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Post by andrewteale on Mar 30, 2020 14:48:14 GMT
Two in one day. Coronavirus isn't all bad Annual leave and not having to write Previews is even better...
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 1, 2020 10:58:20 GMT
Darlington 2019. C 22 (+5) Lab 20 (-9) Ind 3 (+1) LD 3 Grn 2 (+2). Changes based on 2015: C gain from Lab Brinkburn and Faverdale (1) Eastbourne (1) Harrowgate Hill (1) Stephenson (1) Whinfield (2) C gain from LD Hurworth (1) Grn gain from C College (2) Ind gain from Lab Bank Top and Lascelles (1) Eastbourne (1) LD gain from Lab North Road (1) Split wards in 2019 were: Bank Top and Lascelles: 1Ind/2Lab Eastbourne: 2Ind/1C Harrowgate Hill: 2C/1Lab Stephenson: C/Lab
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 1, 2020 21:13:20 GMT
Cambridge 2019. Changes based on 2015: LD gain from Grn Market Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Castle: 2LD/1Ind Trumpington: 2LD/1Lab West Chesterton: 2LD/1Lab Next year's election is all-up with new ward boundaries, although the basic pattern of wards will remain the same. Today marks 25 months since I first started adding local by-election results to LEAP. I am pleased to announce that all available by-election results are now centrally listed on www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/elections-index/. As a result of putting that together it came to my attention that the 2007 ordinary election result for Warley ward, Calderdale was missing and this has now been added.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 1, 2020 23:03:13 GMT
Cambridge 2019. Changes based on 2015: LD gain from Grn Market Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Castle: 2LD/1Ind Trumpington: 2LD/1Lab West Chesterton: 2LD/1Lab Next year's election is all-up with new ward boundaries, although the basic pattern of wards will remain the same. Today marks 25 months since I first started adding local by-election results to LEAP. I am pleased to announce that all available by-election results are now centrally listed on www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/elections-index/. As a result of putting that together it came to my attention that the 2007 ordinary election result for Warley ward, Calderdale was missing and this has now been added. Very satisfying map. Reminds me of Haringey 2018.
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 2, 2020 22:20:48 GMT
East Cambridgeshire 2019. C 15 LD 13. New ward boundaries. Split wards in 2019 were: Ely East: LD/C That completes Cambridgeshire 2019 on LEAP.
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froome
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Post by froome on Apr 3, 2020 8:25:02 GMT
Cambridge 2019. Changes based on 2015: LD gain from Grn Market Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Castle: 2LD/1Ind Trumpington: 2LD/1Lab West Chesterton: 2LD/1Lab Next year's election is all-up with new ward boundaries, although the basic pattern of wards will remain the same. Today marks 25 months since I first started adding local by-election results to LEAP. I am pleased to announce that all available by-election results are now centrally listed on www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/elections-index/. As a result of putting that together it came to my attention that the 2007 ordinary election result for Warley ward, Calderdale was missing and this has now been added. Very satisfying map. Reminds me of Haringey 2018. I don't know Cambridge at all, but historically the eastern side of any city was always the poorer side, as the prevailing winds blew all the industrial and chimney smoke towards that side of the city. Is that the case here?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 3, 2020 9:15:19 GMT
Very satisfying map. Reminds me of Haringey 2018. I don't know Cambridge at all, but historically the eastern side of any city was always the poorer side, as the prevailing winds blew all the industrial and chimney smoke towards that side of the city. Is that the case here? Very much so
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 4, 2020 15:46:12 GMT
Back to the 2017 maps withe Lincolnshire 2017. C 58 Lab 6 Ind 4 Lincs Ind 1 LD 1. New division boundaries.
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Post by Clark on Apr 5, 2020 16:48:02 GMT
That is fascinating regarding the west side of towns and cities being the more prosperous side due to the prevailing gulf stream wind.
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 9, 2020 20:51:54 GMT
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Post by johnloony on Apr 10, 2020 3:44:42 GMT
Useful stuff here:
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 11, 2020 3:20:04 GMT
Highland 2017. Ind 28 SNP 22 C 10 LD 10 Lab 3 Grn 1. New ward boundaries.
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Post by jamie on Apr 11, 2020 12:37:42 GMT
'Inverness Ness-side' is possibly the most inspired name ever.
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Post by bjornhattan on Apr 11, 2020 12:52:57 GMT
Highland 2017. Ind 28 SNP 22 C 10 LD 10 Lab 3 Grn 1. New ward boundaries. I imagine the larger out of North, West, and Central Sutherland and Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh must be the largest ward in the country. Even the smaller rural wards here must be comparable in size to England's largest. The use of multi-member wards seems bizzare here. Unless you had an ideological fixation on STV at all costs, it makes far more sense to have single-member wards here. It isn't quite as bad as "Ardrossan and Arran", but it isn't that far off. Has there been no consideration of the logistics of serving constituents in Ullapool, Kyle of Lochalsh, and Strathpeffer, or the sheer diversity of a seat extending from Ardgay to Durness?
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pl
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Post by pl on Apr 11, 2020 13:27:53 GMT
Highland 2017. Ind 28 SNP 22 C 10 LD 10 Lab 3 Grn 1. New ward boundaries. I imagine the larger out of North, West, and Central Sutherland and Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh must be the largest ward in the country. Even the smaller rural wards here must be comparable in size to England's largest. The use of multi-member wards seems bizzare here. Unless you had an ideological fixation on STV at all costs, it makes far more sense to have single-member wards here. It isn't quite as bad as "Ardrossan and Arran", but it isn't that far off. Has there been no consideration of the logistics of serving constituents in Ullapool, Kyle of Lochalsh, and Strathpeffer, or the sheer diversity of a seat extending from Ardgay to Durness? And STV with Indies makes managing a mammoth ward harder still. Three members under FPTP could divide the ward up between them - meaning each area would have someone focussing on it.
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 11, 2020 13:55:24 GMT
I imagine the larger out of North, West, and Central Sutherland and Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh must be the largest ward in the country. Even the smaller rural wards here must be comparable in size to England's largest. The use of multi-member wards seems bizzare here. Unless you had an ideological fixation on STV at all costs, it makes far more sense to have single-member wards here. It isn't quite as bad as "Ardrossan and Arran", but it isn't that far off. Has there been no consideration of the logistics of serving constituents in Ullapool, Kyle of Lochalsh, and Strathpeffer, or the sheer diversity of a seat extending from Ardgay to Durness? And STV with Indies makes managing a mammoth ward harder still. Three members under FPTP could divide the ward up between them - meaning each area would have someone focussing on it. The problem with single-member wards in the Highlands was that you generally did not get contested elections. This may be Wester Ross but it's not Game of Thrones; it was seen as bad form to challenge your sitting independent councillor.
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pl
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Post by pl on Apr 11, 2020 14:01:26 GMT
And STV with Indies makes managing a mammoth ward harder still. Three members under FPTP could divide the ward up between them - meaning each area would have someone focussing on it. The problem with single-member wards in the Highlands was that you generally did not get contested elections. This may be Wester Ross but it's not Game of Thrones; it was seen as bad form to challenge your sitting independent councillor. I'm suggesting three member wards may be better under FPTP than STV. Provided you have proper active parties of course!
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 11, 2020 14:03:50 GMT
Swansea 2017. Lab 48 (-1) C 8 (+4) LD 7 (-5) Ind 4 (+1) Independents @ Swansea 3 Uplands 2 (+2) People's Representative 0 (-1). Changes based on 2017: C gain from Ind Bishopston C gain from LD Sketty (2) C gain from People's Representative Mawr Ind gain from Lab Pontardulais (1) Ind gain from LD Gower Lab gain from LD Dunvant (1) SKetty (1) Uplands gain from Lab Uplands (2) Split divisions in 2017 were: Clydach: Ind/Lab Pontardulais: Ind/Lab Sketty: 1Lab/2LD/2C Uplands: 2 Uplands/2Lab
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European Lefty
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Post by European Lefty on Apr 11, 2020 14:09:43 GMT
Highland 2017. Ind 28 SNP 22 C 10 LD 10 Lab 3 Grn 1. New ward boundaries. I imagine the larger out of North, West, and Central Sutherland and Wester Ross, Strathpeffer & Lochalsh must be the largest ward in the country. Even the smaller rural wards here must be comparable in size to England's largest. The use of multi-member wards seems bizzare here. Unless you had an ideological fixation on STV at all costs, it makes far more sense to have single-member wards here. It isn't quite as bad as "Ardrossan and Arran", but it isn't that far off. Has there been no consideration of the logistics of serving constituents in Ullapool, Kyle of Lochalsh, and Strathpeffer, or the sheer diversity of a seat extending from Ardgay to Durness? This is one of the many reasons why I view STV as the worst electoral system ever devised.
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Post by andrewteale on Apr 11, 2020 20:52:39 GMT
Three map sets in one day, I'm spoiling you. Rhondda Cynon Taf 2017. Lab 47 (-13) PC 18 (+9) C 4 (+3) Ind 4 Cynon Valley Party 1 (+1) Ind 1. Changes based on 2012: C gain from Lab Llantwit Fardre (1)
Pont-y-clun (1) Ton-teg (1) Cynon Valley Party gain from Lab Penrhiwceiber (1) Ind gain from Lab Cilfynydd Llanharry Lab gain from Ind Talbot Green PC gain from Ind Tonyrefail East (1) PC gain from Lab Pen-y-graig (2) Pontypridd Town Porth (2) Ynyshir Ystrad (2) Split divisions in 2017 were: Ferndale: Lab/Ind Penrhiwceiber: Lab/Cynon Valley Party Pont-y-clun: C/Lab Ton-teg: Ind/C Tonyrefail East: Lab/PC
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