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Post by middleenglander on Jan 2, 2016 22:40:39 GMT
Looks like 9 by-elections during January:
* 1 on 7th
* 1 on 14th
* 6 on 21st
* 1 on 28th
4 of the former Councillors were elected only in all out elections in May 2015
- 3 for District Councils
- 1 for a Unitary Authority
1 is for a Metropolitan Authority where the last election was in May 2015 and where the successful candidate faces re-election in May
1 for a London Borough last elected in 2014
1 a County Council elected in 2013
1 a Unitary Authority elected in 2013 and
1 in Scotland elected in 2012
Conservatives are defending 2 seats, both following the death of the previous Councillor
Labour defend 4 seats, 2 arising from a death and 2 a resignation
Liberal Democrats defend 1 where the resigning Councillor was sitting as an Independent
SNP 1 seat following a death and
UKIP 1 seat following a resignation
With all nominations now available:
Conservatives are contesting all 9, Labour 8, Liberal Democrats 7, Greens and UKIP both 5, SNP 1
there are 4 Independents contesting 3 seats along with 1 each for All People and Christian
- a total of 41 candidates for the 9 seats.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on morning of election.
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Post by marksenior on Jan 6, 2016 21:46:04 GMT
Carlisle Ind 40 Lab 32 Con 28
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Post by Robert Waller on Jan 6, 2016 22:07:38 GMT
Carlisle - Botcherby
Robert Currie (The Conservative Party Candidate) 23%
Jack Paton (Independent) 40
Stephen Sidgwick (The Labour Party Candidate) 37
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Jan 6, 2016 22:08:38 GMT
Carlisle: Ind 45, Lab 35, Con 20
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Post by greenhert on Jan 6, 2016 22:32:41 GMT
Carlisle BC, Botcherby: Independent 41, Lab 32, Con 27.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 6, 2016 23:59:17 GMT
CARLISLE Botcherby: Ind 44, Lab 31, C 25
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Post by hempie on Jan 7, 2016 8:14:22 GMT
Carlisle, Botcherby: Ind 47, Lab 29, Con 24
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Jan 7, 2016 8:57:00 GMT
Carlisle: L 39, Ind 37, C 24.
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Post by lennon on Jan 7, 2016 8:59:12 GMT
Carlisle - Ind 35, Lab 34, Con 31
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 7, 2016 11:15:26 GMT
Carlisle, Botcherby: Ind 39.7 Lab 36.5 Con 23.8 |
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Post by middleenglander on Jan 7, 2016 19:48:51 GMT
10 entries this week with everyone on time and adding to 100%
Carlisle, Botcherby: 9 Independent gain from Labour with majority ranging from 1% (Lennon) to 18% (hempie) with Arthur Figgis a Labour hold, 2% majority over Independent
Pete Whitehead: Independent 42.%, Labour 37.5, Conservative 20.4
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Jan 7, 2016 20:08:55 GMT
I missed the cut this morning through sloth and inadvertence. I would have been the only one going for a narrow Conservative win over Labour. Perhaps the flooding will taint the Conservatives because they are in power and the weather is always the fault of the current minister!
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Post by middleenglander on Jan 8, 2016 0:05:38 GMT
Carlisle, Botcherby
Maxque 12.1 faults, hempie 17.2, Pete Whitehead 17.9, David Boothroyd 19.2, Robert Waller 22.1, Tony Otim 22.7, Greenhert 23.2, Mark Senior 25.2, Lennon 32.1, Arthur Figgis 28.1+10
Objections please by noon Saturday,.
One by-election again next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
We are having a few days away next week so it will be Friday evening before the official results are posted.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 8, 2016 8:51:57 GMT
Congratulations to Maxque for the week.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jan 9, 2016 18:40:29 GMT
I missed the cut this morning through sloth and inadvertence. I would have been the only one going for a narrow Conservative win over Labour. Perhaps the flooding will taint the Conservatives because they are in power and the weather is always the fault of the current minister! Looks as though they blamed Corbyn for visiting!  |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 9, 2016 22:34:05 GMT
I missed the cut this morning through sloth and inadvertence. I would have been the only one going for a narrow Conservative win over Labour. Perhaps the flooding will taint the Conservatives because they are in power and the weather is always the fault of the current minister! Looks as though they blamed Corbyn for visiting! Oi, there was a Tory to Labour swing from May  |
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Jan 10, 2016 2:18:31 GMT
I missed the cut this morning through sloth and inadvertence. I would have been the only one going for a narrow Conservative win over Labour. Perhaps the flooding will taint the Conservatives because they are in power and the weather is always the fault of the current minister! Looks as though they blamed Corbyn for visiting! Well! He is a bit of a shower! |
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Post by lennon on Jan 13, 2016 15:16:43 GMT
Prediction for Thursday Jan 14th. (A bit early, but better than missing it / being late...)
Cornwall, LAUNCESTON CENTRAL:
LD 60%
Con 25%
Green 14%
CPA 1%
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Post by greenhert on Jan 13, 2016 16:31:45 GMT
My prediction for the Cornwall UA, Launceston Central local by-election:
Liberal Democrats 57%, Conservative 27%, Green 15%, Christian Peoples Alliance 1%.
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Post by Robert Waller on Jan 13, 2016 18:11:22 GMT
Cornwall UA, Launceston Central local by-election:
Liberal Democrats 51%, Conservative 30%, Green 15%, Christian Peoples Alliance 4%.
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