|
|
Post by middleenglander on Dec 17, 2015 12:25:26 GMT
An Independent which topped the poll. Which surely shows a glitch in the way of calculating vote shares in these contests? In reality, Independents are massively down (mostly to the benefit of the Tories) not slightly up. Please see my analysis of the results on the appropriate monthly threads. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308 
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 12:29:36 GMT
An Independent which topped the poll. Which surely shows a glitch in the way of calculating vote shares in these contests? In reality, Independents are massively down (mostly to the benefit of the Tories) not slightly up. I follow the same system as Middleenglander, which is to consider different independents as if they were different parties. There is no reason to assume links between Margaret Lyon Independent and Mark Pavey Independent. But I'll take your remark in account and think about it. For Ryedale, however, the change will be there, as it's the same Independent running again. |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,902
|
Post by Tony Otim on Dec 17, 2015 13:17:42 GMT
An Independent which topped the poll. Which surely shows a glitch in the way of calculating vote shares in these contests? In reality, Independents are massively down (mostly to the benefit of the Tories) not slightly up. But does that really give a more accurate picture. If the independant who topped the poll had been eligible to stand again, she might well have topped the poll again. A massive movement from independant to Conservative could therefore be seen as somewhat misleading as well. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 22:39:04 GMT
In Stourport, 64% of postal votes were returned.
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 22:50:17 GMT
Stourport turnour: 19.3% (10.3% from postal, 9.0% from in person voting).
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Dec 17, 2015 23:05:12 GMT
Hertford Heath
Con 269
LDem 101
UKIP 70
Lab 56
Green 21
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 23:06:44 GMT
Hertford Heath
Con 269 (52.0%; +6.7)
LD 101 (19.5%; +19.5)
UKIP 70 (13.5%; -1.8)
Lab 56 (10.8%; -1.7)
Grn 21(4.1%; -1.8)
Again, a Independent finished 2nd last time, so, variations look wierd.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 17, 2015 23:09:25 GMT
Turnout at the Kensal Green by-election: 20.3%
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 17, 2015 23:12:51 GMT
Turnout in Stourport-on-Severn is 16.6%. The majority of the votes were cast by post (8.9% of the electorate voted by post, 7.7% voted in person).
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 23:13:26 GMT
Math error by the council in Stourport, turnout in Stourport is 16.6% (8.9% by post, 7.7% in person)
Kensal Green turnout: 20.3%
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 17, 2015 23:28:17 GMT
Stourport result in five minutes.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Dec 17, 2015 23:32:11 GMT
Stourport result in five minutes. Con gain |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 23:34:52 GMT
Apparently, Lab hold in Kendal Green.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 17, 2015 23:37:37 GMT
WORCESTERSHIRE Stourport-on-Severn
Tony Muir (Conservative Party Candidate) 763
Nicky Martin (Independent Health Concern) 725
Jill Hawes (Labour Party) 581
John Holden (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 547
Phil Oliver (Green Party) 42
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 23:41:22 GMT
Stourport (2013 by; 2013):
Con 763 (28.7% + 6.9; +9.2)
HC 725 (27.3%; -3.3; +0.8)
Lab 581 (21.9%; +4.3; -0.7)
UKIP 547 (20.6%; -5.2; -6.9)
Grn 42 (1.6%; -0.6; -2.3)
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Dec 17, 2015 23:49:45 GMT
Kensal Green result:
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Dec 17, 2015 23:50:24 GMT
In percentage terms this is:
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 17, 2015 23:52:25 GMT
Kensal Green
Lab 931 (53.4%; -1.0)
LD 417 (23.9%; +8.6)
Con 255 (14.6%; +2.8)
Grn 102 (5.9%; -12.7)
UKIP 38 (2.2%; +2.2)
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 17, 2015 23:56:11 GMT
Given the size of Derwent ward (18 polling stations serving multiple hamlets in an area of 14,500 hectares) it would be a surprise if it was counting tonight.
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308
Member is Online
|
Post by maxque on Dec 18, 2015 0:01:26 GMT
Given the size of Derwent ward (18 polling stations serving multiple hamlets in an area of 14,500 hectares) it would be a surprise if it was counting tonight. It's counting tonight. link (page 3) |
|
