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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 21, 2016 22:27:01 GMT
Conservative HOLD Balderton South (Newark & Sherwood).
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Post by andrewteale on Jul 21, 2016 22:27:55 GMT
Raw votes:
Waunfawr PC 358 Lab 114
Hackney Central Lab 1354 Grn 178 LD 113 C 101 Ind 55
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Jul 21, 2016 22:28:28 GMT
Bellingham Result
Lab 940
Con 302
LD 180
People Before Profit 129
UKIP 104
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312 
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:28:36 GMT
Am hearing rumours of a surprisingly good Lib Dem performance in Westone ward, Northampton. Not that surprising, the ward has an history of being Liberal Democrat. It voted for them between 1995 and 2011 (was called Headlands then and the current LD candidate, Brian Markham was a councillor for all that period). Also, the Conservative candidate is from a village in South Northamptonshire (and not one close to the border) and I gather both Labour and LDs heavily mentionned that. |
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Post by nigelashton on Jul 21, 2016 22:28:48 GMT
PC hold in Waunfawr, Gwynedd. Ah, I've been to Waunfawr, my first wife's mother was born in Llanrug. It's all Welsh speaking round there as you'd expect. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 21, 2016 22:29:31 GMT
Am hearing rumours of a surprisingly good Lib Dem performance in Westone ward, Northampton. Nothing is surprising about local election results in Northampton anymore |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:29:44 GMT
Balderton South results seems to be in the waters of Con 85%, LD 15%, if we believe Robert Jenwick.
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Post by finsobruce on Jul 21, 2016 22:30:54 GMT
Bellingham Result Lab 940 Con 302 LD 180 People Before Profit 129 UKIP 104 PBP will be unamused at finishing behind both the Tories and Lib Dems. |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Jul 21, 2016 22:32:45 GMT
PC hold in Waunfawr, Gwynedd. Ah, I've been to Waunfawr, my first wife's mother was born in Llanrug. It's all Welsh speaking round there as you'd expect. I've been drinking there. As you'd expect. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:34:43 GMT
Bellingham Result Lab 940 Con 302 LD 180 People Before Profit 129 UKIP 104 Lab 56.8% (+2.8) Con 18.2% (+5.4) LD 10.9% (+5.1) LPBP 7.8% (-5.6) UKIP 6.3% |
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Jul 21, 2016 22:36:52 GMT
Reading Southcote
Lab 934
Con 381
LD 77
Green 66
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:39:54 GMT
Labour HOLD in Southcote, Reading
Lab 934 (64.1%; +0.2)
Con 381 (26.1%; +1.3)
LD 77 (5.3%; -0.9)
Grn 66 (4.5%; -0.6)
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:41:12 GMT
LD GAIN over CON in WESTONE, Northampton.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 21, 2016 22:44:41 GMT
NORTHAMPTON Westone
L Dem 583
C 319
Lab 270
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:47:20 GMT
Westone, Northampton
LD 583 (49.7%; +36.4)
Con 319 (27.2%; -28.8)
Lab 270 (23.0%; -7.7)
LD got 268 more votes than on GE day.
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 21, 2016 22:50:45 GMT
Westone, Northampton LD 583 (49.7%; +36.4) Con 319 (27.2%; -28.8) Lab 270 (23.0%; -7.7) LD got 268 more votes than on GE day. It is a single member, relatively small electorate seat again. |
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,764
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Post by mboy on Jul 21, 2016 22:54:12 GMT
King of the swingers!  |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jul 21, 2016 22:55:12 GMT
Westone, Northampton LD 583 (49.7%; +36.4) Con 319 (27.2%; -28.8) Lab 270 (23.0%; -7.7) LD got 268 more votes than on GE day. It is a single member, relatively small electorate seat again. Electorate was 3552 in 2015, so not that small. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 21, 2016 23:02:02 GMT
It is a single member, relatively small electorate seat again. Electorate was 3552 in 2015, so not that small. See my post for 14th July 2016. I typed in most a further analysis last night but it disappeared into ether-space when broadband problems reappeared. The most likely seats to change hands on large swing are single member wards with small electorates (less than 2,000) or single member wards with relatively small electorates (less than 3,500). Westones fits that profile pretty closely. |
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Post by marksenior on Jul 21, 2016 23:09:50 GMT
Electorate was 3552 in 2015, so not that small. See my post for 14th July 2016. I typed in most a further analysis last night but it disappeared into ether-space when broadband problems reappeared. The most likely seats to change hands on large swing are single member wards with small electorates (less than 2,000) or single member wards with relatively small electorates (less than 3,500). Westones fits that profile pretty closely. Large wards will tend to be in the Met Districts and London relatively few of which are held by the Conservatives so they do not have them to defend and lose in the first place . |
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