The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,813
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Post by The Bishop on May 5, 2024 10:35:27 GMT
Sakina Sheikh (Labour) has lost her seat. By only a small margin, it turns out - commiserations.
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myth11
Non-Aligned
too busy at work!
Posts: 2,745
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Post by myth11 on May 5, 2024 14:20:33 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote.
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Post by yellowfox on May 5, 2024 16:23:20 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote. As you (apparently) only need 2.5% here to save your deposit, Rejoin are actually getting their £5k back. Pretty decent performance for a minor party and the first to save their deposit since the WEP in 2016.
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Post by evergreenadam on May 5, 2024 17:03:36 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote. How many votes did Rejoin get? The Lib Dems always get less votes in the Assembly list election than in the Assembly constituency election. In SW there was a big disparity between the two this year.
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myth11
Non-Aligned
too busy at work!
Posts: 2,745
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Post by myth11 on May 5, 2024 17:09:35 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote. How many votes did Rejoin get? The Lib Dems always get less votes in the Assembly list election than in the Assembly constituency election. In SW there was a big disparity between the two this year. A bit over 62k
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Post by michaelarden on May 5, 2024 18:32:52 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote. The Lib Dems aren't currently a rejoin party though are they? The Greens I believe have an explicit rejoin policy as do the SNP. (But I can't imagine the SNP getting many votes on the list).
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Post by yellowfox on May 5, 2024 19:10:48 GMT
I do wonder if Rejoin cost the Lib Dems that 2nd list seat as the Lib Dems got around 268k on the FPTP vote and 215k on the list vote. The Lib Dems aren't currently a rejoin party though are they? The Greens I believe have an explicit rejoin policy as do the SNP. (But I can't imagine the SNP getting many votes on the list). It probably depends on how many of the rejoin voters would have otherwise voted lib dem in relative terms with the other parties. I can imagine many (but not all) would have and, ofcourse, the lib dems were actually behind a labour, reform and conservative candidate for the the final list seat. They'd have wanted 8,000*3 so 24,000 more votes than Labour (while at least matching the greens) out of the rejoin bundle. This is possible on 62000 rejoin votes but probably not likely.
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