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Post by mrhell on Jun 18, 2016 19:45:12 GMT
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,931
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 18, 2016 19:48:48 GMT
Whilst we're waiting for the new YouGov poll here's an interesting detail from the last YouGov on difference between Leave and Remain voters on how much they trust public experts and public figures  Although I suspect that there's an element of people who've already made their mind up answering whether they trust people by whether they agree with them. It would be more interesting to see the trust figures for undecideds. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 18, 2016 21:55:08 GMT
Another poll, looking like a swing to Remain best to treat those two imposters both the same, for a couple of days at least. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 19, 2016 23:34:25 GMT
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,961 
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Post by mondialito on Jun 19, 2016 23:43:08 GMT
When was the survey conducted? |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 20, 2016 9:16:21 GMT
I am not aware of any polls released yesterday. That looks like the first of the two YouGov surveys from Saturday.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 20, 2016 10:17:35 GMT
I am not aware of any polls released yesterday. That looks like the first of the two YouGov surveys from Saturday. Yes it is. The later poll gave remain a 44-43 lead. Why Ashcroft felt the need to tweet the older poll without context last night is anyone's guess. |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 20, 2016 11:26:14 GMT
I am not aware of any polls released yesterday. That looks like the first of the two YouGov surveys from Saturday. Yes it is. The later poll gave remain a 44-43 lead. Why Ashcroft felt the need to tweet the older poll without context last night is anyone's guess. Maybe he's hoping for a special trading relationship between the UK and Belize... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 20, 2016 14:36:29 GMT
YouGov are doing a poll on the election day, to be published at 10pm. Not an exit poll, though.
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Post by mrhell on Jun 20, 2016 21:03:18 GMT
ORB has remain 8% clear (7% with those certain to vote).
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 20, 2016 21:38:13 GMT
ORB has remain 8% clear (7% with those certain to vote). It's as clear as mud once again with ORB being contradicted by a new YouGov poll: |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 20, 2016 21:47:49 GMT
Why is there not going to be an exit poll, I ask. I was looking forward to seeing Paddy Ashdown eat his hat.
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 20, 2016 22:22:56 GMT
Why is there not going to be an exit poll, I ask. I was looking forward to seeing Paddy Ashdown eat his hat. The official answer is that it's too difficult because they haven't got a previous referendum exit poll to compare it with. (Although there must have been a first time for general election exit polls). There will be private exit polls commissioned by hedge funds and banks according to the Financial Times, and it will probably be possible to guess what they show from movements on the markets: next.ft.com/content/7e26d896-241c-11e6-9d4d-c11776a5124dwww.rt.com/uk/344953-brexit-polls-hedge-funds/ |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 20, 2016 23:05:41 GMT
Part of me thinks these hedge funds may end up doing a Randolph and Mortimer Duke as a result of a hooky exit poll.
Another part of me wants them to.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 21, 2016 0:03:27 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 21, 2016 8:52:15 GMT
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Post by mrhell on Jun 21, 2016 12:12:59 GMT
I'm surprised it's that low  |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 21, 2016 12:35:37 GMT
I'm surprised it's that low The figure of people who think it is being rigged, is of course, being rigged itself.  |
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Post by mrhell on Jun 21, 2016 12:45:45 GMT
Survation 45 Remain, Leave 44.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,058
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 21, 2016 17:00:13 GMT
Leave percentage in all polls published since the 16th, newest first:
44% - Survation
44% - YouGov
46% - ORB*
42% - Survation
43% - YouGov
44% - Opinium
*Much smaller undecided proportion than other surveys.
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