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Post by middleenglander on Oct 30, 2016 9:42:35 GMT
There looks to be 27 by-elections during November - a Conservative was returned unopposed in a further vacant seat which would have made 28 if it had been contested.
* 10 on 3rd November
* 4 on 10th
* 4 on 17th
* 8 on 24th - originally scheduled for 9
* 1 on 28th - a Monday
14 of the contests are for District Councils
- 7 with annual elections last contested in May, 1 having had a by-election in the same ward on 15th September
- 2 with "all out" elections last May
- 5 with elections every 4 years, 3 of which are for single member seats
1 is for a Metropolitan Borough where there was a by-election in the same ward on 15th September
2 are for Unitary Councils last contested in 2015
3 are in London Boroughs last contested in 2014
1 is for a County Council contested in 2013
4 are in Scotland and 2 in Wales last contested in 2012.
Conservatives are now defending 10 seats - 5 arising from the death of the previous councillor, 5 after a resignation
Labour is defending 11 seats, 4 following a death and 7 a resignation
Liberal Democrats defend 3 seats, 1 a death and 2 resignations
SNP, Green and Independents each defend 1 seat, SNP after a death with Green and Independent following a resignation.
With nominations available for all the 27 contested seats:
Conservatives and Labour each have 26 candidates, Liberal Democrats 24, UKIP 15, Green 11, SNP 4, Plaid Cymru 2 whilst there are 5 Independents contesting 4 seats
- in addition there is an English Democrat, Newcastle First and a No Descrription making a total of 116 candidates for the 27 seats.
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Post by lancastrian on Oct 30, 2016 16:58:04 GMT
Banff: SNP 52 Con 30 LD 18
Inverurie: SNP 42 Con 26 LD 22 Lab 10
Cardiff: PC 36 Lab 35 LD 16 Con 8 UKIP 5
Eastleigh: LD 50 Con 25 Lab 15 UKIP 10
Gloucester: Con 48 LD 29 Lab 15 UKIP 8
Hackney: Lab 64 Green 18 LD 10 Con 8
Lancashire: Lab 56 LD 24 UKIP 15 Green 5
Medway: Con 46 Lab 23 UKIP 20 Green 5 LD 4 ED 2
Reigate: Con 60 UKIP 18 Lab 17 Green 5
Glamorgan: Lab 47 Ind 25 Con 10 PC 8 LD 5 UKIP 5
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Post by marksenior on Nov 2, 2016 22:33:30 GMT
Aberdeenshire Banff SNP 54 Con 32 LD 14
Aberdeenshire Inverurie SNP 39 Con 28 LD 24 Lab 9
Cardiff Lab 33 Plaid 32 LD 26 Con 6 UKIP 3
Eastleigh LD 48 Con 26 UKIP 15 Lab 11
Gloucester Con 45 LD 30 Lab 17 UKIP 8
Hackney Lab 62 Green 15 Con 14 LD 9
Lancashire Lab 52 LD 26 UKIP 18 Green 4
Medway Con 53 Lab 19 UKIP 15 Green 6 LD 5 ED 2
Reigate Con 62 UKIP 16 Lab 15 Green 7
Vale of Glamorgan Lab 49 Plaid 16 Con 15 Ind 10 LD 8 UKIP 2
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Post by finsobruce on Nov 2, 2016 23:58:54 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Banff: SNP 50, CON 30, LD 20
Aberdeenshire, Inverurie: LD 33, SNP 32, Con 28, Lab 7
Cardiff, Grangetown: Lab 35, LD 33, PC 29, UKIP 3
Eastleigh, Fair Oak & Horton Heath: LD 52, Con 27, UKIP 11, Lab 10
Gloucester, Longlevens : Con 40, LD 35, Lab 13, UKIP 12
Hackney, Hoxton West Lab 63, Green 16, Con 11, LD 10
Lancashire, Burnley Central East: Lab 48, LD 31, UKIP 18, Green 3
Medway, Rainham Central: Con 50, UKIP 20, LD 15, Lab 10, Green 3 ED 2
Reigate & Banstead, Kingwood with Burgh Heath: Con 69, UKIP 13, Lab 12, Green 6
Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown: Lab 44, Ind 26, PC 15, Con 6, UKIP 5, LD 4
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 3, 2016 0:57:43 GMT
ABERDEENSHIRE Banff and District - Aberdeenshire: SNP 55, C 33, L Dem 12
ABERDEENSHIRE Inverurie and District - Aberdeenshire: SNP 46, C 33, L Dem 12, Lab 9
CARDIFF Grangetown: PC 38, Lab 36, L Dem 14, C 9, UKIP 3
EASTLEIGH Fair Oak and Horton Heath: L Dem 55, C 29, UKIP 10, Lab 6
GLOUCESTER Longlevens: C 58, Lab 21, L Dem 12, UKIP 9
HACKNEY Hoxton West: Lab 66, C 22, GP 8, L Dem 4
LANCASHIRE Burnley Central East: Lab 56, UKIP 24, L Dem 17, GP 3
MEDWAY Rainham Central: C 45, Lab 21, UKIP 19, GP 6, L Dem 5, ED 4
REIGATE AND BANSTEAD Kingswood with Burgh Heath: C 64, Lab 18, UKIP 12, GP 6
VALE OF GLAMORGAN Gibbonsdown: Lab 39, Ind 31, C 15, L Dem 7, PC 4, UKIP 4
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Post by greenhert on Nov 3, 2016 1:20:58 GMT
Aberdeenshire UA, Banff: SNP 51, Conservatives 28, Liberal Democrats 21.
Aberdeenshire UA, Inverurie & District: Lib Dem 34, SNP 32, Con 29, Lab 5.
Cardiff UA, Grangetown: Plaid Cymru 38, Lab 36, Lib Dem 12, Con 10, UKIP 4.
Eastleigh BC, Fair Oak & Horton Heath: Lib Dem 50, Con 30, Lab 11, UKIP 9.
Gloucester BC, Longlevens: Con 42, Lib Dem 38, Lab 12, UKIP 8.
Hackney LBC, Hoxton West: Lab 62, Green 15, Lib Dem 13, Con 10.
Lancashire CC, Burnley Central East: Lab 51, Lib Dem 32, UKIP 12,Green 5.
Medway UA, Rainham Central: Con 49, UKIP 18, Lib Dem 14, Lab 13, Green 4, English Democrats 2.
Reigate & Banstead BC, Kingwood with Burgh Heath: Con 66, UKIP 13, Lab 12, Green 9.
Vale of Glamorgan UA, Gibbonsdown: Lab 46, Independent (Harkus) 25, Plaid Cymru 11, Con 8, Lib Dem 5, UKIP 5.
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 3, 2016 1:36:40 GMT
ABERDEENSHIRE Banff and District - Aberdeenshire: SNP 51, C 35, L Dem 14
ABERDEENSHIRE Inverurie and District - Aberdeenshire: SNP 39, C 32, L Dem 18, Lab 11
CARDIFF Grangetown: PC 36, Lab 35, L Dem 22, C 5, UKIP 2
EASTLEIGH Fair Oak and Horton Heath: L Dem 55, C 29, UKIP 10, Lab 6
GLOUCESTER Longlevens: C 45, Lab 18, L Dem 30, UKIP 7
HACKNEY Hoxton West: Lab 60, C 16, GP 11, L Dem 13
LANCASHIRE Burnley Central East: Lab 50, UKIP 19, L Dem 28, GP 3
MEDWAY Rainham Central: C 51, Lab 16, UKIP 20, GP 3, L Dem 8, ED 2
REIGATE AND BANSTEAD Kingswood with Burgh Heath: C 73, Lab 10, UKIP 13, GP 4
VALE OF GLAMORGAN Gibbonsdown: Lab 43, Ind 24, C 16, L Dem 7, PC 7, UKIP 3
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Nov 3, 2016 4:16:08 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Banff: SNP 42, Con 40, LD 18
Aberdeenshire, Inverurie: SNP 38, Con 31, LD 21, Lab 10
Cardiff, Grangetown: Lab 36, PC 31, LD 23, Con 8, UKIP 2
Eastleigh, Fair Oak & Horton Heath: LD 47.2, Con 25, UKIP 17.4, Lab 10.4
Gloucester, Longlevens : Con 49, Lab 23, LD 17, UKIP 11
Hackney, Hoxton West Lab 56, Grn 22, Con 11, LD 11
Lancashire, Burnley Central East: Lab 64, LD 18, UKIP 17, Grn 1
Medway, Rainham Central: Con 52, UKIP 19.8, Lab 12, Grn 8, LD 7, ED 1.2
Reigate & Banstead, Kingwood with Burgh Heath: Con 64, UKIP 15, Grn 11, Lab 10
Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown: Lab 55, Ind 27, PC 7, Con 7, LD 3, UKIP 1
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Post by hempie on Nov 3, 2016 8:26:03 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Banff: SNP 41, Con 37, LD 22
Aberdeenshire, Inverurie: SNP 37, Con 32, LD 23, Lab 8
Cardiff, Grangetown: Lab 34, PC 30, LD 23, Con 10, UKIP 3
Eastleigh, Fair Oak & Horton Heath: LD 51, Con 24, UKIP 16, Lab 9
Gloucester, Longlevens : Con 47, Lab 22, LD 21, UKIP 10
Hackney, Hoxton West Lab 58, Green 20, LD 12, Con 10
Lancashire, Burnley Central East: Lab 63, LD 20, UKIP 14, Green 3
Medway, Rainham Central: Con 50, UKIP 22, Lab 15, LD 6, Green 4, ED 3
Reigate & Banstead, Kingwood with Burgh Heath: Con 61, UKIP 17, Green 11, Lab 11
Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown: Lab 48, Ind 30, PC 8, Con 7, LD 4, UKIP 3
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 3, 2016 9:16:26 GMT
Hackney LB - Hoxton West Lab 61.5% Con 15.3% Grn 13.3% LD 9.9% Medway UA - Rainham Central Con 51.8% UKIP 17.7% Lab 16.9% LD 7.5% Grn 4.4% ED 1.7% Lancashire CC - Burnley Central East Lab 58.7% LD 23.1% UKIP 14.4% Grn 3.8% Eastleigh BC - Fair Oak & Horton Heath LD 49.8% Con 24.6% UKIP 14.7% Lab 10.9% Gloucester BC - Longlevens Con 48.4% LD 25.1% Lab 16.1% UKIP 10.4% Reigate & Banstead BC - Kingswood with Burgh Heath Con 66.5% UKIP 16.2% Lab 11.2% Grn 6.1% Aberdeenshire - Banff & District SNP 55.3% Con 25.3% LD 19.4% Aberdeenshire - Inverurie & District SNP 35.2% LD 31.8% Con 20.1% Lab 12.9% Cardiff CC - Grangetown Lab 32.3% PC 30.9% LD 25.3% Con 9.0% UKIP 2.5% Vale of Glamorgan CC - Gibbonsdown Lab 47.0% Ind 18.7% PC 15.6% Con 9.5% UKIP 5.5% LD 3.7% |
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 3, 2016 18:12:45 GMT
9 entries for the first week of November with nothing from Lennon and still no return of Tony Otim.
Aberdeenshire, Banff & District: 100% SNP ahead on first preferences with all but Maxque (SNP 42%, 2% ahead of Conservative) and hempie (41%, 4% ahead) having SNP 50% or more at 1st stage
Aberdeenshire, Inverurie & District: 7 SNP ahead on first preferences, Pete Whitehead with Liberal Democrat second everyone else Conservative, finsobruce & Greenhert Liberal Democrat ahead
Cardiff, Grangetown: 5 Labour hold with David Boothroyd, Greenhert, Lancastrian and Robert Waller Plaid Cymru gain
Eastleigh, Fair Oak & Horton Heath: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 20% (Greenhert) to 27% (hempie)
Gloucester, Longlevens: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 4% (Greenhert over Liberal Democrat) to 37% (David Boothroyd over Labour)
Hackney, Hoxton West: 100% Labour hold with majority ranging from 34% (Maxque over Green) to 47% (finsobruce, Greenhert and Mark Senior all over Green)
Lancashire, Burnley Central East: 100% Labour hold with majority all but hempie over Liberal Democrat ranging from 17% (finsobruce) to 46% (Maxque)
Medway, Rainham Central: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 23% (Lancastrian over Labour) to 34.1% (Pete Whitehead over UKIP)
Reigate & Banstead, Kingswood with Burgh Heath: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 42% (Lancastrian over UKIP) to 60% (Robert Waller over UKIP)
Vale of Glamorgan, Gibb0nsdown: 100% Labour hold with majority all but Mark Senior over Independent ranging from 8% (David Boothroyd) to 33% (Mark Senior over Plaid Cymru)
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 0:24:14 GMT
M.E. may have gone to bed by now, but I roughly make it after eight of the ten results, that Pete has a narrow lead from Greenhert, with Mark Senior, myself and Lancastrian vying for third/fourth/fifth.
12.53 a.m.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 4, 2016 1:46:15 GMT
I make it Greenhert in the lead after 8 following very good results in Cardiff and Gloucester. My reliabilty in these matters often leaves a lot to be desired though
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 4, 2016 8:05:59 GMT
I'm reasonably sure of myself on this occasion though - I suspect Robert may not have factored in my wrong-winner faults for Cardiff ?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 4, 2016 12:53:10 GMT
These stupid Scottish places have pure fucked me up this week
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 14:37:39 GMT
Yes, definitely a Greenhert win this week, though I think Hempie and Maxque did best in predicting Scotland.
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 4, 2016 17:25:24 GMT
Week 1 NovemberAuthority
Division / Ward | David
Boothroyd | finsobruce | Greenhert | hempie | Lancastrian | Mark
Senior | Maxque | Pete
Whitehead | Robert
Waller | Aberdeenshire
Banff & District | 37.6+10
| 28.0+10
| 32.0+10
| 14.0+10
| 31.6+10
| 35.6+10
| 11.6+10
| 38.2+10
| 29.6+10
| Aberdeenshire
Inverurie & District | 32.4+10
| 26.8+10
| 24.8+10
| 13.5+10
| 26.4+10
| 21.5+10
| 18.4+10
| 37.3+10
| 22.4+10
| Cardiff
Grangetown | 14.8
| 52.8+10
| 10.8
| 32.8+10
| 18.8
| 38.8+10
| 32.8+10
| 37.4+10
| 30.8
| Eastleigh
Fair Oak &N Horton Heath | 17.9
| 17.3
| 15.3
| 13.5
| 23.3
| 11.3
| 11.5
| 14.7
| 17.9
| Gloucester
Longlevens | 49.8
| 16.2
| 8.4
| 31.8
| 15.8
| 16.2
| 39.8
| 23.6
| 16.7
| Hackney
Hoxton West
| 17.4
| 15.2
| 19.2
| 27.2
| 19.2
| 13.7
| 29.2
| 13.6
| 16.6
| Lancashire
Burnley Central East
| 28.3
| 44.3
| 37.2
| 14.3
| 25.8
| 34.3
| 16.3
| 21.3
| 40.3
| Medway
Rainham Central | 33.8
| 29.3
| 25.3
| 22.2
| 33.8
| 20.7
| 21.3
| 18.6
| 20.2
| Reigate & Banstead
Kingswood with Burgh Heath | 21.6
| 9.6
| 15.6
| 24.6
| 26.6
| 22.6
| 18.6
| 13.6
| 3.2
| Vale of Glamorgan
Gibbonsdown | 52.9
| 31.5
| 31.5
| 39.7
| 31.5
| 21.8
| 45.7
| 16.3
| 40.9
| Total faults
Position for week
| 326.7
9th
| 301.1
8th
| 240.1
1st
| 263.7
3rd
| 272.8
6th
| 266.5
5th
| 275.2
7th
| 264.7
4th
| 258.8
2nd
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Objections please by noon Sunday. There are 4 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday. We are having a few days R&R so will be Friday evening before any formal results can be posted. In the meantime if DROs could please assist.
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Post by lancastrian on Nov 6, 2016 15:46:11 GMT
Greenwich: Lab 39 Con 35 UKIP 15 LD 7 Green 4
Horsham: Con 48 LD 30 Lab 12 UKIP 10
N Herts: Lab 38 Ind 23 Con 19 LD 15 Green 5
Wandsworth: Con 45 Lab 40 Green 8 LD 7
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 6, 2016 20:46:58 GMT
These stupid Scottish places have pure fucked me up this week Do you remember my comments on Culloden? I was going to comment on these two but saw a note posted saying the Conservatives had hopes and left it at that as it is further away and in an area I thought Boogie might have posted about. The tide is turning here as I have been stating on and off since the GE 2015. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 6, 2016 21:31:13 GMT
These stupid Scottish places have pure fucked me up this week Do you remember my comments on Culloden? I was going to comment on these two but saw a note posted saying the Conservatives had hopes and left it at that as it is further away and in an area I thought Boogie might have posted about. The tide is turning here as I have been stating on and off since the GE 2015. Yes I have become accustomed to factoring a small but discernable pro-Tory swing in al Scottish by-elections lately but this was well beyond the usual |
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