Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813 
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 8, 2015 23:51:49 GMT
~50% counted: HDZ 58+3(diaspora)=61, SDP 53+4(IDS)=57, MOST 19... Presently, MOST could let survive the SDP-government as well. But it is doubtful, that they would do so, considering, how unpopular the incumbent cabinet is. Perhaps they prefer the way of the Spanish C's (support only for a new leader of the right)?
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 9, 2015 1:31:50 GMT
At 01.45 75% were known, at 02.00 it stands: HDZ 57+3=60, SDP+IDS=55+4=59, MOST 19, HDSSB 2, ZZ 1, BANDIC 1, CACIC (exHSLS) 1. So the ExitPoll (56:56:18) predicted precisely. After 4 full failures, the pollsters were - similar to Poland - surprisingly successful this time.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 9, 2015 1:36:17 GMT
The SDP-chief has already invited MOST. HDZ's "shy spy" seems to be dazed by the OutCome.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 9, 2015 2:15:41 GMT
MOST performed naturally best in the home of their FrontRunner (X.=SouthDalmatia), but also in the I.=ZagrebCity (both over 18%). Worst in the left StrongHolds outside the capital: III.=NorthC. 8%, VIII.=WestC./NorthAdria (Istria/Rijeka) 10%.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 11, 2015 0:09:42 GMT
Traditionally nobody in Croatia cares about the TotalResult (the media are impressively unpolitical there). Thus my calculator tried his best (7 precincts are missing, the election has to be repeated there), revealing a very close race.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 11, 2015 0:13:44 GMT
HDZ+ 33.97, SDP+ 33.81, MOST 13.76, ZZ 4.32, BANDIC+ 3.38, IDS+ 1.92, ORAH 1.77, REF.PROGR. 1.57, HDSSB 1.39. (I.-X., so without Diaspora and Minorities)
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 11, 2015 9:47:17 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 11, 2015 17:25:14 GMT
Do you have any revanchist ambitions towards Dalmatia Georg?
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 11, 2015 17:54:14 GMT
Do you have any revanchist ambitions towards Dalmatia Georg? No, not at all! Already in the monarchy many politicians in CisLeithania wanted to hand it with Bosnia&Hercegovina over to TransLeithania. But the Hungarians rejected that parcel, fearing to loose their dominance (49%) to a union of the slavic nations. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 13, 2015 8:56:10 GMT
The results in the 21 zupanjas:   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 16, 2015 7:05:01 GMT
Sorry, my calculator made mistakes. Here are the correct results in the 21 Zupanjas:   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 20, 2015 17:39:23 GMT
These are the final FinalResults (including the 7 precincts, which had to vote once again):   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 23, 2015 23:06:19 GMT
Not only IDS and an exHNS-deputy, the 8 MinorityRepresentatives, Bandic ("bandit" mayor of Zagreb, exSDP) and the nationalistic HDSSB (croatian counterpart to the serbian SeseljParty) want to support the incumbent SDP-government, also 1 MP of MOST was expelled because of secrete talks with the PM: The former PartyManager of HDZ!
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 2, 2016 18:34:46 GMT
I found the SeatNumbers within the 2 coalitions after weeks of unsuccessful search (nobody in Croatia seems to care about that, a little bit surprising under the present circumstances...):
51 HDZ
2 HSLS (liberals)
2 HSP-AS (nationalists)
1 HSS (peasants)
1 BUZ (pensionists)
1 HDS (christDemocrats)
1 HRAST (christian nationalists)
42 SDP
9 HNS (leftLiberals)
3 HL-SR (=Laburisti)
2 HSU (pensionists)
|
|
john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,785
|
Post by john07 on Jan 2, 2016 19:49:52 GMT
Are the 'pensionists' the Croation equivalent of UKIP?
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 4, 2016 3:37:59 GMT
Are the 'pensionists' the Croation equivalent of UKIP? I think, BUZ defected somewhen from HSU, so probably they are only HDZ-allies because HSU supports SDP (but formerly also Sanader). Similar HSS and its split-off A-HSS. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 4, 2016 12:03:07 GMT
I didn't make maps for the bigger parties as You can find them at the 2016-thread, but here are those of 2 small parties:  Guess, whose CountyCapital Cacic was mayor of...  I used an 1%-scale for better comparison with other parties. If You prefer one with 0.2%-intervalla:  |
|
