Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 5, 2015 0:51:25 GMT
The parliamentary election must happen in November.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 5, 2015 0:56:30 GMT
Seemingly neither the former HDZ- nor the present SDP-goverment have been able to redraw the 10+2 ElectoralUnits of Tudjman.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 5, 2015 1:07:49 GMT
The polls see HDZ+allies and SDP+allies equally strong, favouring the left, which might find some support from the GREENS or ZZ (Croatia's Podemos). The HDZ-leader (a shy spy) managed to be even more unpopular than the PrimeMinister. But let us be warned: In the recent 4 elections (Europe 2013+14, President 2014+15 [runoff]) HDZ was underpolled each time by 10%!
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 5, 2015 6:17:40 GMT
I can't see HDZ losing this one to be honest.
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Post by akmd on Oct 5, 2015 22:27:22 GMT
Croatia is one of just thirteen European countries that is currently governed by the left. This week's New Statesman has a handy map showing political control across the continent. What I found most striking was that, aside from France and Sweden, all of Northern and Western Europe were controlled by the right. The centre left administrations in Europe are mostly concentrated in Central and Southern Europe and include Italy, Austria, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Greece, Albania and Montenegro which all make up a sizeable chunk of the continent. It'll be interesting to see if Croatia remains part of this bloc after next month's election.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,785
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Post by john07 on Oct 5, 2015 22:57:06 GMT
Croatia is one of just thirteen European countries that is currently governed by the left. This week's New Statesman has a handy map showing political control across the continent. What I found most striking was that, aside from France and Sweden, all of Northern and Western Europe were controlled by the right. The centre left administrations in Europe are mostly concentrated in Central and Southern Europe and include Italy, Austria, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Greece, Albania and Montenegro which all make up a sizeable chunk of the continent. It'll be interesting to see if Croatia remains part of this bloc after next month's election. Moldova? Malta? Gibraltar? |
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Post by akmd on Oct 6, 2015 6:02:14 GMT
Yes, Malta is another one that was on the map. No idea about the other two as they were not listed.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2015 6:54:17 GMT
Croatia is one of just thirteen European countries that is currently governed by the left. This week's New Statesman has a handy map showing political control across the continent. What I found most striking was that, aside from France and Sweden, all of Northern and Western Europe were controlled by the right. The centre left administrations in Europe are mostly concentrated in Central and Southern Europe and include Italy, Austria, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Greece, Albania and Montenegro which all make up a sizeable chunk of the continent. It'll be interesting to see if Croatia remains part of this bloc after next month's election. Austria is a grand coalition of the left and right. |
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Post by akmd on Oct 6, 2015 8:18:39 GMT
It is but the SPO are the senior party in this case so presumably that's why it's counted as "left" by the NS.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 8, 2015 18:40:06 GMT
Poll added.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2015 20:00:47 GMT
All polls see a NeckToNeck-Race tomorrow - for the fifth time and all four OutComes so far ended with HDZ+allies 10% stronger than polled (s.a.)!
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2015 20:15:04 GMT
For those, who remain trustful: PromocijaPlus polled recently for RTL-TV (perPhone, n=10.000 [!!]): HDZ+ 63 seats, SDP+ 60, MOST 5, IDS 3, Bandic 3, HDSSB 3, ZZ 1, ORAH 1, Josipovic 1; NationalMinorities 8 (prefer SDP+), ExPatriats 3 (allHDZ). IpsosPlus found for NOVA in lateOctober (n=4.000+ [!]): SDP+ 60, HDZ+ 57, MOST 12, IDS 3, ZZ 3, Bandic 3, HDSSB 2; plus 8, plus 3.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2015 20:29:38 GMT
Who&what is "MOST" (="BRIDGE")? It was found few years ago by a young Independent, who replaced 2013 the HSS-mayor in Metkovic, a small town near Dubrovnik. He was opposed by HDZ+ and SDP+ as well. Managing Metkovic efficiently, he has campaigned on EconomicLiberalism, AdministrationCuts a.s.o.. His deputy - who was expelled from HDZ earlier this year - described them as "the Mid" between the 2 big camps and pointed out, that they wouldn't enter a CoalitionGovernment.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2015 20:33:54 GMT
The surges of ORAH (=GREENS, exSDP) and ZZ seem to be over, MOST won't durate longly as well, I assume.
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Post by greenhert on Nov 7, 2015 20:49:07 GMT
The surges of ORAH (=GREENS, exSDP) and ZZ seem to be over, MOST won't durate longly as well, I assume. Very disappointing...I have high hopes for Mirela Holy and ORaH. I really hope they win some seats in the end. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2015 22:56:51 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 8, 2015 18:03:27 GMT
Interesting exit poll.
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 8, 2015 18:07:19 GMT
That's a very good result for MOST if it is correct. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 8, 2015 21:14:05 GMT
DIP: HDZ+ 63, SDP+ 52, MOST 17, IDS+ 5, ZZ 2, BANDIC 2.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 8, 2015 21:15:50 GMT
So a HDZ-government supported by MOST is rather inevitable.
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