to thursday's results to make the three parties exactly equal - perhaps not that farfetched if there's new elections soon - and you come out with 30 seats for Labour vs 6 for the SNP (18 Tories, 5 LDs). They're very different seats from what the SNP used to represent, of course - two in Dundee, two in the Highlands, Aberdeen N and Kilmarnock & Loudoun.

[Foggy]

Jun 18, 2017 21:46:27 GMT Andrew_S said:

Labour got less fewer than 10,000 votes in just 33 constituencies in England:

Eastbourne 4,671

Thornbury & Yate 6,112

Devon East 6,857

Wells 7,129

Newbury 8,596

Taunton Deane 9,689

Three seats I've lived in and three more to which I have close family links.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

'Less' with things measured by amount and 'fewer' with things measured by counting is a purely arbitrary and invented custom and isn't a rule in English grammar.

[clyde1998]

Jun 18, 2017 21:46:27 GMT Andrew_S said:

Labour got less than 10,000 votes in just 33 constituencies in England:

Newbury 8,596

My constituency. Labour actually had their best result here since 1979 (in percentage terms, at least) and managed a double digit percentage for the first time since then, for some context - just showing how badly they've done here in the last few decades. Whether this hints at a long term revival here or not is yet to be seen.

[Foggy]

Jun 20, 2017 22:57:19 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

'Less' with things measured by amount and 'fewer' with things measured by counting is a purely arbitrary and invented custom and isn't a rule in English grammar.

Of all the arbitrary and invented customs, I find it the most useful one. The English language is wonderfully open and flexible, so of course someone who uses 'less' before a countable noun will invariably be understood, but I do consider it a measure of accuracy of thought when someone can show that their mind makes the distinction between mass and count nouns.

That was my edit to the post, anyhow. I originally replied just to show how I've always been based in places where people are wise enough to see – at best – very limited appeal in the Labour Party.

[johnloony]

Jun 20, 2017 22:57:19 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

'Less' with things measured by amount and 'fewer' with things measured by counting is a purely arbitrary and invented custom and isn't a rule in English grammar.

Perhaps we should apply, to the details of grammatical correctness, the constitutional doctrine of Professor J.A.G. Griffith that "the constitution is what happens". Thus, any custom can become a "rule" if enough pedants and grammarians say so and insist on it, regardless of the existence or otherwise of historical roots and references to back it up. It's a bit like the invention in the 19th century of an ancient culture of Welsh bards and druids, the resurrection of the Cornish language, or the addition of the letter P to the word "ptarmigan".