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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 21, 2016 23:15:06 GMT
Lancashire, Chorley Rural North division is a Conservative hold.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:25:01 GMT
Chorley Rural North, Lancashire
Con 1144 (43.8%; +2.7) Lab 1042 (39.9%; +2.1) UKIP 303 (11.6%; -5.7) LD 125 (4.8%; +1.0)
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:33:42 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Honiton St. Michael's
Con 362 (39.8%; -0.3) IEDA 211 (23.2%; +2.8) Lab 197 (21.6%) UKIP 140 (15.4%; -5.3)
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:35:36 GMT
So, we lack results are Exmouth Littleham and for Great Wyrley Town. We also lack exact results for Balderton South.
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Post by marksenior on Jul 21, 2016 23:43:08 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Honiton St. Michael's Con 362 (39.8%; -0.3) IEDA 211 (23.2%; +2.8) Lab 197 (21.6%) UKIP 140 (15.4%; -5.3) Those vote changes make no sense at all Result last time was roughly Con 49% UKIP 26% Ind 25%
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:46:50 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Honiton St. Michael's Con 362 (39.8%; -0.3) IEDA 211 (23.2%; +2.8) Lab 197 (21.6%) UKIP 140 (15.4%; -5.3) Those vote changes make no sense at all Result last time was roughly Con 49% UKIP 26% Ind 25% Con 1400/1390/1304, UKIP 734/636/599, East Devon Ind All 723, Ind 690 give Con 39.5, UKIP 20.7, IEDA 20.4 and Ind 19.5 Sure, you can debate my way isn't the better way for that set of circumstances, but I want a method that's consistant for every election.
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 21, 2016 23:46:52 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Honiton St. Michael's Con 362 (39.8%; -0.3) IEDA 211 (23.2%; +2.8) Lab 197 (21.6%) UKIP 140 (15.4%; -5.3) Those vote changes make no sense at all Result last time was roughly Con 49% UKIP 26% Ind 25% There was an Independent in 2015 as well as Independent Alliance both polling around 20%.
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Post by No Offence Alan on Jul 21, 2016 23:48:07 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Honiton St. Michael's Con 362 (39.8%; -0.3) IEDA 211 (23.2%; +2.8) Lab 197 (21.6%) UKIP 140 (15.4%; -5.3) Those vote changes make no sense at all Result last time was roughly Con 49% UKIP 26% Ind 25% 2015: Con 1400/1390/1304, UKIP 734/636/599, East Devon Ind All 723, Ind 690 Depends if you count EDIA and Ind as separate parties in 2015 or not.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:49:10 GMT
Balderton South, Newark and Sherwood
Con 483 (83.4%; +26.4) LD 103 (17.6%)
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Post by andrewteale on Jul 21, 2016 23:49:38 GMT
Just to confuse matters even further, the Independent candidate in 2015 [in Honiton St Michael's] is now the IEDA candidate.
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Post by marksenior on Jul 21, 2016 23:53:41 GMT
Those vote changes make no sense at all Result last time was roughly Con 49% UKIP 26% Ind 25% There was an Independent in 2015 as well as Independent Alliance both polling around 20%. You can be pretty sure that the ones who voted Independent and Ind Alliance were mostly the same voters using 2 of their 3 votes .
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 23:54:30 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Great Wyrley Town, South Staffordshire.
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 22, 2016 2:26:04 GMT
Conservative HOLD in Great Wyrley Town, South Staffordshire.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 22, 2016 5:55:31 GMT
I would tend to treat the two Independents at the previous election as a single slate, even if they weren't. This would seem to vindicate such an approach here Just to confuse matters even further, the Independent candidate in 2015 [in Honiton St Michael's] is now the IEDA candidate.
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Post by dizz on Jul 22, 2016 6:32:00 GMT
I would tend to treat the two Independents at the previous election as a single slate, even if they weren't. This would seem to vindicate such an approach here Just to confuse matters even further, the Independent candidate in 2015 [in Honiton St Michael's] is now the IEDA candidate. That must be correct in a multi-member election.
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 22, 2016 6:53:27 GMT
I would tend to treat the two Independents at the previous election as a single slate, even if they weren't. This would seem to vindicate such an approach here That must be correct in a multi-member election. e But how do you then treat to be consistent wards like Exmouth Littleham (result awaited) where in the 3 Conservatives polled an average of 1,600 but single candidates for an Independent Group, Liberal Democrat, UKIP and Green each polled around 1,200?
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Post by dizz on Jul 22, 2016 7:55:49 GMT
It's an art rather than a science.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 22, 2016 7:59:44 GMT
Con HOLD in Exmouth Littleham, East Devon.
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Post by andrewp on Jul 22, 2016 9:11:19 GMT
Con HOLD in Exmouth Littleham, East Devon. Cant find any figures yet. The Liberal Democrats will be disappointed with that, as they hold the other 2 seats in the ward.
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Post by marksenior on Jul 22, 2016 9:15:45 GMT
Con HOLD in Exmouth Littleham, East Devon. Cant find any figures yet. The Liberal Democrats will be disappointed with that, as they hold the other 2 seats in the ward. No they don't , Conservatives hold all the seats in the ward . They were still hoping for a gain though
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