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Post by middleenglander on Oct 7, 2016 11:52:00 GMT
After 8 I've dropped out of the running with Mark taking the lead and Robert, Maxque and David all bunched very closely just behind. Basingstoke not likely to have very much impact on that Greenhert in lead after 8? Yes |
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 7, 2016 13:35:37 GMT
See whether this works: | Authority | Basingstoke
& Deane | Bolton | Caerphilly | Caerphilly | East Devon | Glasgow | Haringey | Hartlepool | Highland | Total | Ward / Division | Basing | Rumworth | Gilfach | Risca East | Exmouth
Brixington | Garscadden /
Scotstounhill | St Ann's | Headland &
Harbour | Cullodon &
Ardersier | faults | David Boothroyd | 6.5
| 20.8
| 46.1
| 15.8
| 17.3
| 14.9+10
| 24.1
| 29.5
| 33.5
| 218.4 | finsobruce | 22.5 | 33.7
| 34.1
| 10.2
| 22.1+10
| 18.9+10
| 12.6
| 52.3+10
| 51.3
| 287.8
| Greenhert | 4.5
| 21.7
| 28.3
| 19.8
| 1.4
| 17.6+10
| 19.3
| 37.5+10
| 37.3
| 207.5
| hempie | 18.5
| 33.7
| 20.1
| 18.3
| 16.1+10
| 21.6+10
| 27.3
| 39.0+10
| 41.9
| 266.5
| Lancastrian | 4.9
| 26.8
| 18.3
| 20.8
| 18.1+10
| 15.2+10
| 36.2
| 35.5+10
| 37.9
| 243.9
| Lennon | 14.5
| 41.0
| 15.7
| 42.3
| 16.1+10
| 25.6+10
| 8.2
| 49.0+10
| 63.9+10
| 316.4
| Mark Senior | 4.5
| 21.7
| 28.3
| 16.5
| 7.3
| 13.6+10
| 16.2
| 38.3+10
| 43.3
| 209.8
| Maxque | 4.9
| 15.8
| 37.5
| 28.3
| 15.3
| 11.9
| 17.3
| 42.0+10
| 27.5
| 210.5
| peter1 | 10.9
| 26.8
| 29.1
| 35.8
| 5.3
| 15.6+10
| 9.4
| 36.3
| 49.3+10
| 238.5
| Pete Whitehead | 11.3
| 17.5
| 37.5
| 5.0+0.1 | 12.7+10
| 23.3+10
| 18.4
| 40.1+10
| 41.5
| 237.5
| Robert Waller | 24.5
| 21.0
| 32.1
| 13.8
| 4.7
| 13.2+10
| 22.1
| 38.3+10
| 45.9
| 235.6 |
So its Greenhert, Mark Senior and Maxque with then David Boothroyd followed by Robert Waller, Pete Whitehead and Peter1 all bunched together. Objections please by noon Sunday. There are 10 by-elections next week. Predictions on the thread by 9.0 am Thursday. |
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Post by lennon on Oct 7, 2016 13:53:16 GMT
Congratulations to greenhert for the week and thanks to middleenglander for the results table format. Following on from the Ryder Cup - I found it interesting to compare the results above with a 'Matchplay' version. (9 Contests - 1 Point each for "winning" the contest). For this week that gives: Maxque with 3, myself with 2, greenhert with 1.5, Pete and David with 1 each and Mark Senior with 1/2. Clearly when I am wrong, I am *very* wrong... |
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 7, 2016 17:33:51 GMT
Thank you for adding up, as ever, Middleenglander; and for trying a new layout.
For my own part, I'd just opine that interesting as it looks, I found the 'old way' slightly easier to follow on here - and the new method doesn't work at all well on my i phone.
Any way, I blew it on the last result to declare - which often seems to happen. In this case, I overestimated a Liberal Democrat local byelection performance. usually hard to do!
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Post by lancastrian on Oct 9, 2016 0:05:58 GMT
Entering early, as I haven't entered much previously because I forget or don't have time on Wednesday.
Cumbria LD 56 Con 29 Lab 8 Green 7
Kent Con 45 Lab 33 UKIP 17 Green 5
Lancaster Lab 42 MBI 19 UKIP 18 Con 14 LD 4 Green 3
Lewisham Brockley Lab 47 Green 26 LD 9 Con 8 UKIP 5 WE 5
Lewisham Evelyn Lab 52 PBP 18 Green 12 LD 8 Con 5 Ind 5
North Kesteven Lincs Ind 50 Con 35 LD 15
Poole LD 45 Con 35 UKIP 10 Lab 5 Green 5
Sevenoaks Con 53 Lab 27 UKIP 12 LD 8
South Lakeland LD 55 Con 38 Green 7
Tandridge Con 48 LD 24 Res 20 Lab 8
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 12, 2016 11:38:44 GMT
Cumbria, Windemere: LD 60,CON 30, LAB 5, Green 5
South Lakeland, Bowness North: LD 60, CON 35, Green 5
Kent, Swanley: CON 35, LAB 30, UKIP 25, LD 10
Sevenoaks, Christchurch & Swanley Village: CON 40, LAB 30, UKIP 25,LD 5
Lancaster, Westgate: LAB 37, CON 25, UKIP 20, MBI 10, GREEN 4 , LD 4
Lewsisham, Brockley: LAB 50, Green 25, LD 12,CON 7, WEP 3, UKIP 3
Lewisham, Evelyn LAB 45, Green 20, PBP 18, LD 10, IND 4, CON 3
North Kesteven, Cliff Villages: LINCS IND 55 , CON 30 , LD 15
Poole, Broadstone: LD 40, CON 30 , UKIP 15 , Green 8 , LAB 7
Tandridge,Limpsfield: CON 44, RES 27 , LD 26 , LAB 3
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Post by lennon on Oct 12, 2016 16:52:11 GMT
Windermere - Cumbria CC: LD 65%, Con 27%, Lab 5%, Grn 3%
Windermere Bowness North - South Lakeland DC: LD 65%, Con 30%, Grn 5%
Swanley - Kent CC: Con 38%, Lab 32%, UKIP 23%, LD 7%
Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village - Sevenoaks DC: Con 40%, Lab 30%, UKIP 20%, LD 10%
Westgate - Lancaster City: Lab 55%, MBI 16%, Con 14%, UKIP 7%, LD 5%, Grn 3%
Brockley - Lewisham LBC: Lab 45%, Grn 40%, Con 5%, LD 5%, WEP 3%, UKIP 2%
Evelyn - Lewisham LBC: Lab 50%, LPBP 20%, Grn 15%, LD 7%, Con 5%, Ind 3%
Cliff Villages - North Kesteven DC: Lincs Ind 60%, Con 25%, LD 15%
Broadstone - Poole UA: LD 55%, Con 30%, Grn 5%, UKIP 5%, Lab 5%
Limpsfield - Tandridge DC: Con 50%, LD 25%, ResGrp 20%, Lab 5%
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Post by marksenior on Oct 12, 2016 21:09:55 GMT
Cumbria Windemere LD 67 Con 22 Lab 7 Green 4
S Lakeland Bowness North LD 63 Con 28 Green 9
Kent Swanley Con 36 Lab 30 UKIP 24 LD 12
Sevenoaks Swanley Con 42 Lab 29 UKIP 22 LD 7
Lancaster Westgate Lab 40 MBI 19 Con 16 UKIP 13 Green 8 LD 4
Lewisham Brockley Lab 48 Green 27 Con 8 LD 8 WEP 6 UKIP 3
Lewisham Evelyn Lab 51 LPBP 19 Green 11 LD 9 Con 7 Ind 3
N Kesteven Cliff Villages Lincs Ind 53 Con 35 LD 12
Poole Broadstone LD 44 Con 33 UKIP 9 Green 8 Lab 6
Tandridge Limpsfield Con 53 Res 22 LD 19 Lab 6
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Post by greenhert on Oct 12, 2016 21:11:50 GMT
Cumbria CC, Windermere: Liberal Democrats 62, Conservative 28, Green 5, Labour 5.
South Lakeland DC, Windermere Bowness North: Lib Dem 63, Con 31, Green 6.
Kent CC, Swanley: Con 37, UKIP 29, Lab 28, Lib Dem 6.
Sevenoaks DC, Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village: Con 45, Lab 28, UKIP 20, Lib Dem 7.
Lancaster BC, Westgate: Lab 45, Morecambe Bay Independents 20, Con 18, UKIP 9, Lib Dem 5, Green 3.
Lewisham LBC, Brockley: Lab 46, Green 40, Con 5, Lib Dem 4, Women's Equality Party 3, UKIP 2.
Lewisham LBC, Evelyn: Lab 50, Lewisham People Before Profit 18, Green 16, Lib Dem 8, Con 6, Independent (Barkwith) 2.
North Kesteven DC, Cliff Villages: Lincolnshire Independents 57, Con 30, Lib Dem 13.
Poole UA, Broadstone: Lib Dem 44, Con 38, UKIP 9, Lab 5, Green 4.
Tandridge DC, Limpsfield: Con 52, Residents 25, Lib Dem 18, Lab 5.
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 12, 2016 21:31:16 GMT
Cumbria CC, Windermere: Liberal Democrats 65, Conservative 27, Green 3, Labour 5.
South Lakeland DC, Windermere Bowness North: Lib Dem 63, Con 31, Green 6.
Kent CC, Swanley: Con 46, UKIP 19, Lab 27, Lib Dem 8.
Sevenoaks DC, Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village: Con 51, Lab 24, UKIP 16, Lib Dem 9.
Lancaster BC, Westgate: Lab 34, Morecambe Bay Independents 18, Con 27, UKIP 12, Lib Dem 6, Green 3.
Lewisham LBC, Brockley: Lab 56, Green 23, Con 7, Lib Dem 8, Women's Equality Party 4, UKIP 2.
Lewisham LBC, Evelyn: Lab 55, Lewisham People Before Profit 18, Green 8, Lib Dem 7, Con 8, Independent (Barkwith) 4.
North Kesteven DC, Cliff Villages: Lincolnshire Independents 60, Con 30, Lib Dem 10.
Poole UA, Broadstone: Lib Dem 49, Con 33, UKIP 8, Lab 6, Green 4.
Tandridge DC, Limpsfield: Con 38, Residents 45, Lib Dem 12, Lab 5.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 12, 2016 23:12:01 GMT
CUMBRIA Windermere: L Dem 57, C 31, Lab 9, GP 3
KENT Swanley: C 38, Lab 28, UKIP 25, L Dem 9
LANCASTER Westgate: Lab 39, C 24, UKIP 16, MBI 10, L Dem 6, GP 5
LEWISHAM Brockley: Lab 45, GP 35, C 10, L Dem 5, WEP 4, UKIP 1
LEWISHAM Evelyn: Lab 48, LPBP 23, GP 10, L Dem 8, C 6, Ind 5
NORTH KESTEVEN Cliff Villages: Lincs Ind 53, C 30, L Dem 17
POOLE Broadstone: L Dem 48, C 32, UKIP 8, Lab 7, GP 5
SEVENOAKS Swanley Christchurch and Swanley Village: C 49, Lab 24, UKIP 20, L Dem 7
SOUTH LAKELAND Windermere Bowness North: L Dem 50, C 44, GP 6
TANDRIDGE Limpsfield: C 46, OLRG 29, L Dem 18, Lab 7
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Oct 13, 2016 5:20:20 GMT
Cumbria CC, Windermere: LD 54, Con 33, Lab 9, Grn 4
South Lakeland DC, Windermere Bowness North: LD 59, Con 36, Grn 5.
Kent CC, Swanley: Con 36, Lab 33, UKIP 19, LD 12
Sevenoaks DC, Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village: Con 57, Lab 29, LD 8, UKIP 6
Lancaster BC, Westgate: Lab 38, UKIP 20, Con 16, Morecambe Bay Independents 15, LD 7, Grn 4
Lewisham LBC, Brockley: Lab 44, Grn 26, LD 10, WEP 9, LD 8, UKIP 3.
Lewisham LBC, Evelyn: Lab 54, LPBP 12, Con 11, Grn 10, LD 9, Ind 4.
North Kesteven DC, Cliff Villages: Lincolnshire Independents 62, Con 34, LD 4.
Poole UA, Broadstone: LD 48, Con 27, UKIP 13, Lab 7, Grn 5.
Tandridge DC, Limpsfield: OLRG 68, Con 26, LD 4, Lab 2.
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Post by hempie on Oct 13, 2016 7:27:44 GMT
Cumbria, Windermere: LD 60, Con 25, Lab 10, Green 5
South Lakeland, Windermere Bowness North: LD 60, Con 33, Green 7
Kent, Swanley: Con 41, Lab 28, UKIP 20, LD 11
Sevenoaks, Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village: Con 46, Lab 23, UKIP 20, LD 11
Lancaster, Westgate: Lab 36, MBI 20, Con 20, UKIP 13, LD 7, Green 4
Lewisham, Brockley: Lab 52, Green 22, LD 13, Con 7, WEP 4, UKIP 2
Lewisham, Evelyn: Lab 56, LPBP 16, Green 10, LD 10, Con 5, Ind 3
North Kesteven, Cliff Villages: Lincs Ind 55, Con 32, Lib Dem 13
Poole, Broadstone: LD 45, Con 31, UKIP 10, Lab 9, Green 5
Tandridge, Limpsfield: Residents 40, Con 37, LD 15, Lab 8
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 13, 2016 8:03:42 GMT
Lewisham LB - Brockley Lab 45.3% Grn 27.2% LD 12.7% Con 8.7% WEP 3.4% UKIP 2.7% Lewisham LB - Evelyn Lab 53.3% PBP 15.4% Grn 11.5% LD 9.3% Con 7.4% Ind 3.1% Poole UA - Broadstone LD 48.9% Con 32.7% UKIP 7.8% Grn 5.4% Lab 5.2% Cumbria CC - Windermere LD 54.1% Con 37.1% Lab 5.2% Grn 3.6% Kent CC - Swanley Con 43.3% Lab 30.2% UKIP 22.6% LD 3.9% Lancaster DC - Westgate Lab 31.9% MBI 26.4% Con 22.3% UKIP 9.8% LD 5.2% Grn 4.4% North Kesteven DC - Cliff Villages Ind 58.5% Con 31.6% LD 9.9% Sevenoaks DC - Christchurch & Swanley Village Con 47.0% Lab 29.4% UKIP 18.4% LD 5.2% South Lakeland DC - Windermere Bowness North LD 64.4% Con 29.5% Grn 6.1% Tandridge DC - Limpsfield OLRG 47.7% Con 42.5% LD 5.9% Lab 3.9% |
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 13, 2016 17:53:11 GMT
10 entries this week with nothing from peter1. Mark Senior gets 2 additional faults for adding to 102% in Kent, Swanley whilst Maxque has 2 Liberal Democrats totalling 18% (10% + 8%) in Lewisham, Brockley but no Conservative.
Cumbria, Windermere: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 17% (Pete Whitehead) to 38% (Lennon)
Kent, Swanley: 100% Conservative hold with majority over Labour ranging from 3% (Maxque) to 19% (Robert Waller)
Lancaster, Westgate: 100% Labour hold with majority ranging from 5.5% (Pete Whitehead over Morecambe Bay Independent) to 39% (Lennon over Morecambe Bay Independent)
Lewisham, Brockley: 100% Labour hold with majority over Green ranging from 5% (Lennon) to 33% (Robert Waller)
Lewisham, Evelyn: 100% Labour hold with majority over Lewisham People before Profit except finsobruce ranging from 25% (David Boothroyd) to 42% (Maxque)
North Kesteven, Cliff Villages: 100% Lincolnshire Independent hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 15% (Lancastrian) to 35% (Lennon)
Poole, Broadstone: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative with majority over Conservative ranging from 6% (Greenhert) to 25% (Lennon)
Sevenoaks, Swanley Christchurch & Swanley Village: 100% Conservative hold with majority over Labour ranging from 10% (finsobruce & Lennon) to 28% (Maxque)
South Lakeland, Windermere Bowness North: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 6% (David Boothroyd) to 35% (Lennon & Mark Senior)
Tandridge, Limpsfield: 6 Conservative hold, hempie, Maxque, Pete Whitehead & Robert Waller Resident Group gain
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 13, 2016 20:26:51 GMT
Notwithstanding Robert's comments, I will give the new format another try this week. | Authority | Cumbria | Kent | Lancaster | Lewisham | Lewisham | North
Kesteven | Poole | Sevenoaks | South
Lakeland | Tandridge | | | Ward / Division | Windermere | Swanley | Westgate | Brockley | Evelyn | Cliff Villages | Broadstone | Swanley etc | Bowness North | Limpsfield | Total faults | Position | David Boothroyd | 19.4
| 20.3
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| 23.4
| 25.9
| 25.4
| 42.6
| 39.7
| 20.2
| 56.7+10
| 283.6
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| finsobruce | 21.4
| 18.3
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| 10.5
| 39.9
| 21.4
| 58.6
| 31.7
| 0.2
| 60.7+10
| 272.8
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| Greenhert | 25.4
| 20.7
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| 30.5
| 27.9
| 17.4
| 50.6
| 31.7
| 7.8
| 64.7+10
| 286.7
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| hempie | 31.4
| 26.3
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| 14.5
| 21.6
| 17.4
| 48.6
| 33.7
| 3.9
| 36.7
| 234.2
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| Lancastrian | 23.4
| 44.3
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| 8.8
| 19.9
| 26.3
| 48.6
| 36.8
| 10.2
| 74.7+10
| 303.0
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| Lennon | 27.4
| 28.3
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| 30.5
| 27.9
| 21.4
| 28.6
| 21.7
| 9.8
| 74.7+10
| 280.4
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| Mark Senior | 37.4
| 18.3+2 |
| 6.8
| 21.9
| 20.3
| 50.6
| 29.7
| 13.8
| 70.7+10
| 281.5
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| Maxque | 15.4
| 26.3
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| 23.6
| 18.6
| 2.9
| 42.6
| 44.8
| 2.2
| 24.0
| 200.5
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| Pete Whitehead | 7.2
| 35.3
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| 12.5
| 18.1
| 11.2
| 40.8
| 32.5
| 10.8
| 19.3
| 187.7
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| Robert Waller | 27.4
| 34.3
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| 17.4
| 13.0
| 11.4
| 40.6
| 35.7
| 7.8
| 24.7
| 212.4
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 14, 2016 6:56:37 GMT
That latest result from Swanley messed me up a bit - I reckon I was leading well for the week up until that point and gradually gaining on Maxque for the month.
One thing I thought odd in the predictions was that with the exceptions of Maxque and myself, everybody predicted a bigger Lib Dem lead in the Windermere county seat than in Bowness North when the latter was clearly the safer of the two
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
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Post by maxque on Oct 14, 2016 8:08:11 GMT
That latest result from Swanley messed me up a bit - I reckon I was leading well for the week up until that point and gradually gaining on Maxque for the month. One thing I thought odd in the predictions was that with the exceptions of Maxque and myself, everybody predicted a bigger Lib Dem lead in the Windermere county seat than in Bowness North when the latter was clearly the safer of the two Most people going for Conservatives in Tandridge, despite what happened in May in Oxted North was odd, too. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 14, 2016 8:14:55 GMT
That latest result from Swanley messed me up a bit - I reckon I was leading well for the week up until that point and gradually gaining on Maxque for the month. One thing I thought odd in the predictions was that with the exceptions of Maxque and myself, everybody predicted a bigger Lib Dem lead in the Windermere county seat than in Bowness North when the latter was clearly the safer of the two Most people going for Conservatives in Tandridge, despite what happened in May in Oxted North was odd, too. Well I assumed many people did not think to check the result in Oxted North |
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 14, 2016 9:55:14 GMT
Notwithstanding Robert's comments, I will give the new format another try this week. | Authority | Cumbria | Kent | Lancaster | Lewisham | Lewisham | North
Kesteven | Poole | Sevenoaks | South
Lakeland | Tandridge | | | Ward / Division | Windermere | Swanley | Westgate | Brockley | Evelyn | Cliff Villages | Broadstone | Swanley etc | Bowness North | Limpsfield | Total faults | Position | David Boothroyd | 19.4
| 20.3
| 23.9
| 23.4
| 25.9
| 25.4
| 42.6
| 39.7
| 20.2
| 56.7+10
| 307.6
| 8
| finsobruce | 21.4
| 18.3
| 25.7
| 10.5
| 39.9
| 21.4
| 58.6
| 31.7
| 0.2
| 60.7+10
| 298.4
| 6
| Greenhert | 25.4
| 20.7
| 16.4
| 30.5
| 27.9
| 17.4
| 50.6
| 31.7
| 7.8
| 64.7+10
| 303.1
| 7
| hempie | 31.4
| 26.3
| 19.7
| 14.5
| 21.6
| 17.4
| 48.6
| 33.7
| 3.9
| 36.7
| 253.9
| 4
| Lancastrian | 23.4
| 44.3
| 5.5
| 8.8
| 19.9
| 26.3
| 48.6
| 36.8
| 10.2
| 74.7+10
| 308.4
| 9
| Lennon | 27.4
| 28.3
| 30.1
| 30.5
| 27.9
| 21.4
| 28.6
| 21.7
| 9.8
| 74.7+10
| 310.5
| 10
| Mark Senior | 37.4
| 18.3+2 | 13.1
| 6.8
| 21.9
| 20.3
| 50.6
| 29.7
| 13.8
| 70.7+10
| 294.6
| 5
| Maxque | 15.4
| 26.3
| 15.0
| 23.6
| 18.6
| 2.9
| 42.6
| 44.8
| 2.2
| 24.0
| 215.5
| 1
| Pete Whitehead | 7.2
| 35.3
| 34.3
| 12.5
| 18.1
| 11.2
| 40.8
| 32.5
| 10.8
| 19.3
| 222.0
| 2
| Robert Waller | 27.4
| 34.3
| 25.9
| 17.4
| 13.0
| 11.4
| 40.6
| 35.7
| 7.8
| 24.7
| 238.3
| 3
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and for the first two weeks of October
426.0 Maxque
459.5 Pete Whitehead
474.0 Robert Waller
504.4 Mark Senior
510.6 Greenhert
520.4 hempie
526.0 David Boothroyd
552.3 Lancastrian
586.2 finsobruce
626.9 Lennon
Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday.
There are 12 by-elections next week!! Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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