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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2017 7:16:10 GMT
Yes it must have impressed on her that the best way to get into the national legislature is to carpetbag a winnable seat, lose it twice and then get yourself appointed to the unelected chamber instead
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Post by yellowperil on Apr 21, 2017 7:27:26 GMT
Yes- not being good at elections was obviously in the genes - her Mum Jeanne wasn't all that great at it either.  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2017 10:02:05 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 21, 2017 10:04:35 GMT
Relatively big turnout. There were 3,800 voters in the full council election in 2014.
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ColinJ
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 21, 2017 10:06:43 GMT
37% seems like one of the highest local by-election turnouts that we've had for some time. Have the Tories mobilised their vote?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2017 10:13:15 GMT
37% seems like one of the highest local by-election turnouts that we've had for some time. Have the Tories mobilised their vote? I hope so - I need them to win or come very close to doing so |
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mondialito
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Post by mondialito on Apr 21, 2017 10:23:50 GMT
37% seems like one of the highest local by-election turnouts that we've had for some time. Have the Tories mobilised their vote? I remember the turnout at Copeland being larger than expected too.  |
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Post by andrew111 on Apr 21, 2017 10:38:43 GMT
Oh dear, I overestimated the LD vote because I assumed that they were running a proper campaign because it was a relatively high profile candidate who I assumed would expect it. From the figures I assume in fact Lizzie was lending her name to a paper candidacy, doing her bit for the party where the mantra is "always stand a candidate". I am dubious about this instruction if it means putting a candidate with a reputation to lose into a humiliating position. I remember a case in my own experience where the boot was on the other foot- years ago, our local Tories were struggling to find a candidate to stand against our group leader, very well entrenched in his ward. They persuaded an ex-MP (Tim Brinton) to stand and it was quite extreme - Tim struggled to get his vote into double figures. I'm sure he was doing his bit for his party, but I cannot see for the life of me what benefit his party gained from this humiliation.Incidentally it must have impressed his daughter Sal, who went on to join the LibDems and is the current national party president.. yes, given that she is PPC I would have thought she would have made sure enough was done to get into double figures. It should not have been difficult in present circumstances.. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Apr 21, 2017 10:47:36 GMT
The Conservatives have gained Kenton East
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ColinJ
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 21, 2017 10:54:19 GMT
The Conservatives have gained Kenton East Reported on Tory leader's twitter account, no figures yet. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Apr 21, 2017 10:57:21 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 21, 2017 10:57:53 GMT
HARROW Kenton East
Nitesh Vishram Hirani (Conservative) 1,585
Nishit Patel (Labour) 1,328
Annabel Charis Rebecca Croft (Liberal Democrat) 65
Herbert Winford Crossman (Independent) 54
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ColinJ
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 21, 2017 11:02:53 GMT
HARROW Kenton East Nitesh Vishram Hirani (Conservative) 1,585 Nishit Patel (Labour) 1,328 Annabel Charis Rebecca Croft (Liberal Democrat) 65 Herbert Winford Crossman (Independent) 54 Mistake on Council web site, Crossman UKIP of course. 8,307 electors 18 rejected papers 36.7% turnout |
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ColinJ
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 21, 2017 11:04:48 GMT
Huge blow for Labour with GE coming up. Not all of this can be blamed on Temple Politics.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 21, 2017 11:19:21 GMT
Huge blow for Labour with GE coming up. Not all of this can be blamed on Temple Politics. Its not good, no. Though it was noted upthread that - unlike some of Harrow - this ward has become less safe for Labour in recent years, despite the fact demographics "should" have moved it their favour. So what is going on there? |
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Post by Robert Waller on Apr 21, 2017 11:19:40 GMT
Kenton East (Harrow) result
CON: 52.3% (+19.5)
LAB: 43.8% (+1.3)
LDEM: 2.1% (+2.1)
UKIP: 1.8% (-9.6)
*ILG: 0.0% (-13.4)
ILG: Ind Lab Group
I presume the changes are from 2014 London Borough elections.
However there must also have been a pro-C swing since the 2016 GLA elections, both list and constituency.
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Post by islington on Apr 21, 2017 12:16:08 GMT
Harrow East
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 21, 2017 12:40:57 GMT
Quite the contrast, which is very interesting given the wards in question.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 21, 2017 12:52:00 GMT
The previous Harrow byelection last month saw the disappearance of "Independent Labour" benefit Labour, this time it was the Tories.
Which does suggest something other than just the national picture at work here.
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Post by johnloony on Apr 21, 2017 13:08:10 GMT
The previous Harrow byelection last month saw the disappearance of "Independent Labour" benefit Labour, this time it was the Tories. Which does suggest something other than just the national picture at work here. I think that the disappearance of the ILG *did* benefit Labour (Labour went up by 1%), but there was also a big swing from Labour to Conservative which cancelled it out. |
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